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. 2024 May 7;24:110. doi: 10.1186/s12874-024-02235-0

Table 4.

Operating characteristics of two-stage futility designs with the final sample size N=100

Stage 1 Sample Size N1=30 Stage 1 Sample Size N1=50 Stage 1 Sample Size N1=70
Futility Threshold Effectiveness Success Rate Probability of Rejecting Null Hypothesis Expected Sample Size (E(N)) Probability of Early Termination (PET) Probability of Rejecting Null Hypothesis Expected Sample Size (E(N)) Probability of Early Termination (PET) Probability of Rejecting Null Hypothesis Expected Sample Size (E(N)) Probability of Early Termination (PET)
0.05 0.5 0.017 70.11 0.427 0.017 66.80 0.664 0.018 76.12 0.796
0.55 0.116 84.18 0.226 0.117 80.75 0.385 0.12 85.06 0.498
0.6 0.441 93.98 0.086 0.439 92.85 0.143 0.446 93.97 0.201
0.65 0.818 98.32 0.024 0.817 97.95 0.041 0.829 98.74 0.042
0.7 0.975 99.58 0.006 0.973 99.50 0.01 0.976 99.88 0.004
0.10 0.5 0.016 59.68 0.576 0.016 63.05 0.739 0.016 74.11 0.863
0.55 0.114 76.48 0.336 0.115 76.45 0.471 0.117 82.00 0.600
0.6 0.428 89.01 0.157 0.427 89.65 0.207 0.44 92.08 0.264
0.65 0.799 95.31 0.067 0.810 96.95 0.061 0.826 97.93 0.069
0.7 0.966 98.74 0.018 0.969 99.15 0.017 0.971 99.55 0.015
0.15 0.5 0.016 57.93 0.601 0.016 61.20 0.776 0.015 73.15 0.895
0.55 0.110 73.61 0.377 0.114 74.40 0.512 0.115 80.56 0.648
0.6 0.419 87.12 0.184 0.423 88.20 0.236 0.429 90.67 0.311
0.65 0.795 94.47 0.079 0.806 96.60 0.068 0.817 97.27 0.091
0.7 0.964 98.6 0.020 0.968 99.05 0.019 0.969 99.31 0.023

Note: Probabilities of rejecting null hypothesis of single-stage design with the final sample size of N=100 are 0.0185, 0.1344, 0.461, 0.8332, and 0.9793 when the effectiveness success rates are 0.5, 0.55, 0.60, 0.65, and 0.7, respectively