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. 2023 Dec 26;63(3):713–725. doi: 10.1007/s00394-023-03297-4

Table 3.

Associations between ultra-processed food (g/d) and incident cardiovascular outcomes among middle aged women (n = 9591)

Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5
Reference OR 95% CI, p value OR 95% CI, p value OR 95% CI, p value OR 95% CI, p value P trend
Primary endpoints
 CVD
  Univariate 1.0 (reference) 0.92 0.75–1.13, p = 0.44 1.08 0.88–1.31, p = 0.48 0.99 0.81–1.21, p = 0.91 1.04 0.85–1.27, p = 0.73 0.55
  Model 1 1.0 (reference) 0.93 0.73–1.19, p = 0.57 1.26 1.00–1.59, p = 0.05 1.04 0.82–1.32, p = 0.76 1.15 0.91–1.46, p = 0.25 0.17
  Model 2 1.0 (reference) 0.91 0.70–1.18, p = 0.49 1.18 0.92–1.51, p = 0.20 0.97 0.75–1.26, p = 0.82 1.17 0.91–1.51, p = 0.22 0.20
  Model 3 1.0 (reference) 0.92 0.71–1.20, p = 0.56 1.21 0.93–1.56, p = 0.16 1.00 0.76–1.32, p = 1.00 1.22 0.92–1.61, p = 0.16 0.18
Secondary endpoints
 Hypertension
  Univariate 1.0 (reference) 1.14 0.97–1.35, p = 0.12 1.12 0.95–1.32, p = 0.16 1.14 0.97–1.34, p = 0.12 1.16 0.99–1.37, p = 0.07 0.11
  Model 1 1.0 (reference) 1.18 0.97–1.43, p = 0.10 1.26 1.05–1.53, p = 0.02 1.26 1.04–1.53, p = 0.02 1.24 1.03–1.50, p = 0.03 0.03
  Model 2 1.0 (reference) 1.22 0.99–1.50, p = 0.06 1.23 1.00–1.51, p = 0.05 1.28 1.04–1.58, p = 0.02 1.31 1.07–1.61, p = 0.01 0.02
  Model 3 1.0 (reference) 1.26 1.02–1.55, p = 0.04 1.26 1.02–1.56, p = 0.04 1.32 1.06–1.65, p = 0.01 1.39 1.10–1.74, p = 0.005 0.02
 All-cause mortality
  Univariate 1.0 (reference) 0.78 0.59–1.04, p = 0.09 0.73 0.55–0.98, p = 0.04 0.77 0.58–1.02, p = 0.07 0.81 0.61–1.07, p = 0.13 0.15
  Model 1 1.0 (reference) 0.75 0.54–1.04, p = 0.09 0.72 0.52–1.01, p = 0.05 0.75 0.54–1.04, p = 0.08 0.76 0.55–1.06, p = 0.10 0.10
  Model 2 1.0 (reference) 0.73 0.51–1.05, p = 0.09 0.79 0.56–1.13, p = 0.20 0.85 0.60–1.21, p = 0.37 0.79 0.55–1.14, p = 0.21 0.38
  Model 3 1.0 (reference) 0.74 0.51–1.06, p = 0.10 0.81 0.56–1.17, p = 0.25 0.87 0.60–1.27 p = 0.48 0.80 0.54–1.20, p = 0.28 0.49
Secondary endpoints
 Type 2 diabetes mellitus
  Univariate 1.0 (reference) 1.25 1.00–1.57, p = 0.05 1.13 0.90–1.42, p = 0.28 1.34 1.07–1.66, p = 0.01 1.19 0.95–1.49, p = 0.13 0.11
  Model 1 1.0 (reference) 1.24 0.96–1.61, p = 0.10 1.14 0.87–1.48, p = 0.34 1.25 0.97–1.62, p = 0.09 1.13 0.86–1.47, p = 0.38 0.48
  Model 2 1.0 (reference) 1.30 0.98–1.74, p = 0.07 1.16 0.87–1.56, p = 0.31 1.16 0.86–1.55, p = 0.33 1.26 0.94–1.70, p = 0.13 0.32
  Model 3 1.0 (reference) 1.25 0.93–1.68, p = 0.14 1.10 0.81–1.50, p = 0.53 1.08 0.79–1.48, p = 0.64 1.17 0.84–1.63, p = 0.35 0.74
 Obesity
  Univariate 1.0 (reference) 1.12 0.92–1.36, p = 0.25 1.35 1.11–1.63, p = 0.002 1.12 0.92–1.36, p = 0.26 1.03 0.85–1.26, p = 0.74 0.81
  Model 1 1.0 (reference) 1.10 0.88–1.38, p = 0.41 1.38 1.11–1.72, p = 0.004 1.11 0.88–1.38, p = 0.38 1.01 0.81–1.27, p = 0.91 0.86
  Model 2 1.0 (reference) 1.02 0.77–1.36, p = 0.88 1.23 0.93–1.63, p = 0.15 0.98 0.74–1.31, p = 0.90 1.05 0.79–1.40, p = 0.75 0.96
  Model 3 1.0 (reference) 1.07 0.80–1.43, p = 0.67 1.29 0.97–1.73, p = 0.08 1.05 0.77–1.43, p = 0.76 1.16 0.85–1.60, p = 0.36 0.52

Model 1 was adjusted for age, area of residence, marital status, occupation, country of birth, qualification, and household income

Model 2: Model 1 + adjustment for body mass index, menopausal status, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, physical activity levels, and smoking status

Model 3: Model 2 + adjustment for total fibre, total carbohydrate, total fat intake, total protein, total energy intake (kilojoules), and total alcohol

CVD cardiovascular disease, OR odds ratio, CI confidence intervals

p values that were considered significant (p ≤ 0.05) were in bold