TABLE A6.
Estimates and 95% credible intervals for selected parameters related to type transmission potential in the seven models (M1–M7) that allowed for transmission potential variability between sequence types. See Table 1 for further details of models
| Model a | σ b | q 2398 | q 48 | q 50 | q 827 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | 1.2 (1.0–1.5) | 18 (4.6–85) | 15 (4.7–48) | 12 (5.2–29) | 0.6 (0.3–1.5) |
| M2 | 1.2 (1.0–1.5) | 22 (5.6–110) | 15 (5.6–49) | 11 (4.7–25) | 0.6 (0.3–1.2) |
| M3 | 1.0 (0.6–1.3) | 4.8 (0.8–56) | 9.2 (1.2–43) | 6.0 (2.3–16) | 0.5 (0.2–1.0) |
| M4 | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 23 (4.1–210) | 16 (4.2–66) | 5.0 (2.1–13) | 0.3 (0.1–0.6) |
| M5 | 1.4 (1.2–1.7) | 40 (7.9–270) | 19 (6.2–70) | 10 (4.5–25) | 0.7 (0.3–1.8) |
| M6 | 1.4 (1.2–1.7) | 34 (6.6–170) | 17 (5.6–58) | 12 (5.4–29) | 0.7 (0.3–1.4) |
| M7 | 12 (10–13) | 7.6 × 1011 (2.2 × 1011 − 2.5 × 1012) | 28 (14–61) | 12 (6.4–25) | 3.4 × 10−2 (4.2 × 10−2 − 0.4) |
a
Models M8–M10 assumed all types had equal transmission potential. See Table 1 for a full description of models M1–M7.
b
The standard deviation (on the log scale) of the log‐normal distribution of type transmission potential parameters q.