Table 1. Scenarios analysed.
Scenario | Variable | Before 2020 | 2020–2021 | 2022 onwards |
---|---|---|---|---|
No pandemic (comparator) | Screening | Observed rates (pre-pandemic)a | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b |
Diagnosis & treatment procedure capacity | Observed rates (pre-pandemic)a | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b | |
Pandemic (no mitigation) | Screening | Observed rates (pre-pandemic)a | Observed rates (pandemic))a | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b |
Diagnosis & treatment procedure capacity | Observed rates (pre-pandemic)a | Observed rates (pandemic))a | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b | |
5% mitigation | Screening | Observed rates (pre-pandemic)a | Observed rates (pandemic))a | Status quo (pre-pandemic)b |
Diagnosis & treatment procedure capacity | Observed rates (pre-pandemic)a | Observed rates (pandemic)a | 5% increasec |
a “Observed rates” refers to rates observed in the relevant time period.
b “Status quo” refers to observed rates/capacity before 2020 (i.e. pre-pandemic).
c Relative increase compared to status quo.