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. 2024 Feb 29;29(9):2300226. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.9.2300226

Table 5. Univariable and multivariable meta-regression analyses for Neisseria gonorrhoeae prevalence in anorectal specimens in World Health Organization European Region countries, 1949–2021.

Anorectal specimens Outcome measures Sample size Univariable analysis Multivariable analyses
Total n Total n RR 95% CI p value LT test p value Adjusted R2 Model 1a Model 2b
ARR 95% CI p value ARR 95% CI p value
Population characteristics
Population type MSM, MSWs, and transgender peoplec 15 9,893 1.00 NA < 0.001 12.87 1.00 NA 1.00 NA
General populations 3 1,258 0.41 0.11–1.55 0.187 NA NA 1.12 0.33–3.85 0.854 1.23 0.35–4.27 0.744
Intermediate-risk populations 2 141 4.01 0.46–34.70 0.207 NA NA 10.10 1.43–72.00 0.021 9.35 1.31–66.60 0.026
FSWs 5 2,440 0.50 0.16–1.61 0.244 NA NA 1.18 0.39–3.57 0.766 1.09 0.36–3.31 0.877
Symptomatic women 5 3,813 0.27 0.09–0.81 0.020 NA NA 1.33 0.39–4.46 0.647 1.21 0.36–4.06 0.759
Symptomatic men 13 8,398 1.30 0.59–2.85 0.512 NA NA 1.13 0.56–2.30 0.730 1.11 0.54–2.25 0.782
STI clinic attendees 137 739,542 0.86 0.49–1.52 0.597 NA NA 1.27 0.75–2.16 0.366 1.24 0.73–2.09 0.427
HIV-positive individuals and individuals in HIV discordant couples 21 4,672 1.05 0.51–2.19 0.887 NA NA 0.90 0.47–1.74 0.765 0.89 0.46–1.72 0.731
Sexual contacts of persons infected with NG/CT 5 467 2.97 0.98–9.00 0.054 NA NA 3.45 1.25–9.53 0.017 3.59 1.29–9.95 0.014
Patients with confirmed/suspected STIs and related infections 16 2,605 3.13 1.44–6.78 0.004 NA NA 3.23 1.60–6.50 0.001 3.20 1.59–6.47 0.001
Other populationsd 7 1,348 1.17 0.42–3.25 0.762 NA NA 2.21 0.86–5.68 0.100 2.29 0.89–5.91 0.087
Age group ≤ 30 years 8 1,165 1.00 NA 0.559 0.00 NA NA NA NA
> 30 years 6 498 1.41 0.34–5.85 0.631 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Mixed ages 215 772,914 0.80 0.34–1.89 0.615 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Sex Women 52 176,849 1.00 NA < 0.001 11.86 1.00 NA 1.00 NA
Men 167 579,396 2.62 1.83–3.75 < 0.001 NA NA 2.86 1.96–4.19  < 0.001 2.75 1.89–4.02  < 0.001
Mixed sexes 10 18,332 2.05 0.99–4.24 0.052 NA NA 2.05 1.06–3.98 0.033 2.05 1.06–3.97 0.034
European subregions Eastern Europe 6 2,132 1.00 NA 0.004 5.83 1.00 NA 1.00 NA
Southern Europe 24 11,557 3.39 1.19–9.64 0.023 NA NA 0.71 0.24–2.12 0.537 0.63 0.21–1.89 0.408
Western Europe 120 633,385 1.58 0.61–4.14 0.347 NA NA 0.80 0.30–2.14 0.650 0.70 0.26–1.88 0.473
Northern Europe 78 127,487 2.25 0.85–5.97 0.101 NA NA 0.94 0.34–2.62 0.910 0.85 0.31–2.37 0.759
Israel, Türkiye and mixed regions 1 16 12.30 1.17–129.80 0.037 NA NA 2.10 0.24–18.50 0.504 1.96 0.22–17.50 0.545
Country’s income level UMIC 4 1,342 1.00 NA 0.784 0.00 NA NA NA NA
HIC 225 773,235 1.18 0.37–3.76 0.784 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Study methodology characteristics
Assay type NAAT/PCR 121 593,512 1.00 NA 0.288 0.41 NA NA NA NA
Culture 65 129,889 0.74 0.52–1.06 0.098 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Gram staining 4 9,857 0.80 0.25–2.53 0.707 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Other/unclear 39 41,319 1.10 0.73–1.65 0.661 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Sample size e < 200 38 2,715 1.00 NA < 0.001 11.42 1.00 NA 1.00 NA
≥ 200 191 771,862 0.38 0.26–0.56 < 0.001 NA NA 0.46 0.31–0.67  < 0.001 0.45 0.31–0.66  < 0.001
Sampling method Probability based 4 1,154 1.00 NA 0.927 0.00 NA NA NA NA
Non-probability based 225 773,423 0.95 0.32–2.85 0.927 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Response rate ≥ 80% 7 22,936 1.00 NA 0.509 0.00 NA NA NA NA
< 80% 16 5,859 0.95 0.32–2.78 0.925 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Unclear 206 745,782 1.32 0.54–3.21 0.536 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Temporal trend
Year of data collection category < 2000 49 130,000 1.00 NA 0.001 6.73 1.00 NA NA NA
2000–2010 60 139,618 1.41 0.93–2.16 0.109 NA NA 1.60 1.10–2.33 0.014 NA NA
> 2010 120 504,959 2.02 1.40–2.91 < 0.001 NA NA 2.07 1.45–2.96  < 0.001 NA NA
Year of data collection 229 774,577 1.02 1.01–1.03 0.001 0.001 5.60 NA NA 1.02 1.01–1.04  < 0.001

ARR: adjusted risk ratio; CI: confidence interval; CT: Chlamydia trachomatis; FSWs: female sex workers; HIC: high-income country; MSM: men who have sex with men; MSWs: male sex workers; NA: not applicable; NAAT: nucleic acid amplification test, NG: Neisseria gonorrhoeae; LT test: likelihood ratio test, RR: risk ratio; STI: sexually transmitted infection; UMIC: upper-middle income country.

The main results have been bolded to emphasise them and to align them with the corresponding discussions in the results section.

a Adjusted R2 in the final multivariable model 1 = 35.94%.

b Adjusted R2 in the final multivariable model 2 = 35.20%.

c MSM, MSWs, and transgender people group was used as a reference because of epidemiological relevance and because the general populations group had small number of measures.

d Other populations include populations with an undetermined risk of acquiring Neisseria gonorrhoeae infection such as patients with cervical cancer, victims of sexual assault, specimens from virology/bacteriology laboratory and requesting home-based N. gonorrhoeae or Chlamydia trachomatis testing.

e Sample size denotes the sample size of each study population at the baseline found in the original publication.