Table 2.
Risk of Serious Infection During 0 to <12 Months of Histologic Inflammation and Histologic Remission of IBD
| N (% of total) |
Infections, N (%) |
Follow-up period, y |
IR (95% CI) by 100 PY |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Histologic inflammation | Histologic remission | Histologic inflammation | Histologic remission | Histologic inflammation | Histologic remission | Histologic inflammation | Histologic remission | IRRa (95% CI) | HRa (95% CI) | |
| Overall | 68,666 (100) | 34,680 (100) | 3271 (4.8) | 853 (2.5) | 70,846 | 33,666 | 4.62 (4.46–4.78) | 2.53 (2.36–2.70) | 1.60 (1.48–1.73) | 1.59 (1.48–1.72) |
| Sex | ||||||||||
| Males | 37,284 (54.3) | 18,099 (52.2) | 1790 (4.8) | 502 (2.8) | 38,679 | 17,513 | 4.63 (4.41–4.84) | 2.87 (2.62–3.12) | 1.41 (1.27–1.56) | 1.40 (1.27–1.55) |
| Females | 31,382 (45.7) | 16,581 (47.8) | 1481 (4.7) | 351 (2.1) | 32,167 | 16,152 | 4.60 (4.37–4.84) | 2.17 (1.95–2.40) | 1.88 (1.67–2.12) | 1.87 (1.66–2.11) |
| Index date,b y | ||||||||||
| 1990–1999 | 11,391 (16.6) | 2099 (6.1) | 677 (5.9) | 55 (2.6) | 12,175 | 2048 | 5.56 (5.14–5.98) | 2.69 (1.98–3.39) | 1.88 (1.42–2.47) | 1.92 (1.46–2.53) |
| 2000–2009 | 29,779 (43.4) | 13,548 (39.1) | 1379 (4.6) | 343 (2.5) | 31,032 | 13,459 | 4.44 (4.21–4.68) | 2.55 (2.28–2.82) | 1.60 (1.42–1.80) | 1.59 (1.41–1.79) |
| 2010–2016 | 27,496 (40.0) | 19,033 (54.9) | 1215 (4.4) | 455 (2.4) | 27,639 | 18,158 | 4.40 (4.15–4.64) | 2.51 (2.28–2.74) | 1.51 (1.35–1.68) | 1.49 (1.34–1.67) |
| Disease duration, y | ||||||||||
| <2 y | 34,927 (50.9) | 10,651 (30.7) | 2007 (5.7) | 362 (3.4) | 36,226 | 10,382 | 5.54 (5.30–5.78) | 3.49 (3.13–3.85) | 1.54 (1.38–1.73) | 1.55 (1.38–1.74) |
| ≥2 y | 33,739 (49.1) | 24,029 (69.3) | 1264 (3.7) | 491 (2.0) | 34,620 | 23,283 | 3.65 (3.45–3.85) | 2.11 (1.92–2.30) | 1.58 (1.42–1.76) | 1.55 (1.40–1.73) |
| Age at index dateb | ||||||||||
| <18 y | 4795 (7.0) | 1871 (5.4) | 247 (5.2) | 60 (3.2) | 5052 | 1817 | 4.89 (4.28–5.50) | 3.30 (2.47–4.14) | 1.46 (1.10–1.94) | 1.44 (1.08–1.92) |
| 18 to <40 y | 26,282 (38.3) | 11,730 (33.8) | 1115 (4.2) | 289 (2.5) | 27,319 | 11,376 | 4.08 (3.84–4.32) | 2.54 (2.25–2.83) | 1.48 (1.29–1.68) | 1.47 (1.28–1.68) |
| 40 to <50 y | 23,306 (33.9) | 13,448 (38.8) | 833 (3.6) | 231 (1.7) | 24,220 | 13,107 | 3.44 (3.21–3.67) | 1.76 (1.54–1.99) | 1.67 (1.44–1.94) | 1.66 (1.43–1.93) |
| 50 to <60 y | 14,283 (20.8) | 7631 (22.0) | 1076 (7.5) | 273 (3.6) | 14,254 | 7364 | 7.55 (7.10–8.00) | 3.71 (3.27–4.15) | 1.51 (1.31–1.73) | 1.51 (1.32–1.74) |
| ≥60 y | 4795 (7.0) | 1871 (5.4) | 247 (5.2) | 60 (3.2) | 5052 | 1817 | 4.89 (4.28–5.50) | 3.30 (2.47–4.14) | 1.46 (1.10–1.94) | 1.44 (1.08–1.92) |
| Level of education | ||||||||||
| ≤9 y | 16,282 (23.7) | 6866 (19.8) | 1089 (6.7) | 239 (3.5) | 16,695 | 6672 | 6.52 (6.14–6.91) | 3.58 (3.13–4.04) | 1.64 (1.42–1.89) | 1.51 (1.32–1.74) |
