Table 4.

Partial rank correlation coefficient (PRCC) values for select model parameters and outputs.

	Outcome Measures
	Total Cases		Maximum Tick Infection Rate		Patch Occupancy over 10 years
Parameter	Estimate [95% CI]	p-value	Estimate [95% CI]	p-value	Estimate [95% CI]	p-value
Dog population size	0.33 [0.27, 0.39]	<0.01	−0.01 [-0.07, −0.05]	0.82	0.00 [-0.07, 0.06]	0.89
Dog movement	0.02 [-0.05, 0.08]	0.61	0.04 [-0.02, 0.10]	0.20	0.01 [-0.05, 0.07]	0.71
$\mu$ (Daily per capita birth/death rate)	0.48 [0.42, 0.53]	<0.01	0.10 [0.04, 0.16]	<0.01	0.24 [0.18, 0.30]	0.30
$\omega$ (Loss of Immunity)	−0.09 [-0.15, −0.02]	0.02	−0.02 [-0.08, 0.04]	0.51	−0.05 [-0.12, 0.01]	0.09
$M_{Adult}$	0.51 [0.45, 0.56]	0.01	0.57 [0.52, 0.62]	<0.01	0.46 [0.41, 0.52]	<0.01
$\gamma$ (recovery rate)	−0.38 [-0.44, −0.32]	<0.01	−0.76 [-0.80, −0.72]	<0.01	−0.44 [-0.49, −0.38]	<0.01
Ratio of adults to immature stages	0.1 [0.04, 0.17]	<0.01	0.54 [0.48, 0.59]	<0.01	0.37 [0.32, 0.43]	<0.01
${\beta }_{Larva}$	0.02 [-0.04, 0.08]	<0.53	0.18 [0.12, 0.24]	<0.01	0.04 [-0.03, 0.10]	0.27
${\beta }_{Nymph}$	0.27 [0.21, 0.23]	<0.01	0.68 [0.63, 0.72]	<0.01	0.26 [0.20, 0.32]	<0.01
${\beta }_{Adult}$	0.06 [0.00, 0.12]	0.07	0.33 [0.27, 0.39]	<0.01	0.03 [-0.03, 0.10]	0.13
$ToT$	0.47 [0.42, 0.43]	<0.01	0.90 [0.87, 0.92]	<0.01	0.43 [0.38, 0.49]	<0.01
Year 1: low, high, or medium tick year	0.10 [0.04, 0.17]	<0.01	0.10 [0.04, 0.16]	<0.01	0.12 [0.06, 0.18]	<0.01
Interstadial time (TL, or tick lag)	−0.07 [-0.13, −0.01]	0.02	−0.15 [-0.22, −0.09]	<0.01	−0.08 (−0.15, −0.02)	0.01