Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement I.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
2000
Lag 0	1.0093	1.0003	1.0185	0.84	1.0127	1.0028	1.0227	0.80
Lags 0–1	0.9539	0.9435	0.9644	0.40	0.9506	0.9392	0.9621	0.41
Lags 0–2	0.8877	0.8763	0.8992	0.07	0.8912	0.8785	0.9041	0.12
Lags 0–3	0.8555	0.8431	0.8682	< 0.05	0.8743	0.8601	0.8889	0.11
Lags 0–4	0.8119	0.7987	0.8253	< 0.05	0.8400	0.8246	0.8557	0.06
2001
Lag 0	1.0206	1.0132	1.0280	0.58	1.0262	1.0178	1.0346	0.54
Lags 0–1	1.0358	1.0272	1.0446	0.41	1.0482	1.0381	1.0584	0.34
Lags 0–2	1.0289	1.0192	1.0387	0.56	1.0418	1.0303	1.0534	0.47
Lags 0–3	1.0349	1.0241	1.0457	0.52	1.0398	1.0271	1.0527	0.53
Lags 0–4	1.0135	1.0021	1.0251	0.82	1.0164	1.0029	1.0301	0.81
2002
Lag 0	1.0415	1.0343	1.0488	0.25	1.0284	1.0206	1.0362	0.47
Lags 0–1	1.0618	1.0532	1.0704	0.15	1.0469	1.0376	1.0564	0.32
Lags 0–2	1.0774	1.0678	1.0872	0.10	1.0653	1.0547	1.0760	0.21
Lags 0–3	1.0574	1.0469	1.0680	0.27	1.0493	1.0378	1.0608	0.39
Lags 0–4	1.0259	1.0147	1.0372	0.65	1.0325	1.0201	1.0451	0.60
2003
Lag 0	1.0359	1.0283	1.0436	0.35	1.0578	1.0493	1.0663	0.17
Lags 0–1	1.0248	1.0158	1.0340	0.59	1.0630	1.0528	1.0733	0.22
Lags 0–2	1.0343	1.0237	1.0451	0.52	1.0781	1.0660	1.0904	0.19
Lags 0–3	1.0389	1.0269	1.0511	0.52	1.0832	1.0692	1.0974	0.23
Lags 0–4	1.0443	1.0311	1.0578	0.51	1.0648	1.0492	1.0806	0.40
2004
Lag 0	1.0119	1.0070	1.0167	0.63	1.0219	1.0167	1.0271	0.40
Lags 0–1	1.0274	1.0217	1.0331	0.34	1.0255	1.0194	1.0316	0.41
Lags 0–2	1.0143	1.0077	1.0209	0.67	1.0153	1.0083	1.0223	0.67
Lags 0–3	0.9966	0.9894	1.0040	0.93	1.0068	0.9990	1.0146	0.87
Lags 0–4	1.0059	0.9978	1.0141	0.89	1.0179	1.0092	1.0267	0.69
2005
Lag 0	1.0120	1.0075	1.0165	0.60	1.0236	1.0183	1.0288	0.37
Lags 0–1	1.0116	1.0065	1.0168	0.66	1.0334	1.0272	1.0395	0.28
Lags 0–2	1.0089	1.0031	1.0147	0.76	1.0364	1.0295	1.0434	0.30
Lags 0–3	1.0118	1.0054	1.0182	0.72	1.0402	1.0325	1.0479	0.30
Lags 0–4	1.0124	1.0055	1.0194	0.73	1.0431	1.0348	1.0514	0.30
2006
Lag 0	0.9948	0.9902	0.9994	0.83	0.9735	0.9686	0.9784	0.29
Lags 0–1	0.9852	0.9799	0.9905	0.59	0.9605	0.9548	0.9662	0.18
Lags 0–2	0.9720	0.9660	0.9781	0.37	0.9564	0.9499	0.9629	0.20
Lags 0–3	0.9730	0.9663	0.9797	0.44	0.9596	0.9523	0.9670	0.29
Lags 0–4	0.9799	0.9725	0.9873	0.60	0.9634	0.9553	0.9715	0.39
2007
Lag 0	0.9994	0.9967	1.0022	0.97	0.9989	0.9959	1.0018	0.94
Lags 0–1	0.9910	0.9878	0.9941	0.58	0.9949	0.9915	0.9983	0.77
Lags 0–2	0.9904	0.9868	0.9939	0.60	0.9946	0.9908	0.9984	0.78
Lags 0–3	0.9884	0.9844	0.9923	0.57	0.9937	0.9894	0.9979	0.77
Lags 0–4	0.9846	0.9803	0.9889	0.49	0.9950	0.9904	0.9997	0.83
2008
Lag 0	1.0107	1.0080	1.0135	0.44	1.0330	1.0299	1.0362	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0070	1.0038	1.0101	0.66	1.0296	1.0260	1.0331	0.10
