| Year | Model | Party | J// | h// | // | // | N | AIC | |
| 2021 | Curie–Weiss | afd | 2.7 | −0.12 | − | − | 71.9 | −971.4 | 1.3 |
| 2021 | q-voter strong | afd | 0.044 | 14.9 | 0.59 | 56.4 | 122.8 | −980.4 | 7.7 |
| 2021 | q-voter weak | afd | 8.6 | 4.1 | 37.3 | 11 | − | −1008.8 | 0.0014 |
| 2021 | reinforcement | afd | 13.7 | 1092.2 | −841 | 3064.4 | − | −1049.7 | 0.21 |
| 2021 | Curie–Weiss | fdp | 2.6 | −0.032 | − | − | 430.3 | −1424.6 | 0.37 |
| 2021 | q-voter strong | fdp | 19.7 | 170.3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 198.3 | −1412.6 | 0.15 |
| 2021 | q-voter weak | fdp | 40.9 | 254 | 74.7 | 703.9 | − | −1427.3 | 0.64 |
| 2021 | reinforcement | fdp | 43.3 | 522.6 | 19 | 1933.9 | − | −1428 | 0.79 |
| 2021 | Curie–Weiss | gruene | 1.8 | −0.61 | − | − | 52.2 | −813.8 | 0.18 |
| 2021 | q-voter strong | gruene | 1.2 | 24.7 | 0.98 | 21.2 | 36.2 | −808.2 | 0.081 |
| 2021 | q-voter weak | gruene | 3.8 | 22.1 | −2.1 | −21.3 | − | −812.1 | 0.13 |
| 2021 | reinforcement | gruene | 3.8 | 0.3 | 13.9 | −87.8 | − | −812.2 | 0.13 |