Table 2.
Survey-based population size estimates by location and key population.
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|
Confidence score | Population size estimate (95% CI) | |||||
|
|
|
FSWa in location A | FSW in location B | MSMb in location B | FSW in location C | MSM in location C | |
| Prior | —c | 800 (300-2000) | 3000 (1800-3400) | 2416 (850-4000) | 900 (825-1500) | 610 (475-685) | |
| Estimate method | |||||||
|
|
Unique object | 80 | 679 (525-1024) | 382 (228-949) | 221 (174-904) | 690 (483-1191) | 379 (280-681) |
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|
Event | 5 | 162 (126-249) | 144 (69-354) | 96 (81-205) | 205 (146-378) | 122 (87-276) |
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|
Service 1 | 60 | 849 (630-1369) | 1984 (1033-7367) | 515 (384-4398) | 1540 (1181-2260) | 2322 (1158-6985) |
|
|
Service 2 | 60 | 2766 (1995-4622) | 4459 (3082-10,219) | 1917 (3493-1218) | 2937 (2127-4613) | 1917 (1394-4093) |
|
|
Service 3 | 60 | 668 (500-1082) | 5449 (1769-30,997) | 778 (660-5256) | 2004 (1138-5916) | 156 (97-494) |
|
|
Service 4 | 60 | N/Ad | 5900 (2674-45,597) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
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|
SS-PSEe,f | 70 | 674 (318-2426) | 2196 (1651-2382) | 2205 (382-10,409) | 1057 (576-3369) | 664 (405-1614) |
| Consensus: confidence scalede | — | 890 (614-1342) | 2744 (2046-3768) | 1412 (727-3111) | 1038 (781-1333) | 612 (517-730) | |
| Consensus: unscalede | — | 729 (403-1335) | 2821 (2080-3856) | 1638 (812-3416) | 922 (701-1205) | 606 (508-724) | |
aFSW: female sex workers.
bMSM: men who have sex with men.
cNot applicable (this refers to the fact that confidence scores are only applicable to the estimates).
dN/A: not applicable (this refers to the fact that an estimate of type Service 4 was not collected).
e95% CI refers to the credible interval.
fSS-PSE: successive sampling population size estimation.