Rating of the likelihood of pest freedom	Almost always pest free (based on the median)
Percentile of the distribution	5%	25%	Median	75%	95%
Proportion of pest‐free bags	9990 out of 10,000 bags	9995 out of 10,000 bags	9997 out of 10,000 bags	9999 out of 10,000 bags	10,000 out of 10,000 bags
Proportion of infected bags	0 out of 10,000 bags	1 out of 10,000 bags	3 out of 10,000 bags	5 out of 10,000 bags	10 out of 10,000 bags
Summary of the information used for the evaluation	Possibility that the pest could become associated with the commodity The aphid‐transmitted pepper veinal mottle virus (PVMV) and potato leafroll virus (PLRV) are present in Kenya. Petunia spp. are reported to be hosts of PVMV. There are no records for Petunia spp. as hosts for PLRV, and Calibrachoa spp. for PLRV and PVMV. However, given their broad host range among solanaceous plants, they are likely to be hosts as well. The main pathway of entrance of these viruses from the surrounding environment in the nursery is through viruliferous aphids Measures taken against the pest and their efficacy The imported plant material (in vitro tissue cultures and unrooted cuttings) from Germany, Portugal, Spain and Israel is reported to be certified (Naktuinbouw Elite). This material is held in post entry quarantine facilities where monthly inspected by NPPO and plants are tested for specific viruses before being approved for further multiplication. The mother plants used for the producing of cuttings to be exported are then grown in dedicated greenhouses, enclosed with thrips‐proof nets (vector control). There are hygienic measures in place for nursery workers entering the production unit. All greenhouses have double doors. Daily scouting is conducted by nursery staff and sticky traps are used for monitoring insects in and outside the greenhouses. Biological control methods and the application of pesticides are implemented when necessary for insect vector control. Three to four weeks after planting, and before the start of harvesting mother plants are sampled and tested at 100%, following during active growth by additional routine sampling (at 10%–25%) by farmers, weekly or biweekly and testing in EU‐accredited laboratories. Furthermore, once every 3 weeks, NPPO performs an official inspection in the greenhouses. In the case of B. tabaci or F. occidentalis occurrence, export is suspended and 10% of the mother plants are sampled and tested for begomoviruses or tospoviruses presence and export is recommended, only when tests are negative Shortcomings of current measures/procedures PLRV is not included in the testing scheme of the mother plants Main uncertainties The efficiency of detecting early aphid infestations and virus presence, especially in low infection levels. The intensity and the design of surveillance scheme for aphids and the aphid‐transmitted viruses (if any). Infection (PVMV and PLRV) and infestation (aphids) pressure in the environment of the nursery (presence and distribution of host plants in the surroundings).