Table 5.
Step 4. Cut-points, frailty criterion evaluation
% (n) who were delisted/died | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | Cut-point | Sensitivity | Specificity | % frail | Not frail | Frail | AUC (95% CI) | NRI vs SPPB (95% CI) | NRI vs FFP (95% CI) |
LT-FS-Base: most clinically scalable (frailty measures + routinely available labs) | |||||||||
23.5 | 0.54 | 0.76 | 27.5 | 6.9 (17) | 21.3 (20) | 0.65 (0.56, 0.73) | 0.16 (−0.02,0.33) p = 0.08 | 0.11 (−0.08,0.30) p = 0.25 | |
LT-FS-Body Composition: Model 1 plus body composition: low ASMI | |||||||||
23.9 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 32.8 | 5.7 (13) | 21.4 (24) | 0.68 (0.60, 0.76)*, ** | 0.22 (0.02, 0.41) p = 0.03 | 0.20 (−0.02,0.42) p = 0.08 | |
LT-FS-Biomarker: Model 2 plus research-based novel biomarkers | |||||||||
28.2 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 35.4 | 3.6 (8) | 24.0 (29) | 0.74 (0.67, 0.81)*** | 0.34 (0.12, 0.56) p = 0.005 | 0.34 (0.12,0.56) p = 0.008 | |
% (n) who were delisted/died | |||||||||
Model | Cut point | Sensitivity | Specificity | % frail | Not frail | Frail | AUC (95% CI) | ||
| |||||||||
SPPB | <=9 | 0.51 | 0.63 | 38.6 | 8.6 (18) | 14.4 (19) | 0.57 (0.49, 0.66) | ||
FFP | >=3 | 0.39 | 0.72 | 29.4 | 8.7 (19) | 13.2 (12) | 0.55 (0.46, 0.64) |
SPPB = Short Physical Performance Battery; FFP = Fried Frailty Phenotype; AUC = area under the curve; NRI = Net Reclassification Index Binary cut-points for each model to define “frailty” were determined using ROC analyses. Youden, Distance to Perfect, and Balance criteria were used to define frailty cut-points. Based on cut-points, this Table demonstrates sensitivity, specificity, as well as the % frail by each criterion, % of frail and not frail that were delisted before transplant or died before or within 1 year after transplant and the area under the curve (AUC) of frailty models.
p-value for AUC comparison with SPPB = 0.07;
p-value for AUC comparison with FFP = 0.04;
p-value for AUC comparison with SPPB and FFP <= 0.003.