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The fitting RMSEs, the fitting MAPEs, the forecast RMSEs, and the forecast MAPEs from models (with raw data from 2013 to 2018)
| Model | SARIMA | Holt-Winters | NNAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitting with raw data from 2013 to 2018 | RMSE | 206.23 | 198.63 | 189.58 |
| MAPE | 6.03% | 6.62% | 6.26% | |
| Forecasts from Jan. to Dec. 2019 | RMSE | 169.24 | 165.99 | 172.36 |
| MAPE | 5.46% | 5.44% | 5.32% | |
| Forecasts from Jan. to Nov. 2019 | RMSE | 114.37 | 115.59 | 123.28 |
| MAPE | 3.80% | 3.87% | 3.71% |
MAPE mean absolute percentage error, RMSE root mean square error
