Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement I.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
2000
Lag 0	0.9216	0.9197	0.9235	< 0.05	0.9833	0.9811	0.9856	0.16
Lags 0–1	0.8989	0.8967	0.9012	< 0.05	0.9878	0.9851	0.9906	0.39
Lags 0–2	0.8736	0.8711	0.8761	< 0.05	0.9957	0.9925	0.9990	0.80
Lags 0–3	0.8453	0.8426	0.8481	< 0.05	0.9959	0.9922	0.9996	0.83
Lags 0–4	0.8278	0.8249	0.8308	< 0.05	0.9896	0.9856	0.9937	0.61
2001
Lag 0	1.0651	1.0632	1.0670	< 0.05	1.0342	1.0321	1.0364	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.1001	1.0978	1.1025	< 0.05	1.0482	1.0456	1.0508	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.1190	1.1164	1.1217	< 0.05	1.0489	1.0459	1.0520	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.1407	1.1376	1.1437	< 0.05	1.0535	1.0501	1.0569	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.1591	1.1557	1.1625	< 0.05	1.0593	1.0555	1.0630	< 0.05
2002
Lag 0	0.9930	0.9915	0.9945	0.37	0.9933	0.9916	0.9949	0.43
Lags 0–1	0.9988	0.9970	1.0006	0.90	0.9986	0.9965	1.0006	0.89
Lags 0–2	0.9998	0.9977	1.0019	0.99	0.9963	0.9940	0.9986	0.75
Lags 0–3	0.9972	0.9948	0.9995	0.81	0.9887	0.9862	0.9913	0.40
Lags 0–4	0.9846	0.9820	0.9871	0.24	0.9736	0.9707	0.9764	0.07
2003
Lag 0	0.9895	0.9877	0.9912	0.23	1.0054	1.0035	1.0074	0.58
Lags 0–1	0.9850	0.9828	0.9871	0.17	1.0099	1.0074	1.0123	0.43
Lags 0–2	0.9590	0.9566	0.9614	< 0.05	0.9940	0.9911	0.9970	0.69
Lags 0–3	0.9577	0.9550	0.9604	< 0.05	0.9998	0.9964	1.0032	0.99
Lags 0–4	0.9570	0.9540	0.9600	< 0.05	1.0011	0.9973	1.0049	0.96
2004
Lag 0	1.0398	1.0387	1.0410	< 0.05	1.0137	1.0125	1.0149	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0428	1.0414	1.0441	< 0.05	1.0153	1.0139	1.0168	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0410	1.0395	1.0426	< 0.05	1.0153	1.0137	1.0169	0.06
Lags 0–3	1.0428	1.0411	1.0445	< 0.05	1.0178	1.0159	1.0196	0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0388	1.0369	1.0407	< 0.05	1.0119	1.0100	1.0139	0.24
2005
Lag 0	1.0515	1.0503	1.0527	< 0.05	1.0135	1.0122	1.0149	0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0779	1.0764	1.0793	< 0.05	1.0208	1.0192	1.0225	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.1114	1.1097	1.1132	< 0.05	1.0290	1.0271	1.0309	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.1355	1.1335	1.1375	< 0.05	1.0332	1.0310	1.0353	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.1494	1.1472	1.1516	< 0.05	1.0290	1.0267	1.0313	< 0.05
2006
Lag 0	0.9910	0.9898	0.9921	0.14	1.0108	1.0095	1.0122	0.11
Lags 0–1	0.9900	0.9886	0.9914	0.16	1.0158	1.0142	1.0174	0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9841	0.9825	0.9856	< 0.05	1.0194	1.0175	1.0212	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9782	0.9764	0.9799	< 0.05	1.0202	1.0181	1.0222	0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9759	0.9740	0.9778	< 0.05	1.0237	1.0214	1.0260	< 0.05
2007
Lag 0	1.0041	1.0036	1.0045	0.09	1.0113	1.0108	1.0118	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	0.9993	0.9988	0.9998	0.79	1.0122	1.0116	1.0128	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9944	0.9938	0.9950	0.06	1.0110	1.0103	1.0116	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9914	0.9907	0.9920	< 0.05	1.0092	1.0085	1.0099	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9903	0.9896	0.9910	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0090	1.0106	< 0.05
2008
Lag 0	0.9552	0.9547	0.9557	< 0.05	1.0062	1.0056	1.0067	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	0.9504	0.9498	0.9509	< 0.05	1.0105	1.0099	1.0112	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9413	0.9407	0.9419	< 0.05	1.0088	1.0081	1.0095	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9319	0.9312	0.9325	< 0.05	1.0077	1.0069	1.0085	0.06
