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PLOS One logoLink to PLOS One
. 2024 May 22;19(5):e0300449. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0300449

An epidemiological study of season of birth, mental health, and neuroimaging in the UK Biobank

Maria Viejo-Romero 1, Heather C Whalley 1, Xueyi Shen 1, Aleks Stolicyn 1, Daniel J Smith 1, David M Howard 1,2,*
Editor: Kenji Tanigaki3
PMCID: PMC11111058  PMID: 38776272

Abstract

Environmental exposures during the perinatal period are known to have a long-term effect on adult physical and mental health. One such influential environmental exposure is the time of year of birth which affects the amount of daylight, nutrients, and viral load that an individual is exposed to within this key developmental period. Here, we investigate associations between season of birth (seasonality), four mental health traits (n = 137,588) and multi-modal neuroimaging measures (n = 33,212) within the UK Biobank. Summer births were associated with probable recurrent Major Depressive Disorder (β = 0.026, pcorr = 0.028) and greater mean cortical thickness in temporal and occipital lobes (β = 0.013 to 0.014, pcorr<0.05). Winter births were associated with greater white matter integrity globally, in the association fibers, thalamic radiations, and six individual tracts (β = -0.013 to -0.022, pcorr<0.05). Results of sensitivity analyses adjusting for birth weight were similar, with an additional association between winter birth and white matter microstructure in the forceps minor and between summer births, greater cingulate thickness and amygdala volume. Further analyses revealed associations between probable depressive phenotypes and a range of neuroimaging measures but a paucity of interactions with seasonality. Our results suggest that seasonality of birth may affect later-life brain structure and play a role in lifetime recurrent Major Depressive Disorder. Due to the small effect sizes observed, and the lack of associations with other mental health traits, further research is required to validate birth season effects in the context of different latitudes, and by co-examining genetic and epigenetic measures to reveal informative biological pathways.

Introduction

Season of birth has long been hypothesised to have enduring effects on human health [1]. The relatively recent “Foetal Origins of Adult Disease” hypothesis proposes that intra-uterine exposures influence later adult health, including mental health outcomes [2,3]. Seasonality of birth has been associated with multiple diseases [4], including psychiatric [57], neurodevelopmental [8], cardiovascular [9], inflammatory [10], and genetic [11]. The mechanisms by which seasonality may affect risk to these disorders are hypothesised to include interactions with photoperiod and sunlight [12], nutrition [13], risk of pre-term birth and early life infection [14], and maternal vitamin D deficiency [15]. These interactions could also be mediated by genetic [16], epigenetic [17] or environmental changes [5] in utero or perinatally.

Perinatal photoperiod directly affects the physiology, brain morphology and behaviour of many animals via transplacental signalling to melatonin receptors in the developing medio-basal hypothalamus [18,19]. Many of these season-of-birth effects endure into adulthood, including altered circadian timing [20], changes in affective behaviour, hippocampal volume [21] and changes to serotonergic and dopaminergic systems in the brain [22]. The wider effects of season of birth on human brain structure have been investigated using magnetic resonance imaging with winter births associated with increased grey matter volume of the superior temporal gyrus in a study of over 550 individuals [23]. However, in a larger study of 13,000 Rotterdam Study participants there was no effect of season of birth on any imaging derived measures [24].

Differences in photoperiod exposure during the perinatal and postweaning time windows have been associated with enduring changes in anxiety and depressive-like behaviours in developmentally stable adulthood periods within animal models [25,26], with shorter photoperiods associated with increased presence and severity of these behaviours. Differences in brain morphology have been associated with mental health disorders including depression [2729], externalizing behaviour [30] and schizophrenia [31,32]. The associations between brain morphology and mental health thus warrant an investigation of associations of seasonality with both brain morphology and mental health.

Birth seasonality potentially plays a multifaceted role in the aetiology of adult mental health, either alongside or independently of seasonality-induced brain morphology changes. However, to date, the relationship between seasonality of birth, mental health traits and imaging measures has not been examined at scale. This study, therefore, aims to explore associations between seasonality of birth and (a) mental health disorders, and (b) brain imaging measures within the UK Biobank, while also examining the potential interaction between mental health disorders and seasonality of birth on brain imaging measures.

