Table 1.
Median and 95% Confidence Interval of Efficiency Metrics for 3 Control Strategies on 2 Empirical Social Contact Networks From Rural Madagascar
| Efficiency Metric | Testing Capacity, % | Mandena Network | Sarahandrano Network | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Random Testing | Targeted Testing, Known | Targeted Testing, Proxy |
Random Testing | Targeted Testing, Known |
Targeted Testing, Proxy | ||
| Epidemic duration | 0 | 44 (13–67) |
44 (13–67) |
44 (13–67) |
57 (19–85) |
57 (19–85) |
57 (19–85) |
| 25 | 46 (11–73) |
40 (10.75–71) |
42 (11–71) |
64 (11–116) |
59 (11–106) |
59.5 (11–103) |
|
| 100 | 48 (11–88) |
34 (11–71) |
35 (11–69) |
58 (39–91) |
57 (16–89) |
56 (11–102) |
|
| Infections per capita | 0 | 0.82 (.03–.87) |
0.82 (.03–.87) |
0.82 (.03–.87) |
0.86 (.02–.9) |
0.86 (.02–.9) |
0.86 (.02–.9) |
| 25 | 0.73 (.02–.87) |
0.41 (.02–.78) |
0.49 (.02–.82) |
0.65 (.01–.83) |
0.45 (.01–.75) |
0.51 (.01–.78) |
|
| 100 | 0.49 (.02–.69) |
0.22 (.02–.57) |
0.22 (.02–.55) |
0.5 (.01–.71) |
0.37 (.01–.62) |
0.37 (.01–.64) |
|
| Tests per capita | 25 | 0.28 (0–.45) |
0.20 (.01–.32) |
0.22 (.01–.34) |
0.35 (.01–.51) |
0.26 (0–.4) |
0.28 (0–.41) |
| 100 | 0.42 (.02–.64) |
0.15 (.01–.39) |
0.15 (.01–.38) |
0.38 (.01–.56) |
0.25 (0–.42) |
0.25 (0–.43) |
|
Represents median and confidence intervals from 1000 simulations. Testing capacity corresponds to monthly testing capacity, with 100% equal to the ability to test the full population monthly. Note that efficiency at 0% testing capacity is the same for all strategies because it represents the control strategy of no testing.