Lags 0–2	1.0062	1.0027	1.0097	0.73	1.0272	1.0232	1.0312	0.18
Lags 0–3	1.0026	0.9988	1.0065	0.89	1.0226	1.0182	1.0270	0.31
Lags 0–4	1.0005	0.9964	1.0047	0.98	1.0192	1.0144	1.0240	0.43
2009
Lag 0	1.0077	1.0052	1.0101	0.54	0.9918	0.9892	0.9945	0.55
Lags 0–1	1.0108	1.0080	1.0137	0.45	0.9882	0.9851	0.9913	0.45
Lags 0–2	1.0131	1.0099	1.0162	0.42	0.9873	0.9838	0.9907	0.47
Lags 0–3	1.0162	1.0128	1.0197	0.36	0.9861	0.9824	0.9899	0.48
Lags 0–4	1.0177	1.0140	1.0215	0.35	0.9797	0.9756	0.9838	0.33
2010
Lag 0	0.9817	0.9791	0.9844	0.18	0.9947	0.9919	0.9975	0.71
Lags 0–1	0.9703	0.9674	0.9732	< 0.05	0.9812	0.9781	0.9843	0.24
Lags 0–2	0.9654	0.9623	0.9686	< 0.05	0.9783	0.9749	0.9817	0.22
Lags 0–3	0.9632	0.9598	0.9667	< 0.05	0.9778	0.9741	0.9815	0.25
Lags 0–4	0.9561	0.9524	0.9598	< 0.05	0.9716	0.9676	0.9757	0.17
2011
Lag 0	1.0303	1.0274	1.0332	< 0.05	1.0283	1.0252	1.0315	0.08
Lags 0–1	1.0182	1.0149	1.0215	0.27	1.0200	1.0164	1.0236	0.27
Lags 0–2	1.0074	1.0038	1.0111	0.69	1.0132	1.0092	1.0172	0.51
Lags 0–3	1.0092	1.0052	1.0133	0.65	1.0158	1.0114	1.0202	0.48
Lags 0–4	1.0116	1.0072	1.0160	0.60	1.0186	1.0137	1.0234	0.45
2012
Lag 0	1.0170	1.0142	1.0198	0.23	1.0058	1.0029	1.0088	0.70
Lags 0–1	1.0267	1.0236	1.0299	0.09	1.0137	1.0104	1.0170	0.41
Lags 0–2	1.0389	1.0354	1.0423	< 0.05	1.0293	1.0256	1.0329	0.11
Lags 0–3	1.0430	1.0393	1.0468	< 0.05	1.0338	1.0298	1.0378	0.09
Lags 0–4	1.0450	1.0409	1.0490	< 0.05	1.0359	1.0316	1.0402	0.10
2013
Lag 0	0.9742	0.9713	0.9772	0.09	0.9900	0.9867	0.9934	0.57
Lags 0–1	0.9638	0.9604	0.9671	< 0.05	0.9816	0.9778	0.9854	0.35
Lags 0–2	0.9661	0.9624	0.9697	0.07	0.9935	0.9893	0.9978	0.77
Lags 0–3	0.9654	0.9615	0.9694	0.09	0.9987	0.9940	1.0034	0.96
Lags 0–4	0.9676	0.9633	0.9719	0.14	1.0040	0.9989	1.0091	0.88
2014
Lag 0	1.0251	1.0217	1.0285	0.14	1.0152	1.0115	1.0188	0.41
Lags 0–1	1.0356	1.0318	1.0394	0.06	1.0171	1.0130	1.0214	0.42
Lags 0–2	1.0423	1.0381	1.0464	< 0.05	1.0251	1.0204	1.0298	0.29
Lags 0–3	1.0377	1.0332	1.0422	0.09	1.0203	1.0152	1.0255	0.44
Lags 0–4	1.0493	1.0445	1.0541	< 0.05	1.0338	1.0281	1.0395	0.24
2015
Lag 0	1.0060	1.0034	1.0086	0.65	1.0277	1.0247	1.0307	0.07
Lags 0–1	1.0075	1.0046	1.0105	0.62	1.0329	1.0294	1.0363	0.06
Lags 0–2	1.0052	1.0019	1.0085	0.76	1.0323	1.0284	1.0361	0.10
Lags 0–3	1.0061	1.0024	1.0098	0.75	1.0305	1.0263	1.0348	0.15
Lags 0–4	1.0094	1.0053	1.0135	0.65	1.0332	1.0286	1.0379	0.15
2016
Lag 0	1.0430	1.0388	1.0472	< 0.05	1.0173	1.0128	1.0219	0.45
Lags 0–1	1.0267	1.0220	1.0314	0.25	1.0002	0.9952	1.0053	0.99
Lags 0–2	1.0262	1.0211	1.0313	0.31	0.9940	0.9885	0.9996	0.83
Lags 0–3	1.0282	1.0227	1.0337	0.31	0.9899	0.9840	0.9959	0.74
Lags 0–4	1.0328	1.0269	1.0388	0.27	0.9904	0.9840	0.9968	0.77