Table 3.

The forecast RMSEs and the MAPEs from models (with raw data from 2013 to 2019) in 5 stages

	Stage	SARIMA	Holt-Winters	NNAR
Forecasting MAPE	Jan. 2020 to May.2020	84.37%	75.03%	80.55%
	Jun. 2020 to Feb. 2021	28.40%	19.53%	29.90%
	Mar. 2021 to Nov. 2022	9.17%	6.98%	9.36%
	Dec. 2022 to Jan. 2023	97.32%	74.94%	92.24%
	In Feb. 2023	3.31%	11.75%	4.98%
Forecasting RMSE	Jan. 2020 to May.2020	1259.90	1126.58	1190.66
	Jun. 2020 to Feb. 2021	542.20	385.02	537.57
	Mar. 2021 to Nov. 2022	240.09	203.50	234.34
	Dec. 2022 to Jan. 2023	1203.54	921.74	1078.16
	In Feb. 2023	73.00	259.32	109.98

MAPE mean absolute percentage error, RMSE root mean square error