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. 2024 Mar 27;27(1):e300958. doi: 10.1136/bmjment-2023-300958

Table 2.

Predictors of psychiatric admissions within 24 months postsupervision (n=1527)

Variables Events/ person-years Univariable analysis P value Multivariable analysis P value
sHR (95% CI) asHR (95% CI)
Sex
 Male 139/1604 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 Female 37/247 2.01 (1.40 to 2.90) <0.001 1.84 (1.24 to 2.73) 0.003
Age at baseline (years) 0.94 (0.87 to 0.99) 0.032 0.94 (0.88 to 0.99) 0.043
Indigenous status
 Non-Indigenous 122/1468 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 Indigenous 54/383 1.27 (0.92 to 1.75) 0.145 0.97 (0.68 to 1.40) 0.884
Previous incarceration
 0–1 episode 136/1659 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 2–3 episodes 21/136 0.91 (0.58 to 1.44) 0.691 0.95 (0.59 to 1.53) 0.838
 ≥4 episodes 19/56 1.81 (1.09 to 2.00) 0.015 1.67 (1.01 to 2.78) 0.047
Head injury
 No 97/1209 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 Yes 79/642 1.58 (1.18 to 2.13) 0.002 1.63 (1.20 to 2.21) 0.002
Alcohol and substance use disorder
 Not present 117/1574 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 Present 59/277 2.74 (2.00 to 3.76) <0.001 1.89 (1.29 to 2.77) 0.001
Personality disorder
 Not present 154/1811 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 Present 22/40 6.52 (4.03 to 10.53) <0.001 3.66 (2.06 to 6.48) <0.001
Psychosis
 Not present 150/1769 1.0 (ref) 1.0 (ref)
 Present 26/82 3.44 (2.02 to 5.88) <0.001 1.33 (0.70 to 2.53) 0.379

Age at baseline (expiration of criminal justice supervision) is a continuous variable.

asHR, adjusted subdistribution HR; sHR, subdistribution HR.