Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement H.
| Old estimate | New estimate | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat day | Estimate | 2.5% | 97.5% | p | Estimate | 2.5% | 97.5% | p |
| 2000 | ||||||||
| Any day | 0.9485 | 0.8922 | 1.0084 | 0.09 | 0.4763 | 0.4465 | 0.5081 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0005 | 0.9456 | 1.0587 | 0.99 | 0.8542 | 0.8043 | 0.9073 | 0.61 |
| 2nd day | 0.9966 | 0.9280 | 1.0702 | 0.92 | 0.7894 | 0.7312 | 0.8523 | 0.55 |
| 3rd day | 0.9807 | 0.8987 | 1.0703 | 0.66 | 1.0744 | 0.9767 | 1.1818 | 0.88 |
| 2001 | ||||||||
| Any day | 0.9800 | 0.9237 | 1.0397 | 0.50 | 0.6833 | 0.6401 | 0.7294 | 0.25 |
| 1st day | 1.0296 | 0.9751 | 1.0872 | 0.29 | 1.0925 | 1.0298 | 1.1589 | 0.77 |
| 2nd day | 1.0372 | 0.9683 | 1.1110 | 0.30 | 1.9251 | 1.7879 | 2.0728 | 0.08 |
| 3rd day | 0.9641 | 0.8776 | 1.0591 | 0.45 | 0.8348 | 0.7553 | 0.9226 | 0.72 |
| 2002 | ||||||||
| Any day | 0.9943 | 0.9341 | 1.0585 | 0.86 | 1.0278 | 0.9618 | 1.0983 | 0.94 |
| 1st day | 0.9934 | 0.9368 | 1.0534 | 0.82 | 0.9970 | 0.9345 | 1.0637 | 0.99 |
| 2nd day | 0.9974 | 0.9289 | 1.0709 | 0.94 | 0.8534 | 0.7901 | 0.9219 | 0.69 |
| 3rd day | 0.9641 | 0.8776 | 1.0591 | 0.45 | 0.5669 | 0.5068 | 0.6343 | 0.32 |
| 2003 | ||||||||
| Any day | 0.9973 | 0.9315 | 1.0677 | 0.94 | 0.9187 | 0.8514 | 0.9912 | 0.83 |
| 1st day | 1.0660 | 1.0017 | 1.1344 | < 0.05 | 1.6054 | 1.5012 | 1.7169 | 0.17 |
| 2nd day | 0.9674 | 0.8944 | 1.0463 | 0.41 | 0.6832 | 0.6288 | 0.7423 | 0.37 |
| 3rd day | 0.9424 | 0.8576 | 1.0355 | 0.22 | 0.4967 | 0.4496 | 0.5488 | 0.17 |
| 2004 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0521 | 1.0106 | 1.0953 | < 0.05 | 1.4140 | 1.3538 | 1.4770 | 0.12 |
| 1st day | 1.0301 | 0.9911 | 1.0706 | 0.13 | 1.1508 | 1.1043 | 1.1993 | 0.50 |
| 2nd day | 1.0119 | 0.9655 | 1.0606 | 0.62 | 1.3339 | 1.2687 | 1.4025 | 0.26 |
| 3rd day | 1.0559 | 0.9986 | 1.1164 | 0.06 | 1.7391 | 1.6377 | 1.8468 | 0.07 |
| 2005 | ||||||||
| Any day | 0.9626 | 0.9226 | 1.0043 | 0.08 | 0.5985 | 0.5712 | 0.6271 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 0.9893 | 0.9503 | 1.0299 | 0.60 | 0.9058 | 0.8673 | 0.9459 | 0.65 |
| 2nd day | 0.9827 | 0.9368 | 1.0309 | 0.47 | 0.6965 | 0.6617 | 0.7331 | 0.17 |
| 3rd day | 0.9788 | 0.9238 | 1.0370 | 0.47 | 0.9771 | 0.9176 | 1.0405 | 0.94 |
| 2006 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0057 | 0.9631 | 1.0502 | 0.80 | 1.1723 | 1.1160 | 1.2314 | 0.53 |
| 1st day | 1.0389 | 0.9929 | 1.0871 | 0.10 | 1.9436 | 1.8524 | 2.0393 | < 0.05 |
| 2nd day | 1.0106 | 0.9600 | 1.0639 | 0.69 | 1.1397 | 1.0798 | 1.2029 | 0.63 |
| 3rd day | 0.9787 | 0.9237 | 1.0370 | 0.47 | 0.9307 | 0.8750 | 0.9900 | 0.82 |
| 2007 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0045 | 0.9928 | 1.0164 | 0.45 | 1.1170 | 1.1022 | 1.1320 | 0.10 |
| 1st day | 1.0103 | 0.9953 | 1.0256 | 0.18 | 1.0935 | 1.0760 | 1.1113 | 0.28 |
| 2nd day | 0.9876 | 0.9695 | 1.0060 | 0.18 | 0.9083 | 0.8905 | 0.9265 | 0.34 |
| 3rd day | 1.0092 | 0.9868 | 1.0322 | 0.42 | 1.2268 | 1.1974 | 1.2568 | 0.10 |
| 2008 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0028 | 0.9919 | 1.0139 | 0.61 | 1.0166 | 1.0043 | 1.0290 | 0.79 |
| 1st day | 0.9990 | 0.9845 | 1.0136 | 0.89 | 0.9874 | 0.9719 | 1.0031 | 0.87 |
