Table 2.
Interrupted time-series analysis of daily total, acute and chronic polyclinic visits.
| Baseline | DORSCON Orange | Circuit Breaker | Post Circuit Breaker | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | Trend | Level change, against Baseline | Trend | Difference in trends (DORSCON Orange—Baseline) | Level change, against DORSCON Orange | Trend | Difference in trends (Circuit Breaker—DORSCON Orange) | Level change, against Circuit Breaker | Trend | Difference in trends (Post Circuit Breaker –Circuit Breaker) | |
| Unadjusted | |||||||||||
| Total |
14,700*** [14,200, 15,200] |
4 [− 3, 12] |
− 1960*** [− 2880, − 1050] |
− 64*** [− 92, − 35] |
− 71*** [− 104, − 39] |
− 2330*** [− 3460, − 1200] |
46* [9, 83] |
113*** [62, 163] |
864 [− 201, 1930] |
36*** [20, 52] |
− 8 [− 52, 35] |
| Acute |
5970*** [5650, 6280] |
6** [2, 11] |
− 1320*** [− 1890, − 759] |
− 38*** [− 57, − 19] |
− 45*** [− 65, − 25] |
− 1270*** [− 1960, − 569] |
1 [− 23, 25] |
39* [8, 70] |
599 [− 59, 1 260] |
15** [4, 26] |
14 [− 12, 41] |
| Chronic |
8690*** [8410, 8970] |
− 2 [− 6, 2] |
− 627* [− 1150, − 101] |
− 30** [− 50, − 10] |
− 27** [− 46, − 8] |
− 1080** [− 1740, − 415] |
45*** [19, 71] |
75*** [45, 106] |
240 [− 382, 863] |
22*** [10, 33] |
− 23 [− 50, 2] |
| Adjusteda | |||||||||||
| Total |
13, 500*** [6940, 20,000] |
4 [− 2, 12] |
− 2 020*** [− 2890, − 1150] |
− 71*** [− 104, − 38] |
− 72*** [− 104, − 40] |
− 2 510*** [− 3660, − 1360] |
54* [12, 95] |
123*** [73, 172] |
565 [− 464, 1 590] |
41*** [21, 60] |
− 14 [− 57, 28] |
| Acute |
9040*** [5950, 12,100] |
7** [2, 11] |
− 1480*** [− 2050, − 907] |
− 36*** [− 55, − 17] |
− 43*** [− 63, − 23] |
− 1040** [− 1780, − 304] |
14 [− 10, 38] |
50** [19, 81] |
114 [− 562, 790] |
15** [4, 27] |
1 [− 25, 28] |
| Chronic |
− 21,100*** [− 27,100, − 15,000] |
− 4* [− 8, 0] |
− 1010*** [− 1460, − 557] |
− 33*** [− 48, − 18] |
− 28*** [− 44, − 13] |
− 1460*** [− 2020, − 902] |
52*** [32, 71] |
85*** [60, 110] |
258 [− 263, 779] |
33*** [24, 42] |
− 19 [− 40, 2] |
aModels adjusted for days of the week and daily patient average age. Both models accounted for autocorrelation.
Data are β-coefficients [95% confidence intervals] from the generalised least squares linear regression model.
*p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001.