Lags 0–4	0.9250	0.9243	0.9257	< 0.05	1.0075	1.0066	1.0084	0.10
2009
Lag 0	1.0319	1.0314	1.0324	< 0.05	1.0067	1.0062	1.0072	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0353	1.0347	1.0358	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0092	1.0104	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0344	1.0338	1.0350	< 0.05	1.0093	1.0087	1.0100	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0346	1.0339	1.0352	< 0.05	1.0085	1.0077	1.0092	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0355	1.0348	1.0362	< 0.05	1.0069	1.0061	1.0077	0.08
2010
Lag 0	1.0268	1.0263	1.0273	< 0.05	1.0102	1.0097	1.0107	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0374	1.0368	1.0379	< 0.05	1.0136	1.0131	1.0142	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0425	1.0419	1.0431	< 0.05	1.0126	1.0120	1.0133	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0442	1.0435	1.0448	< 0.05	1.0113	1.0106	1.0120	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0436	1.0429	1.0443	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0090	1.0105	< 0.05
2011
Lag 0	1.0092	1.0087	1.0097	< 0.05	1.0071	1.0066	1.0076	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0075	1.0070	1.0081	< 0.05	1.0090	1.0084	1.0096	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0013	1.0007	1.0019	0.68	1.0097	1.0090	1.0104	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9960	0.9953	0.9966	0.23	1.0083	1.0076	1.0090	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9934	0.9927	0.9941	0.07	1.0077	1.0069	1.0085	0.06
2012
Lag 0	0.9969	0.9964	0.9974	0.23	1.0062	1.0057	1.0068	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	0.9966	0.9961	0.9972	0.23	1.0080	1.0074	1.0086	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9914	0.9908	0.9920	< 0.05	1.0043	1.0036	1.0050	0.22
Lags 0–3	0.9859	0.9853	0.9866	< 0.05	1.0005	0.9998	1.0012	0.9
Lags 0–4	0.9819	0.9813	0.9826	< 0.05	0.9995	0.9987	1.0003	0.91
2013
Lag 0	1.0155	1.0150	1.0160	< 0.05	1.0051	1.0045	1.0056	0.07
Lags 0–1	1.0204	1.0198	1.0209	< 0.05	1.0087	1.0081	1.0093	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0264	1.0258	1.0270	< 0.05	1.0078	1.0071	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0342	1.0336	1.0349	< 0.05	1.0063	1.0056	1.0071	0.08
Lags 0–4	1.0416	1.0409	1.0423	< 0.05	1.0042	1.0034	1.0050	0.29
2014
Lag 0	0.9768	0.9763	0.9773	< 0.05	1.0037	1.0032	1.0043	0.21
Lags 0–1	0.9775	0.9769	0.9780	< 0.05	1.0034	1.0028	1.0040	0.3
Lags 0–2	0.9756	0.9750	0.9762	< 0.05	1.0025	1.0018	1.0032	0.48
Lags 0–3	0.9732	0.9726	0.9738	< 0.05	1.0023	1.0015	1.0030	0.55
Lags 0–4	0.9711	0.9705	0.9718	< 0.05	1.0024	1.0016	1.0032	0.56
2015
Lag 0	1.0257	1.0251	1.0262	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0074	1.0086	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0262	1.0256	1.0268	< 0.05	1.0077	1.0070	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0248	1.0241	1.0254	< 0.05	1.0070	1.0063	1.0077	0.06
Lags 0–3	1.0246	1.0239	1.0253	< 0.05	1.0054	1.0047	1.0062	0.17
Lags 0–4	1.0277	1.0269	1.0285	< 0.05	1.0063	1.0055	1.0072	0.14
2016
Lag 0	1.0261	1.0255	1.0267	< 0.05	1.0107	1.0100	1.0113	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0302	1.0295	1.0309	< 0.05	1.0106	1.0099	1.0114	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0344	1.0336	1.0351	< 0.05	1.0116	1.0108	1.0125	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0353	1.0345	1.0361	< 0.05	1.0115	1.0106	1.0124	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0333	1.0324	1.0342	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0088	1.0107	< 0.05