| 2nd day | 1.0150 | 0.9978 | 1.0326 | 0.09 | 1.1603 | 1.1389 | 1.1821 | 0.12 |
| 3rd day | 1.0110 | 0.9904 | 1.0321 | 0.30 | 1.1741 | 1.1483 | 1.2005 | 0.16 |
| 2009 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0017 | 0.9924 | 1.0110 | 0.73 | 1.0548 | 1.0440 | 1.0658 | 0.31 |
| 1st day | 1.0093 | 0.9964 | 1.0223 | 0.16 | 1.0897 | 1.0749 | 1.1048 | 0.22 |
| 2nd day | 0.9969 | 0.9814 | 1.0126 | 0.70 | 1.0539 | 1.0363 | 1.0717 | 0.54 |
| 3rd day | 0.9867 | 0.9670 | 1.0069 | 0.19 | 0.8997 | 0.8804 | 0.9194 | 0.34 |
| 2010 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0260 | 1.0159 | 1.0361 | < 0.05 | 1.1450 | 1.1323 | 1.1578 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0075 | 0.9939 | 1.0212 | 0.28 | 0.9894 | 0.9751 | 1.0041 | 0.89 |
| 2nd day | 1.0171 | 1.0005 | 1.0340 | < 0.05 | 1.1348 | 1.1147 | 1.1552 | 0.16 |
| 3rd day | 1.0312 | 1.0109 | 1.0519 | < 0.05 | 1.2961 | 1.2684 | 1.3245 | < 0.05 |
| 2011 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0004 | 0.9906 | 1.0103 | 0.94 | 1.1202 | 1.1079 | 1.1326 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0148 | 1.0011 | 1.0288 | < 0.05 | 1.2305 | 1.2127 | 1.2487 | < 0.05 |
| 2nd day | 0.9869 | 0.9705 | 1.0036 | 0.12 | 0.9523 | 0.9354 | 0.9696 | 0.59 |
| 3rd day | 1.0042 | 0.9838 | 1.0250 | 0.69 | 1.0736 | 1.0502 | 1.0975 | 0.53 |
| 2012 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0305 | 1.0205 | 1.0406 | < 0.05 | 1.2161 | 1.2029 | 1.2295 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0189 | 1.0055 | 1.0325 | < 0.05 | 1.1252 | 1.1093 | 1.1413 | 0.10 |
| 2nd day | 1.0180 | 1.0016 | 1.0347 | < 0.05 | 1.1157 | 1.0964 | 1.1353 | 0.22 |
| 3rd day | 1.0237 | 1.0034 | 1.0444 | < 0.05 | 1.2335 | 1.2073 | 1.2604 | 0.06 |
| 2013 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0168 | 1.0071 | 1.0266 | < 0.05 | 1.2231 | 1.2104 | 1.2360 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0043 | 0.9908 | 1.0181 | 0.53 | 1.0971 | 1.0812 | 1.1133 | 0.21 |
| 2nd day | 1.0108 | 0.9939 | 1.0279 | 0.21 | 1.1586 | 1.1380 | 1.1797 | 0.11 |
| 3rd day | 1.0225 | 1.0023 | 1.0431 | < 0.05 | 1.2665 | 1.2398 | 1.2939 | < 0.05 |
| 2014 | ||||||||
| Any day | 0.9986 | 0.9882 | 1.0091 | 0.79 | 1.0207 | 1.0088 | 1.0327 | 0.73 |
| 1st day | 0.9970 | 0.9829 | 1.0114 | 0.68 | 0.9818 | 0.9669 | 0.9970 | 0.82 |
| 2nd day | 0.9953 | 0.9782 | 1.0127 | 0.60 | 0.9519 | 0.9342 | 0.9699 | 0.61 |
| 3rd day | 1.0077 | 0.9858 | 1.0301 | 0.49 | 1.0709 | 1.0458 | 1.0966 | 0.57 |
| 2015 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0051 | 0.9947 | 1.0156 | 0.33 | 1.2467 | 1.2328 | 1.2607 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0071 | 0.9930 | 1.0214 | 0.33 | 1.1541 | 1.1368 | 1.1717 | 0.06 |
| 2nd day | 1.0177 | 1.0003 | 1.0354 | < 0.05 | 1.3149 | 1.2909 | 1.3393 | < 0.05 |
| 3rd day | 1.0173 | 0.9963 | 1.0388 | 0.11 | 1.3036 | 1.2747 | 1.3332 | < 0.05 |
| 2016 | ||||||||
| Any day | 1.0296 | 1.0186 | 1.0406 | < 0.05 | 1.1412 | 1.1278 | 1.1549 | < 0.05 |
| 1st day | 1.0277 | 1.0127 | 1.0430 | < 0.05 | 1.1876 | 1.1688 | 1.2066 | < 0.05 |
| 2nd day | 1.0295 | 1.0112 | 1.0482 | < 0.05 | 1.2437 | 1.2199 | 1.2681 | < 0.05 |
| 3rd day | 1.0230 | 1.0007 | 1.0457 | < 0.05 | 1.0712 | 1.0462 | 1.0968 | 0.57 |