Table 4.
Operating characteristics of two-stage futility designs with the final sample size
Stage 1 Sample Size | Stage 1 Sample Size | Stage 1 Sample Size | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futility Threshold | Effectiveness Success Rate | Probability of Rejecting Null Hypothesis | Expected Sample Size () | Probability of Early Termination () | Probability of Rejecting Null Hypothesis | Expected Sample Size () | Probability of Early Termination () | Probability of Rejecting Null Hypothesis | Expected Sample Size () | Probability of Early Termination () |
0.05 | 0.5 | 0.017 | 70.11 | 0.427 | 0.017 | 66.80 | 0.664 | 0.018 | 76.12 | 0.796 |
0.55 | 0.116 | 84.18 | 0.226 | 0.117 | 80.75 | 0.385 | 0.12 | 85.06 | 0.498 | |
0.6 | 0.441 | 93.98 | 0.086 | 0.439 | 92.85 | 0.143 | 0.446 | 93.97 | 0.201 | |
0.65 | 0.818 | 98.32 | 0.024 | 0.817 | 97.95 | 0.041 | 0.829 | 98.74 | 0.042 | |
0.7 | 0.975 | 99.58 | 0.006 | 0.973 | 99.50 | 0.01 | 0.976 | 99.88 | 0.004 | |
0.10 | 0.5 | 0.016 | 59.68 | 0.576 | 0.016 | 63.05 | 0.739 | 0.016 | 74.11 | 0.863 |
0.55 | 0.114 | 76.48 | 0.336 | 0.115 | 76.45 | 0.471 | 0.117 | 82.00 | 0.600 | |
0.6 | 0.428 | 89.01 | 0.157 | 0.427 | 89.65 | 0.207 | 0.44 | 92.08 | 0.264 | |
0.65 | 0.799 | 95.31 | 0.067 | 0.810 | 96.95 | 0.061 | 0.826 | 97.93 | 0.069 | |
0.7 | 0.966 | 98.74 | 0.018 | 0.969 | 99.15 | 0.017 | 0.971 | 99.55 | 0.015 | |
0.15 | 0.5 | 0.016 | 57.93 | 0.601 | 0.016 | 61.20 | 0.776 | 0.015 | 73.15 | 0.895 |
0.55 | 0.110 | 73.61 | 0.377 | 0.114 | 74.40 | 0.512 | 0.115 | 80.56 | 0.648 | |
0.6 | 0.419 | 87.12 | 0.184 | 0.423 | 88.20 | 0.236 | 0.429 | 90.67 | 0.311 | |
0.65 | 0.795 | 94.47 | 0.079 | 0.806 | 96.60 | 0.068 | 0.817 | 97.27 | 0.091 | |
0.7 | 0.964 | 98.6 | 0.020 | 0.968 | 99.05 | 0.019 | 0.969 | 99.31 | 0.023 |
Note: Probabilities of rejecting null hypothesis of single-stage design with the final sample size of are 0.0185, 0.1344, 0.461, 0.8332, and 0.9793 when the effectiveness success rates are 0.5, 0.55, 0.60, 0.65, and 0.7, respectively