| 10–12 y | 31,997 (46.6) | 15,827 (45.6) | 1448 (4.5) | 385 (2.4) | 33,134 | 15,369 | 4.37 (4.14–4.60) | 2.51 (2.25–2.76) | 1.59 (1.41–1.78) | 1.51 (1.32–1.74) |
| ≥13 y | 20,201 (29.4) | 11,944 (34.4) | 706 (3.5) | 227 (1.9) | 20,852 | 11,577 | 3.39 (3.14–3.64) | 1.96 (1.71–2.22) | 1.53 (1.31–1.78) | 1.51 (1.32–1.74) |
| Country of birth, n (%) | ||||||||||
| Nordic | 64,277 (93.6) | 32,294 (93.1) | 3077 (4.8) | 791 (2.4) | 66,324 | 31,390 | 4.64 (4.48–4.80) | 2.52 (2.34–2.70) | 1.62 (1.49–1.75) | 1.61 (1.49–1.74) |
| Non-Nordic | 3923 (5.7) | 2129 (6.1) | 180 (4.6) | 56 (2.6) | 4034 | 2029 | 4.46 (3.81–5.11) | 2.76 (2.04–3.48) | 1.39 (1.03–1.89) | 1.40 (1.03–1.90) |
| IBD type | ||||||||||
| CD | 17,103 (24.9) | 10,223 (29.5) | 1015 (5.9) | 352 (3.4) | 17,259 | 9858 | 5.88 (5.52–6.24) | 3.57 (3.20–3.94) | 1.58 (1.40–1.79) | 1.59 (1.40–1.80) |
| UC | 48,467 (70.6) | 22,888 (66.0) | 2070 (4.3) | 450 (2.0) | 50,453 | 22,297 | 4.10 (3.93–4.28) | 2.02 (1.83–2.20) | 1.69 (1.52–1.88) | 1.68 (1.51–1.87) |
| IBD-U | 3096 (4.5) | 1569 (4.5) | 186 (6.0) | 51 (3.3) | 3134 | 1509 | 5.93 (5.08–6.79) | 3.38 (2.45–4.30) | 1.50 (1.09–2.06) | 1.48 (1.08–2.04) |
| Montreal classification CDc | ||||||||||
| L1/L3/LX | 11,146 (73.6) | 7132 (74.1) | 696 (6.2) | 274 (3.8) | 11,127 | 6858 | 6.25 (5.79–6.72) | 4.00 (3.52–4.47) | 1.53 (1.32–1.76) | 1.53 (1.32–1.76) |
| L2 | 3996 (26.4) | 2493 (25.9) | 213 (5.3) | 67 (2.7) | 4069 | 2411 | 5.23 (4.53–5.94) | 2.78 (2.11–3.44) | 1.75 (1.32–2.33) | 1.74 (1.31–2.32) |
| Montreal classification UCC | ||||||||||
| E1/E2 | 12,794 (30.1) | 6292 (29.1) | 443 (3.5) | 94 (1.5) | 13,192 | 6123 | 3.36 (3.05–3.67) | 1.54 (1.22–1.85) | 1.97 (1.57–2.47) | 1.91 (1.52–2.40) |
| E3 | 18,472 (43.5) | 10,586 (49.0) | 820 (4.4) | 240 (2.3) | 19,083 | 10,262 | 4.30 (4.00–59) | 2.34 (2.04–2.63) | 1.46 (1.26–1.70) | 1.45 (1.25–1.68) |
| EX | 11,171 (26.3) | 4744 (21.9) | 474 (4.2) | 95 (2.0) | 11,679 | 4653 | 4.06 (3.69–42) | 2.04 (1.63–2.45) | 1.73 (1.38–2.17) | 1.75 (1.39–2.19) |
NOTE. Histologic inflammation and histologic remission as defined by ileocolorectal histology codes listed in Supplementary Table 7.
CD, Crohn’s disease; HR, hazard ratio; IR, incidence rate; IRR, incidence rate ratio; IBD, inflammatory bowel disease; IBD-U, inflammatory bowel disease–unclassified; PY, person-years; UC, ulcerative colitis.
Adjusted for age at index date (ie, start of exposure period), sex, calendar year, education level, country of birth, disease duration, any history of inpatient IBD care, IBD-related surgery, and chronic comorbidity (diabetes, hypertension, chronic autoimmune disease, and asthma) (Supplementary Table 8).
Index date equals the start of the exposure period.
Extent and location of disease at diagnosis as detailed in Supplementary Table 2.