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. 2023 Aug 4;12(1):1–9. doi: 10.1016/j.prnil.2023.07.004

Table 4.

Pre- and post-operative prediction of biochemical recurrence in men treated with radical prostatectomy

Study Prediction model BCR years Number of patients Variables Discrimination
Kattan et al40 Probability nomogram development 5 983 Biopsy primary and secondary GG, CS, PSA Internal: 74% External: 65–83%
D'Amico et al72 Probability table 2 892 Biopsy GS, CS, PSA NA
D'Amico et al77 Probability graph 2 977 Biopsy GS, endorectal coil MRI T-stage, PSA, percent positive biopsy cores NA
Tewari et al78 Neural network 3.5 1400 Age, race, PSA, CS, biopsy GS 83%
D'Amico et al79 Probability graph 4 823 Biopsy GS, CS, PSA, percent positive biopsy cores 80%
Cooperberg et al80 Probability graph 3 and 5 1439 Age, PSA, biopsy GS, CS, percent positive biopsy Internal: 66% External: 68–81%
Stephenson et al41 Probability nomogram development 10 1978,1545 PSA, CS, biopsy GS, year of surgery, number of positive and negative cores 76–79%
D'Amico et al79 Probability graph 2 862 Pathologic stage, PSA, GS, surgical margin status NA
Kattan et al42 Probability nomogram development 5 996 PSA, GS, ECE, SV invasion, LN invasion, surgical margin status Internal:89% External: 77–83%
McAleer et al81 Probability graph 7 2417 GG, CS, margin status, dichotomized PSA (cut point 10 ng/mL) NA
Stephenson et al43 Probability nomogram development 10 1881, 1782, 1357 PSA, GS, ECE, SV invasion, LN invasion, surgical margin status 78–86%
Suardi et al44 Probability nomogram development 5, 10, 15, and 20 601, 2963, 3178 GS, pathologic stage, surgical margin status, type of surgery, adjuvant RT Internal: 77–81% External: 77–86%

BCR, biochemical recurrence; GS, Gleason sum; CS, clinical stage; GG, Gleason grade; RP, radical prostatectomy; MRI, magnetic Resonance imaging; ECE, extracapsular extension; SV, seminal vesicle; LN, lymph node; RT, radiotherapy; NA, not available.