Materials & methods

UK Biobank

The UK Biobank (UKB) is a well-characterised community cohort of over 500,000 participants aged 37–73 years at recruitment (2006–2010) [33]. All participants were invited to an initial assessment in which baseline data were collected, including month of birth, birth weight, and birth location. Mental health information was collected for all individuals at baseline using a Touchscreen Questionnaire, and for 157,348 participants between 2016 and 2017 using a Mental Health Questionnaire [34] (MHQ). A subset of the cohort (n = 42,709) was invited to the first imaging visit in 2014 where brain scans, including T1-weighted (T1) and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), were obtained. Data were accessed under the UKB Application Number 4844. UKB has approval from the NHS National Research Ethics Service as a research tissue bank (References 16/NW/0274 and 11/NW/0382).

Seasonality

Seasonality of birth was examined as a quantitative phenotypic trait (y) capturing the month of birth (UKB data-field 52) following the approach of Howard et al. [35]. The birth month of each participant (i) was transformed via a cos function, with the lowest phenotypic score (-1) corresponding to those born in December and the highest phenotypic score corresponding to those born in June (+1), as below:

yi=1×cos2πMonthofBirthi12

Mental health traits

Four mental health trait phenotypes were obtained from responses to the Touchscreen Questionnaire and the “Thoughts and Feelings” section of the MHQ. Where participants had completed both questionnaires (n = 85,266), the MHQ responses were used to generate phenotypes due to the greater specificity of this questionnaire (see S2.2.1A and S2.2.1B Methods in S1 File for UKB data-fields used). Participants who had answered “Prefer not to answer” or “I don’t know” to any questions or with insufficient symptom data (i.e., only one reported symptom) were removed at this stage. The remaining participants (n = 170,982) were categorised into four mental health-related phenotypes: probable recurrent Major Depressive Disorder (P-RMDD) (n = 39,528 cases), probable single episode Major Depressive Disorder (P-SEMDD) (n = 16,430 cases), probable Hypomania (n = 9,104 cases) and probable Mania (n = 2,569 cases), plus a control group (n = 103,351) as previously validated by Smith et al. [36] (see S2.2.1C and S2.2.1D Methods in S1 File for grouping specification). At this point, participants who did not report a UK or Republic of Ireland birthplace or had unrecoverable geographical birthplace co-ordinate data (n = 16,946) (See S2.1 Methods in S1 File for geographical data processing), had missing Townsend Deprivation Index values (n = 192), or had chosen to withdraw from further studies (n = 9) were excluded. Furthermore, participants who reported other neuropsychiatric or sleep-related conditions (n = 28), brain cancer diagnoses (n = 2), or reported having done shift work (n = 13,631) were also excluded. This resulted in a total of 30,808 exclusions with 140,174 participants remaining (see S2.3.1A Methods in S1 File for exclusion details).

Any overlaps between the groupings were removed to create distinct phenotypes that did not share a probable diagnosis: P-RMDD (n = 32,285), P-SEMDD (n = 13,721), probable Unipolar Mania (P-UM) (n = 1,229) and probable Bipolar Depression (P-BD) (n = 5,278) (see S2.2.1D Methods in S1 File for overlaps permitted). Both the P-RMDD and the P-SEMDD groups exclude participants within the probable Mania or probable Hypomania groups. P-UM excludes participants within either depression group, whereas the P-BD grouping allows for participants also within either depression grouping and follows the definitions used in Sangha et al. [37]. Participants who completed the MHQ lead questions for mania (UKB data-fields 20501 and 20502) and depression (UKB data-fields 20446, 20441), and/or the Touchscreen Questionnaire lead questions for mania (UKB data-fields 4642, 4653) and depression (UKB data-fields 4598, 4631) but had not been classified into one of the four phenotypes, were defined as controls (n = 84,018). The total sample size was therefore 137,588 (see S2.3.1B Methods in S1 File for group sample sizes). Participant demographics for the mental health phenotypes are provided in Table 1.

Table 1. Participant demographic details for mental health trait analysis.

