Table 3.
Comparison among fluid biomarkers on predicting tau PET positivity in cognitively impaired patients with in-bag estimates
| Single-cutoff approach | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | PPV | NPV | Sensitivity | |||||
| Mean | Difference | Mean | Difference | Mean | Difference | Mean | Difference | |
| Plasma %p-tau217 | 0.88 (0.85, 0.91) | Ref. | 0.88 (0.86, 0.90) | Ref. | 0.88 (0.82, 0.94) | Ref. | 0.86 (0.78, 0.93) | Ref. |
| CSF p-tau/Aβ42 | 0.82 (0.76, 0.87) | 0.06 (0.01, 0.12) | 0.86 (0.83, 0.89) | 0.02 (0.00, 0.04) | 0.79 (0.72, 0.87) | 0.09 (0.01, 0.16) | 0.72 (0.60, 0.84) | 0.14 (0.02, 0.25) |
| CSF Aβ42/40 | 0.68 (0.62, 0.76) | 0.20 (0.14, 0.26) | 0.79 (0.73, 0.84) | 0.10 (0.05, 0.15) | 0.65 (0.59, 0.72) | 0.24 (0.16, 0.31) | 0.42 (0.31, 0.57) | 0.44 (0.29, 0.56) |
| Two-cutoffs approach | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | PPV | NPV | Number of intermediate participants | |||||
| Mean | Difference | Mean | Difference | Mean | Difference | Mean | Difference* | |
| Plasma %p-tau217 | 0.94 (0.94, 0.95) | Ref. | 0.93 (0.92, 0.94) | Ref. | 0.95 (0.94, 0.96) | Ref. | 19.5 (11.6, 27.5) | Ref. |
| CSF p-tau/Aβ42 | 0.93 (0.92, 0.94) | 0.01 (0.00, 0.02) | 0.90 (0.85, 0.92) | 0.04 (0.01, 0.08) | 0.95 (0.94, 0.96) | 0.00 (−0.01, 0.01) | 34.0 (24.1, 42.8) | 0.14 (0.04, 0.24) |
| CSF Aβ42/40 | 0.91 (0.89, 0.92) | 0.03 (0.02, 0.05) | 0.81 (0.68, 0.88) | 0.12 (0.06, 0.25) | 0.94 (0.94, 0.95) | 0.01 (0.00, 0.02) | 49.1 (41.9, 57.0) | 0.30 (0.20, 0.39) |
Comparison estimates among fluid biomarkers on predicting tau PET positivity in cognitively impaired patients from the BioFINDER-2 cohort. For the single-cutoff approach, the cutoffs of fluid biomarkers were derived by maximizing sensitivity and fixing specificity at 90% against each imaging outcome. For the two-cutoffs approach, the lower cutoff was obtained by maximizing specificity with sensitivity fixed at 95%, whereas the upper cutoff was obtained by maximizing sensitivity and fixing specificity at 95%. Participants who fall between these two cutoffs were classified in the intermediate group. Differences between the statistics using plasma %p-tau217 (reference) and CSF biomarkers are shown together with the mean values. We considered plasma and CSF biomarkers clinically equivalent if the 95% CI of the mean difference included zero and clinically superior if it did not include zero and favored plasma (>0). *Differences in the number of participants in the intermediate group were scaled to a maximum of 1 to be comparable with the other differences. Tau PET positivity was assessed using an in-house previously validated cutoff (SUVR > 1.32 for both cohorts in Braak I–IV). CSF, cerebrospinal fluid; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; SUVR, standardized uptake value ratio; CI, confidence interval