Table 1.
Steps 1− 3 of the Analysis by Drug |
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---|---|---|---|
Drug | Step 1: Pure Deaths 2017 | Step 2: Pure Seizures 2017 | Step 3: Lethality Ratio (LR) |
Fentanyl | 1497 | 3812 | 0.393 |
Cocaine | 254 | 5781 | 0.044 |
Prescription Opioids | 217 | 3650 | 0.059 |
Heroin | 110 | 2486 | 0.044 |
Amphetamines | 85 | 9012 | 0.009 |
Benzodiazepines | 28 | 5437 | 0.005 |
Step 4: Street Drug Lethality Index (SDLI) by Drug and Year |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Fentanyl | Cocaine | Prescription Opioids | Heroin | Amphetamines | Benzodiazepines |
2009 | 15 | 252 | 277 | 134 | 16 | 16 |
2010 | 12 | 205 | 317 | 134 | 13 | 16 |
2011 | 11 | 218 | 323 | 169 | 17 | 18 |
2012 | 11 | 176 | 315 | 242 | 27 | 20 |
2013 | 27 | 202 | 289 | 291 | 29 | 19 |
2014 | 220 | 215 | 285 | 340 | 29 | 18 |
2015 | 565 | 245 | 314 | 403 | 40 | 20 |
2016 | 1435 | 312 | 298 | 343 | 61 | 30 |
2017 | 2123 | 300 | 270 | 225 | 98 | 31 |
2018 | 1989 | 268 | 258 | 208 | 131 | 26 |
Steps 5: Summed Annual Lethality Index (SALI) and Observed and Predicted Unintentional Overdose Deaths by Year | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Step 5:SALI | Observed | Predicted | |
2009 | 710 | 1389 | 1730 | |
2010 | 697 | 1511 | 1719 | |
2011 | 756 | 1720 | 1774 | |
2012 | 791 | 1864 | 1808 | |
2013 | 857 | 2065 | 1872 | |
2014 | 1107 | 2476 | 2123 | |
2015 | 1587 | 2986 | 2652 | |
2016 | 2479 | 3939 | 3788 | |
2017 | 3047 | 4979 | 4617 | |
2018 | 2880 | 3614 | 4362 |
Note: Step 1 is a count of all unintentional overdose deaths attributable to only one drug of abuse (single-drug deaths) for calendar year 2017.
Step 2 is a count of all seizure events from the Ohio Bureau of Criminal Investigation database where only one drug was present (single-drug seizures).
Step 3 is the lethality ratio calculated by dividing single-drug deaths by single-drug seizures.
Step 4 calculates the Street Drug Lethality Index (SDLI) by multiplying the total number of seizures (single-drug and mixed) by the lethality ratios calculated in step 3.
Step 5, is the summation of all annual SDLI scores, SALI. SALI is used as the predictor variable in the regression analysis.