Table 2.
Epidemiological indicators by epidemic wave.
| Indicators | Epidemic waves and periods | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||||
| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | |
| Case details | |||||||||
| Number of cases | 250 | 28,181 | 3,870 | 32,617 | 13,563 | 3029 | 2150 | 15,308 | 580 |
| Relative percentage of casesa | 0.3 | 28.3 | 3.9 | 32.8 | 13.6 | 3 | 2.2 | 15.4 | 0.6 |
| Num. of cases with positive culture | 0 | 69 | 0 | 12 | 109 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 5 |
| Num. of cases with positive RDTb | 99 | 3398 | 6 | 569 | 1183 | 106 | 0 | 59 | 0 |
| Number of woredas ≥ one case reported | 6 | 407 | 61 | 127 | 237 | 62 | 78 | 71 | 3 |
| Number of woredas ≥ 10 cases reported | 2 | 237 | 24 | 72 | 129 | 21 | 35 | 53 | 3 |
| Number of woredas ≥ 50 cases reported | 2 | 108 | 8 | 56 | 56 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 3 |
| Percentage of number of woredas ≥ 50 casesc | 33.3 | 26.5 | 13.1 | 44.1 | 23.6 | 14.5 | 19.2 | 56.3 | 100.0 |
| Population exposed | 641,000 | 46,295,300 | 5,599,600 | 13,302,000 | 24,131,500 | 4,236,900 | 11,414,300 | 6,263,900 | 337,200 |
| Attack rate per 10,000 pop | 3.9 | 6.09 | 6.91 | 24.52 | 5.62 | 7.15 | 1.88 | 24.44 | 17.2 |
| Start week–end week period | W37 2015–W04 2016 | W05 2016–W47 2016 | W48 2016–W04 2017 | W05 2017–W20 2017 | W21 2017–W46 2017 | W21 2018–W01 2019 | W17 2019–W50 2019 | W51 2019–W09 2021 | W35 2021–W51 2021 |
| Duration in weeks | 21 | 43 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 33 | 34 | 64 | 17 |
| Standardized attack rate (10,000 pers−1.week−1) | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.77 | 1.53 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 1.01 |
| Death details | |||||||||
| Number of deaths | 2 | 182 | 14 | 46 | 101 | 33 | 24 | 228 | 7 |
| Relative percentage of deaths | 0.3 | 28.6 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 35.8 | 1.1 |
| Number of woredas ≥ one death reported | 2 | 74 | 5 | 15 | 46 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 2 |
| Overall case fatality ratio | 0.80 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 0.14 | 0.74 | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.49 | 1.21 |
| Case fatality ratio median (percentage) d | 0.84 | 2.37 | 1.42 | 1.47 | 2.41 | 2.38 | 2.04 | 1.9 | 1.68 |
| Case fatality ratio minimum–maximum (percentage)d | 0.79–0.9 | 0.07–50 | 0.23–6.67 | 0.06–20 | 0.17–33.33 | 0.88–10 | 0.47–100 | 0.42–14.29 | 1.13–2.22 |
aThe relative percentage is calculated over the entire 2015–2021 study period.
bRDT: Rapid diagnostic test.
cThe denominator corresponds to the number of woredas with at least one case reported.
dThe denominator corresponds to the number of woredas with at least one death reported.