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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2024 May 20.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Cardiol. 2023 Sep 5;82(10):1039–1050. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2023.06.029

TABLE 1.

Review of studies investigating effect of AF burden on thromboembolic risk

First Author, Year N Data Source AF Burden Definition Outcome
Clinical AF
Hart,9 2000 2012 SPAF I, II, III studies Clinical classification of AF No difference in risk of TE events with intermittent vs. sustained AF (3.2% vs. 3.3% per year)
Hohnholser,10 2007 6706 ACTIVE-W study Clinical classification of AF No difference in risk of TE events with paroxysmal vs. sustained AF (RR 0.94, CI 0.63-1.40, p = 0.755)
Disertori,11 2013 1234 GISSI study Clinical classification of AF No difference in risk of TE events with persistent vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 2.14, CI 0.68-6.79, p = 0.20)
Steinberg,12 2015 14062 ROCKET-AF study Clinical classification of AF Increased risk of TE events with persistent vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 1.28, CI 1.01-1.64, p = 0.045)
Link,13 2017 21105 ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 study Clinical classification of AF Increased risk of TE events with persistent vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 1.27, CI 1.11-1.52, p = 0.015) and permanent vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 1.30, CI 1.15-1.43, p < 0.001)
Al-Khatib,14 2013 18201 ARISTOTLE study Clinical classification of AF Increased risk of TE events with persistent or permanent AF vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 1.43, CI 1.08-1.96, p = 0.015)
Lip,15 2008 7329 SPORTIF III and V studies Clinical classification of AF Increased risk of TE events with persistent vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 1.87, CI 1.04-3.36, p = 0.037)
Vanassche,16 2015 6563 ACTIVE-A and AVERROES studies Clinical classification of AF Increased risk of ischemic stroke with persistent vs. paroxysmal (HR 1.44, CI 1.05-1.98, p = 0.02) and permanent vs. paroxysmal AF (HR 1.83, CI 1.43-2.35, p < 0.001)
Go,17 2018 1965 KP-RHYTHM study Percent time in AF Increased risk of TE events with highest tertile of AF burden (≥11.4%) compared to lower tertiles (HR 3.16, CI 1.51-6.62)
Chew,18 2022 39710 CIED data from Merlin.net remote monitoring database Daily percent time in AF and maximum duration of any AF episode Increased risk of ischemic stroke with maximum AF episode duration ≥24 hours (HR 1.366, CI 1.018-1.832, p = 0.038)
Device-detected AF
Glotzer,19 2009 2486 TRENDS study Maximum daily duration of DDAF within a 30-day period Increased risk of TE events with high AT/AF burden (≥5.5 hours) vs. no AT/AF burden (HR 2.20, CI 0.96-5.05, p = 0.06)
Van Gelder,20 2017 2580 ASSERT study Maximum single DDAF episode duration Increased risk of TE events with DDAF duration > 24 hours vs. no DDAF (HR 3.24, CI 1.51-6.95, p = 0.003)
Boriani,21 2014 10016 TRENDS, PANORAMA, and Italian ClinicalService Project studies Maximum daily time in DDAF Increased risk of ischemic stroke with ≥5 minutes DDAF (HR 1.76, CI 1.02-3.02, p = 0.041)
Kaplan,22 2019 21768 Medtronic CareLink database Maximum daily time in DDAF Increased stroke risk (>1%/year) in patients with AF burden 6 min-23.5h and CHA2DS2VASc ≥3 and patients with AF burden >23.5h and CHA2DS2VASc ≥2

AF = atrial fibrillation, AT = atrial tachycardia, CIED = cardiac implantable electronic device, DDAF = device-detected atrial fibrillation, SCAF = subclinical atrial fibrillation, TE = thromboembolism