Table 3.
Odds Ratios from Discrete-Time Event History Models Predicting Dissolution of First Marriage.
| Variable | M1 | M2 | M3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any premarital sexual partners | 2.61 (0.12)*** | 2.54 (0.14)*** | 2.52 (0.13)*** |
| Child and family characteristics | |||
| Sectarian | 0.89 (0.16) | ||
| Moderate/liberal protestant | 0.94 (0.15) | ||
| Catholic | 0.98 (0.17) | ||
| Other religion | 0.86 (0.20) | ||
| Religious attendance frequency | 0.98 (0.04) | ||
| Taken virginity pledge | 1.01 (0.10) | ||
| Sex in perfect relationship | 0.98 (0.09) | ||
| Depressive symptoms | 0.98 (0.10) | ||
| Delinquent behaviors | 1.10 (0.10) | ||
| Cautious decision-making style | 0.96 (0.06) | ||
| Parent–child relationship quality | 1.02 (0.06) | ||
| Parent–child activities in past 4 weeks | 0.99 (0.02) | ||
| Sociodemographic controls | |||
| Female | 0.90 (0.07) | 0.92 (0.07) | |
| Black | 1.21 (0.11)† | 1.27 (0.11)* | |
| Hispanic | 0.89 (0.11) | 0.86 (0.12) | |
| Other race | 1.23 (0.14) | 1.22 (0.14) | |
| Parent has HS diploma/GED | 1.09 (0.11) | 1.08 (0.12) | |
| Parent has some college | 1.09 (0.11) | 1.09 (0.11) | |
| Parent has a college degree | 0.90 (0.14) | 0.91 (0.14) | |
| Respondent has HS diploma | 0.81 (0.14) | 0.82 (0.14) | |
| Respondent has some post-HS | 0.95 (0.11) | 0.97 (0.12) | |
| Respondent has a BA | 0.62 (0.16)** | 0.64 (0.17)* | |
| Family structure transitions | 1.07 (0.03)* | 1.06 (0.03)† | |
| Age at first marriage | 0.87 (0.02)*** | 0.87 (0.02)*** | |
| Premarital birth | 0.99 (0.09) | 0.99 (0.09) | |
| Premarital cohabitation | 1.04 (0.09) | 1.02 (0.09) | |
| First sex at ages 16–17 | 0.90 (0.07) | 0.91 (0.07) | |
| First sex at age 18 or older | 0.95 (0.09) | 0.98 (0.09) | |
| Coercive sex as minor | 0.95 (0.10) | 0.96 (0.10) | |
| Months | 1.02 (0.00)*** | 1.02 (0.00)*** | 1.02 (0.00)*** |
| Months squared | 1.00 (0.00)*** | 1.00 (0.00)*** | 1.00 (0.00)*** |
| Deviance | 19,964 | 19,637 | 19,630 |
Note: N = 389,197 (marriage-months). Standard errors are in parentheses. Reference categories: White, respondent has less than a high school diploma, parent has less than a high school diploma, first sex before age 16, no religion.
†
p < .1,
*
p < .05,
**
p < .01,
***
p < .001 (2-tailed tests).