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. 2024 May 14;21(5):e1004364. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004364

Table 2. Average excess death ratio and deaths per 10 million residents associated with heatwaves per warm season from 1990–1999 to 2010–2019 by continent and region.

Excess death ratio (%) Excess deaths per 10 million residents
1990–1999 (eCIs) 2010–2019 (eCIs) Change per decade% 1990–1999 (eCIs) 2010–2019 (eCIs) Change per decade%
Global 0.96 (0.70 to 1.24) 0.97 (0.68 to 1.21) 0.53 261 (191 to 337) 227 (159 to 283) −7.2
Americas 0.46 (0.23 to 0.69) 0.45 (0.22 to 0.66) −1.14 100 (50 to 150) 97 (48 to 143) −1.6
Northern America 0.61 (0.35 to 0.86) 0.60 (0.35 to 0.84) −0.86 158 (90 to 222) 153 (88 to 214) −1.7
Latin American and Caribbean 0.34 (0.13 to 0.55) 0.33 (0.13 to 0.53) −1.52 65 (24 to 106) 64 (25 to 102) −0.81
Europe 1.94 (1.72 to 2.24) 2.10 (1.78 to 2.31) 4.08 648 (576 to 750) 687 (581 to 756) 2.98
Northern Europe 1.39 (1.16 to 1.62) 1.34 (1.10 to 1.53) −1.85 456 (382 to 532) 373 (307 to 428) −10.20
Southern Europe 2.23 (2.01 to 2.52) 2.40 (2.08 to 2.62) 3.66 628 (565 to 711) 713 (618 to 778) 6.36
Western Europe 1.79 (1.60 to 2.06) 1.71 (1.46 to 1.88) −2.29 534 (478 to 613) 500 (427 to 549) −3.35
Eastern Europe 2.04 (1.80 to 2.39) 2.36 (1.96 to 2.60) 7.69 783 (689 to 914) 904 (748 to 995) 7.38
Africa 0.76 (0.43 to 1.08) 0.71 (0.41 to 0.97) −3.62 314 (181 to 450) 185 (107 to 252) −28.17
Northern Africa 1.16 (0.83 to 1.52) 1.27 (0.87 to 1.60) 4.58 268 (192 to 352) 230 (158 to 289) −7.95
Sub-Saharan Africa 0.70 (0.38 to 1.02) 0.62 (0.34 to 0.87) −6.45 327 (178 to 478) 173 (94 to 243) −33.92
Asia 0.85 (0.59 to 1.12) 0.89 (0.59 to 1.13) 2.35 205 (143 to 270) 190 (126 to 242) −3.91
Central Asia 0.84 (0.56 to 1.17) 1.07 (0.66 to 1.36) 12.23 209 (139 to 289) 222 (137 to 283) 3.00
Southern Asia 1.07 (0.77 to 1.38) 1.08 (0.76 to 1.38) 0.47 308 (219 to 394) 230 (163 to 294) −15.18
Western Asia 0.75 (0.53 to 1.01) 1.04 (0.69 to 1.31) 16.11 142 (100 to 191) 167 (111 to 210) 8.28
Eastern Asia 0.71 (0.49 to 0.96) 0.79 (0.50 to 0.99) 5.33 148 (102 to 200) 178 (112 to 222) 9.32
South-eastern Asia 0.50 (0.28 to 0.70) 0.50 (0.26 to 0.69) 0.00 114 (65 to 160) 106 (55 to 147) −3.96
Oceania 0.68 (−0.09 to 1.49) 0.59 (−0.10 to 1.27) −7.38 150 (−21 to 331) 126 (−22 to 272) −9.02
Australia and New Zealand 0.67 (−0.13 to 1.54) 0.67 (−0.13 to 1.42) 0.00 142 (−27 to 328) 137 (−26 to 288) −1.82
Other regions in Oceania* 0.71 (0.10 to 1.31) 0.38 (0.03 to 0.88) −35.87 181 (26 to 336) 95 (7 to 219) −36.44

*Other regions in Oceania are defined as all areas outside of Australia and New Zealand in Oceania. All other regions in the table are defined according to the UN Statistics Division (M49) regional groupings. %Changeperdecade=ChangeperdecadeThemeanvaluein19902019×100%. Change per decade is calculated using a linear regression.

eCIs, empirical CIs.