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. 2024 May 9;111(5):znae070. doi: 10.1093/bjs/znae070

Table 16.

Duodenal adenocarcinoma risk factors

Element Interpretation Data and study
Spigelman stage IV Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal cancer: 15.3% versus 7.1% (P = 0.003)98
OR, 8.8; 95% c.i., 2.1–36.698
Duodenal adenoma HGD Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal cancer: 29.4% versus 5.9% (P = 0.003)98
OR, 9.2; 95% c.i., 1.7–49.998
Duodenal adenoma >10 mm Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal cancer: 76.5% versus 47.1% (P = 0.027)98
OR, 6.2; 95% c.i., 1.7–23.198
Duodenal adenoma with tubulovillous or villous histology Not risk factor Similar among cases and controls (P = 0.43)98
OR, 1.9; 95% c.i., 0.4–3.498
Papilla TV/V histology Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal cancer: 83.3% versus 22.4% (P < 0.001)98
Papilla HGD Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal cancer: 25.0% versus 3.5% (P = 0.02)98
Spigelman stage, at first endoscopy Risk factor 33% for stage IV, 13% for stage III, 12% for stage II, 0% for stage I and 0104
Family history of CRC Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal cancer: 58.8% versus 33.3% (P = 0.048)98
Family history of duodenal polyposis Not risk factor Similar risk of duodenal cancer99
Personal history CRC Risk factor
Not risk factor
⇑ among duodenal cancer: 22.2% versus 4.7% (P = 0.012)98
Similar duodenal cancer risk: OR, 1.331 (P = 0.56)110
Personal history of desmoids Not risk factor Similar risk of duodenal cancer99
Personal history of thyroid cancer Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal polyposis (P = 0.031)121
Personal history of gastric cancer Risk factor ⇑among duodenal polyposis (OR, 6.260; 95% c.i., 1.504, 26.056)121
Type of colon surgery Risk factor
Not risk factor
⇑ risk of stage IV Spigelman for ileoanal anastomosis versus ileorectal anastomosis (P = 0.0029)116.
Similar risk of duodenal cancer99
Sulindac Protective ⇓ among duodenal cancer: 11.1% versus 41.2% (P = 0.016)98
Celecoxib Protective ⇓ among duodenal cancer: 5.6% versus 32.9% (P = 0.019)98
Ageing Risk factor Progressive increase in Spigelman stage111
Score: +0.30 points/year
Stage: +0.12/year
Gastric polyposis Risk factor ⇑ among duodenal polyposis: OR, 2.814 (P = 0.024)110
Sex Not risk factor
Not risk factor
Similar duodenal cancer risk110
Similar risk of duodenal cancer99
Age at diagnosis of FAP Not risk factor
Not risk factor
Risk factor
Not risk factor
OR 0.438 (P = 0.124)110
Similar risk of duodenal cancer99
⇑among duodenal polyposis (OR, 0.963; 95% c.i., 0.937, 0.990)121
Similar risk of duodenal polyposis127
COX-2 polymorphisms Not risk factor Similar distribution of Spigelman stages124
UGT and GST polymorphisms Not risk factor Similar distribution of Spigelman stages334
Pregnancy Variable ⇑ among polyposis stage III/IV, but only if APC mutations before codon 1020 (50% versus 0%, P = 0.005)105
APC mutation site Risk factor
Not risk factor
Not risk factor
Not risk factor
Not risk factor
⇑ polyposis risk if at codon 3183–3187121
Similar duodenal cancer risk98
Similar duodenal cancer risk99
Similar duodenal cancer risk104
Similar risk of duodenal polyposis127

CRC, colorectal cancer; FAP, familial adenomatous polyposis; HGD, high-grade dysplasia; TV/V, tubulovillous or villous.