Control
(N = 85075)
Probable Major Depressive Disorder
(N = 13721)
Probable Single Episode Depression
(N = 32285)
Probable Unipolar Mania
(N = 1229)
Probably Bipolar Depression
(N = 5278)
Total
(N = 137588)
Sex
 Female 39772 (46.7%) 9433 (68.7%) 21765 (67.4%) 474 (38.6%) 3132 (59.3%) 74576 (54.2%)
 Male 45303 (53.3%) 4288 (31.3%) 10520 (32.6%) 755 (61.4%) 2146 (40.7%) 63012 (45.8%)
Age (years)
 Mean (SD) 62.7 (8.40) 61.4 (8.12) 60.2 (8.33) 61.1 (8.53) 59.7 (7.85) 61.9 (8.42)
 Median [Min, Max] 64.0 [40.2, 80.5] 62.2 [40.3, 79.2] 60.9 [40.2, 79.6] 61.9 [40.4, 79.4] 59.4 [40.3, 80.3] 62.9 [40.2, 80.5]
Ethnicity
 Prefer not to answer 177 (0.2%) 28 (0.2%) 83 (0.3%) 3 (0.2%) 12 (0.2%) 303 (0.2%)
 Do not know 8 (0.0%) 4 (0.0%) 6 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 18 (0.0%)
 White 62 (0.1%) 7 (0.1%) 29 (0.1%) 2 (0.2%) 8 (0.2%) 108 (0.1%)
 Mixed 3 (0.0%) 1 (0.0%) 4 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 1 (0.0%) 9 (0.0%)
 Asian or Asian British 1 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 1 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 2 (0.0%)
 Black or Black British 3 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 3 (0.0%)
 Chinese 18 (0.0%) 4 (0.0%) 5 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 1 (0.0%) 28 (0.0%)
 Other ethnic group 89 (0.1%) 31 (0.2%) 85 (0.3%) 3 (0.2%) 19 (0.4%) 227 (0.2%)
 British 81892 (96.3%) 13129 (95.7%) 30528 (94.6%) 1152 (93.7%) 4909 (93.0%) 131610 (95.7%)
 Irish 1221 (1.4%) 225 (1.6%) 590 (1.8%) 23 (1.9%) 131 (2.5%) 2190 (1.6%)
 Any other white background 834 (1.0%) 168 (1.2%) 510 (1.6%) 25 (2.0%) 93 (1.8%) 1630 (1.2%)
 White and Black Caribbean 73 (0.1%) 16 (0.1%) 35 (0.1%) 1 (0.1%) 13 (0.2%) 138 (0.1%)
 White and Black African 24 (0.0%) 6 (0.0%) 29 (0.1%) 4 (0.3%) 4 (0.1%) 67 (0.0%)
 White and Asian 75 (0.1%) 16 (0.1%) 61 (0.2%) 1 (0.1%) 23 (0.4%) 176 (0.1%)
 Any other mixed background 73 (0.1%) 16 (0.1%) 61 (0.2%) 2 (0.2%) 18 (0.3%) 170 (0.1%)
 Indian 116 (0.1%) 11 (0.1%) 55 (0.2%) 6 (0.5%) 9 (0.2%) 197 (0.1%)
 Pakistani 37 (0.0%) 4 (0.0%) 23 (0.1%) 2 (0.2%) 6 (0.1%) 72 (0.1%)
 Bangladeshi 3 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 2 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 5 (0.0%)
 Any other Asian background 13 (0.0%) 2 (0.0%) 6 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 3 (0.1%) 24 (0.0%)
 Caribbean 292 (0.3%) 44 (0.3%) 141 (0.4%) 5 (0.4%) 19 (0.4%) 501 (0.4%)
 African 58 (0.1%) 7 (0.1%) 23 (0.1%) 0 (0%) 6 (0.1%) 94 (0.1%)
 Any other Black background 3 (0.0%) 2 (0.0%) 8 (0.0%) 0 (0%) 3 (0.1%) 16 (0.0%)
Month of Birth
 January 6987 (8.2%) 1152 (8.4%) 2720 (8.4%) 110 (9.0%) 454 (8.6%) 11423 (8.3%)
 February 6785 (8.0%) 1099 (8.0%) 2518 (7.8%) 95 (7.7%) 390 (7.4%) 10887 (7.9%)
 March 7727 (9.1%) 1256 (9.2%) 2989 (9.3%) 112 (9.1%) 460 (8.7%) 12544 (9.1%)
 April 7372 (8.7%) 1191 (8.7%) 2858 (8.9%) 125 (10.2%) 446 (8.5%) 11992 (8.7%)
 May 7664 (9.0%) 1221 (8.9%) 2961 (9.2%) 103 (8.4%) 464 (8.8%) 12413 (9.0%)
 June 7016 (8.2%) 1151 (8.4%) 2852 (8.8%) 113 (9.2%) 454 (8.6%) 11586 (8.4%)
 July 7251 (8.5%) 1161 (8.5%) 2741 (8.5%) 115 (9.4%) 452 (8.6%) 11720 (8.5%)
 August 7011 (8.2%) 1186 (8.6%) 2588 (8.0%) 99 (8.1%) 443 (8.4%) 11327 (8.2%)
 September 7010 (8.2%) 1139 (8.3%) 2581 (8.0%) 93 (7.6%) 474 (9.0%) 11297 (8.2%)
 October 6818 (8.0%) 1096 (8.0%) 2518 (7.8%) 92 (7.5%) 425 (8.1%) 10949 (8.0%)
 November 6567 (7.7%) 999 (7.3%) 2420 (7.5%) 92 (7.5%) 394 (7.5%) 10472 (7.6%)
 December 6867 (8.1%) 1070 (7.8%) 2539 (7.9%) 80 (6.5%) 422 (8.0%) 10978 (8.0%)
Birth Location Cluster
 1 5707 (6.7%) 932 (6.8%) 1958 (6.1%) 111 (9.0%) 395 (7.5%) 9103 (6.6%)
 2 49494 (58.2%) 7964 (58.0%) 18786 (58.2%) 683 (55.6%) 2977 (56.4%) 79904 (58.1%)
 3 8727 (10.3%) 1466 (10.7%) 3283 (10.2%) 115 (9.4%) 559 (10.6%) 14150 (10.3%)
 4 21147 (24.9%) 3359 (24.5%) 8258 (25.6%) 320 (26.0%) 1347 (25.5%) 34431 (25.0%)

