Table 6.

National population size estimates of female sex workers aged ≥15 years by using the 3-source capture-recapture method during the population size estimation in Rwanda in 2022.

Model type	Proportion (%) of women (95% CI)a	Median population size estimation (95% credible set)
Log-linear (Mth Poisson2)b	1 (0.8-1.2)	34,370 (28,164-42,246)
Bayesian Model Averaging (noninformative prior)	1.1 (0.9-1.3)	37,647 (31,873-43,354)
Bayesian Latent Class	1 (0.4-1.6)	35,954 (14,736-55,215)

^aDenominators are the national total number of adult females aged 15 years and older in the 5th Rwanda Population and Housing Census in 2022.

^bPoisson model, which assumes that captures may have different probabilities and that individuals may be heterogeneous.