Table 4.
Pre- and post-operative prediction of biochemical recurrence in men treated with radical prostatectomy
Study | Prediction model | BCR years | Number of patients | Variables | Discrimination |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kattan et al40 | Probability nomogram development | 5 | 983 | Biopsy primary and secondary GG, CS, PSA | Internal: 74% External: 65–83% |
D'Amico et al72 | Probability table | 2 | 892 | Biopsy GS, CS, PSA | NA |
D'Amico et al77 | Probability graph | 2 | 977 | Biopsy GS, endorectal coil MRI T-stage, PSA, percent positive biopsy cores | NA |
Tewari et al78 | Neural network | 3.5 | 1400 | Age, race, PSA, CS, biopsy GS | 83% |
D'Amico et al79 | Probability graph | 4 | 823 | Biopsy GS, CS, PSA, percent positive biopsy cores | 80% |
Cooperberg et al80 | Probability graph | 3 and 5 | 1439 | Age, PSA, biopsy GS, CS, percent positive biopsy | Internal: 66% External: 68–81% |
Stephenson et al41 | Probability nomogram development | 10 | 1978,1545 | PSA, CS, biopsy GS, year of surgery, number of positive and negative cores | 76–79% |
D'Amico et al79 | Probability graph | 2 | 862 | Pathologic stage, PSA, GS, surgical margin status | NA |
Kattan et al42 | Probability nomogram development | 5 | 996 | PSA, GS, ECE, SV invasion, LN invasion, surgical margin status | Internal:89% External: 77–83% |
McAleer et al81 | Probability graph | 7 | 2417 | GG, CS, margin status, dichotomized PSA (cut point 10 ng/mL) | NA |
Stephenson et al43 | Probability nomogram development | 10 | 1881, 1782, 1357 | PSA, GS, ECE, SV invasion, LN invasion, surgical margin status | 78–86% |
Suardi et al44 | Probability nomogram development | 5, 10, 15, and 20 | 601, 2963, 3178 | GS, pathologic stage, surgical margin status, type of surgery, adjuvant RT | Internal: 77–81% External: 77–86% |
BCR, biochemical recurrence; GS, Gleason sum; CS, clinical stage; GG, Gleason grade; RP, radical prostatectomy; MRI, magnetic Resonance imaging; ECE, extracapsular extension; SV, seminal vesicle; LN, lymph node; RT, radiotherapy; NA, not available.