| Year | Model | Party | J// | h// | // | // | N | AIC | |
| 2017 | Curie–Weiss | cdu | 1 | −0.41 | − | − | 123.1 | −745.2 | 0.81 |
| 2017 | q-voter strong | cdu | 22.6 | 48.9 | 19.8 | 57.9 | 123.4 | −741.2 | 0.81 |
| 2017 | q-voter weak | cdu | 14 | 26.7 | −15 | −56.3 | − | −742.5 | 0.87 |
| 2017 | reinforcement | cdu | 14.4 | 9.4 | −14.7 | −173 | − | −743.1 | 0.83 |
| 2017 | Curie–Weiss | spd | 1.3 | −0.63 | − | − | 68.7 | −814.1 | 0.23 |
| 2017 | q-voter strong | spd | 7.2 | 31.3 | 5 | 33.1 | 55.5 | −809.8 | 0.17 |
| 2017 | q-voter weak | spd | 10.1 | 0.27 | 18.9 | −80.6 | − | −815.3 | 0.18 |
| 2017 | reinforcement | spd | 19.6 | 752.9 | −545.5 | 2039.8 | − | −824.8 | 0.4 |
| 2017 | Curie–Weiss | linke | 2.8 | −0.11 | − | − | 81.9 | −1068.6 | 3.6 |
| 2017 | q-voter strong | linke | 0.06 | 20.5 | 0.6 | 82 | 108.6 | −1071.6 | 2.7 |
| 2017 | q-voter weak | linke | 9.1 | 2.7 | 42.8 | 9.3 | − | −1112.1 | 5.7 |
| 2017 | reinforcement | linke | 14.2 | 1800.1 | −1509.8 | 4806 | − | −1152.6 | 6 |
| 2017 | Curie–Weiss | gruene | 2 | −2.8 | − | − | 19.2 | −1047.3 | 2.6 |
| 2017 | q-voter strong | gruene | 0.95 | 45.2 | 0.72 | 12.5 | 50.8 | −1103.8 | 0.26 |
| 2017 | q-voter weak | gruene | 4.7 | 0.063 | 15.3 | −164.1 | − | −1113.4 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | reinforcement | gruene | 4.4 | 472.5 | −421.4 | 961.3 | − | −1113.8 | 0.71 |
| 2017 | Curie–Weiss | fdp | 2.5 | −0.21 | − | − | 244.3 | −1320.7 | 0.5 |
| 2017 | q-voter strong | fdp | 11.9 | 116.1 | 1.3 | 8.4 | 131.5 | −1314.9 | 0.34 |
| 2017 | q-voter weak | fdp | 17.2 | 5.4 | 53.7 | −308.8 | − | −1320.5 | 0.57 |
| 2017 | reinforcement | fdp | 14 | 117.1 | 0.14 | 1.1 | − | −1320.2 | 0.57 |
| 2017 | Curie–Weiss | afd | 2.6 | −0.088 | − | − | 110 | −985.3 | 0.0082 |
| 2017 | q-voter strong | afd | 1.1 | 23 | 2.2 | 86.7 | 117.5 | −983.7 | 0.011 |
| 2017 | q-voter weak | afd | 14.5 | 8.9 | 54.5 | 23.7 | − | −1009.4 | 0.094 |
| 2017 | reinforcement | afd | 22.4 | 1081.9 | −747.5 | 3127.1 | − | −1035 | 0.77 |
| 2021 | Curie–Weiss | cdu | 2.6 | −1.3 | − | − | 64 | −778.3 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | q-voter strong | cdu | 16.6 | 53 | −40 | −215.2 | 30.8 | −774.6 | 0.75 |
| 2021 | q-voter weak | cdu | 1.8 | 8.8 | −31 | −156.9 | − | −776.6 | 0.76 |
| 2021 | reinforcement | cdu | 3.5 | 0.8 | −60.7 | −261.1 | − | −776.6 | 0.75 |
| 2021 | Curie–Weiss | spd | 0.76 | −0.7 | − | − | 72.8 | −829.6 | 0.74 |
| 2021 | q-voter strong | spd | 13.1 | 38.5 | 5.3 | 21.2 | 63 | −825.5 | 0.74 |
| 2021 | q-voter weak | spd | 13.1 | 1.2 | 14 | −97.2 | − | −828.9 | 0.74 |
| 2021 | reinforcement | spd | 38.7 | 827.5 | −477 | 2376.9 | − | −836.6 | 0.93 |