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. 2024 Apr 12;24:1013. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-18203-8

Table 3.

Estimated cases and hospitalizations averted by the vaccinate-or-test requirement for different increases in vaccination uptake

Percentage point increase in vaccination between 8/22 and 10/17 in population due to the vaccinate-or-test requirement (number of people this percentage represents)a Number Averted
5.6 percentage point (51,580) Cases 11,571
Hospitalizationsb 234
11.1 percentage point (103,160) Cases 23,593
Hospitalizationsb 477

aNote that we do not know what percentage point can be attributed to the vaccinate-or-test requirement, so the two scenarios here represent examples meant to illustrate what could have happened

bNumber of COVID-19 hospitalizations averted is calculated by multiplying the estimated number of averted cases by the infection-to-hospitalization ratio (factor of approximately 2.02%) [26]. Infection-to-hospitalization ratio is assumed not to vary with the vaccination coverage