Fig 4. Estimated prevalence of CMD for modelled UBI policies from 2022 to 2026 with 95% UIs, stratified by gender (A), education (B), age (C), and household structure (D). Note different scales used for each stratification.

y = years. Baseline = planned tax/benefit policies for UK. Full+ UBI = UBI set at the MIS plus means-tested benefits for caring, childcare, disability, housing, and limited capability for work. Ribbons = 95% UIs. Low education = no formal qualifications; medium education = Higher/A-level/GCSE or equivalent; high education = degree or equivalent. CMD, common mental disorder; GCSE, General Certificate of Secondary Education; MIS, Minimum Income Standard; UBI, Universal Basic Income; UI, uncertainty interval; UK, United Kingdom.