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. 2024 May 16;13(10):e7243. doi: 10.1002/cam4.7243

TABLE 1.

Model inputs.

Parameter Base case Lower limit Upper limit Distribution Source
Clinical inputs
Progression‐free survival
Toripalimab: Log Normal‐Lambda 2.567 2.310 2.824 Lognormal

Extrapolated from published

KM curves from JUIPTER‐02

Toripalimab: Log Normal‐Gamma 0.913 0.822 1.005 Lognormal
Chemotherapy: Log Logistic‐Lambda 2.118 1.906 2.330 Lognormal
Chemotherapy: Log Logistic‐Gamma 0.341 0.307 0.375 Lognormal
Overall survival
Toripalimab: Log Logistic – Lambda 4.094 3.685 4.504 Lognormal

Extrapolated from published

KM curves from JUIPTER‐02

Toripalimab: Log Logistic – Gamma 0.701 0.631 0.772 Lognormal
Chemotherapy: Log Normal – Lambda 3.438 3.095 3.783 Lognormal
Chemotherapy: Log Normal – Gamma 0.842 0.758 0.927 Lognormal
Utility inputs
Toripalimab: PFS 0.68 0.61 0.75 Beta 21
Toripalimab: PD 0.66 0.59 0.73 Beta 21
Chemotherapy: PFS 0.61 0.55 0.67 Beta 21
Chemotherapy: PD 0.47 0.42 0.52 Beta 21
Discount rate, %
Cost 3 0 8 Beta 17
QALY 3 0 8 Beta 17
Costs inputs (per cycle/ per event), $
Costs of medication
Toripalimab 8892 8803 9781 Gamma 22
Cisplatin 33 29 36 Gamma 22
Gemcitabine 73 66 80 Gamma 22
Costs of progressive disease
Toripalimab 73,143 65,829 80,457 Gamma 18, 22–24
Chemotherapy 88,914 80,023 97,806 Gamma 18, 22–24
Costs of disease management 637 573 701 Gamma 25
Costs of drug administration 651 586 716 Gamma 25, 26
Costs of terminal care 11,126 10,013 12,239 Gamma 26
Costs of adverse events
Neutropenia 10,073 9066 11,081 Gamma 25
Leukopenia 10,073 9066 11,081 Gamma 25
Anemia 8072 7264 8879 Gamma 25
Thrombocytopenia 9546 8592 10,501 Gamma 25, 27
Lymphopenia 19,805 17,824 21,785 Gamma 26
Hypokalemia 11,889 10,700 13,078 Gamma 27
Hyponatremia 8186 7368 9005 Gamma 27
Pneumonia 16,681 15,013 18,349 Gamma 27

Abbreviations: PD, progressive disease; PFS, progression‐free survival; QALY, quality‐adjusted life year.