SD = Standard deviation. Birth location was obtained using k-means clustering (see Statistical models section for full details).

Brain imaging measures

T1-weighted and DTI brain scans were obtained for 42,709 participants on their first imaging visit [38], with complete brain imaging data available for 37,048 participants. Participants with outlier values in global measures of cortical surface area (n = 112), mean cortical thickness (n = 217), cortical volume (n = 117), subcortical volume (n = 90), mean diffusivity (MD) (n = 105), or fractional anisotropy (FA) (n = 232) were excluded. Global measures were derived by conducting principal component analyses (PCA) on data from the entire sample [39], and measure outliers were defined as values ±3 standard deviations from the sample mean for that measure. Participants with non-UK/Republic of Ireland, non-specified (n = 2,635) or unrecoverable geographical (n = 590) birthplace, with a missing Townsend Deprivation Index value (n = 26), or who wished to withdraw from future studies (n = 3) were also excluded. No participants had to be removed due to head motion in the scanner. A total of 33,212 participants were included after 3,254 exclusions. Demographics of participants included in the analyses of brain imaging measures are provided in Table 2. An additional sensitivity analysis was conducted using only individuals with birth weight data (n = 21,417).

Table 2. Participant demographic details for neuroimaging analysis.

Total
(N = 33212)
Sex
 Female 17731 (53.4%)
 Male 15481 (46.6%)
Age (years)
 Mean (SD) 63.6 (7.45)
 Median [Min, Max] 64.0 [45.0, 82.0]
Ethnicity
 Prefer not to answer 73 (0.2%)
 Do not know 5 (0.0%)
 White 16 (0.0%)
 Mixed 1 (0.0%)
 Asian or Asian British 0 (0%)
 Black or Black British 0 (0%)
 Chinese 10 (0.0%)
 Other ethnic group 56 (0.2%)
 British 31812 (95.8%)
 Irish 578 (1.7%)
 Any other white background 409 (1.2%)
 White and Black Caribbean 31 (0.1%)
 White and Black African 12 (0.0%)
 White and Asian 40 (0.1%)
 Any other mixed background 32 (0.1%)
 Indian 44 (0.1%)
 Pakistani 11 (0.0%)
 Bangladeshi 2 (0.0%)
 Any other Asian background 4 (0.0%)
 Caribbean 61 (0.2%)
 African 14 (0.0%)
 Any other Black background 1 (0.0%)
Birth Weight (kg)
 Mean (SD) 3.36 (0.614)
 Median [Min, Max] 3.37 [0.740, 6.78]
 Missing 11795 (35.5%)
Month of Birth
 January 2763 (8.3%)
 February 2701 (8.1%)
 March 3056 (9.2%)
 April 2906 (8.7%)
 May 2905 (8.7%)
 June 2789 (8.4%)
 July 2838 (8.5%)
 August 2744 (8.3%)
 September 2698 (8.1%)
 October 2669 (8.0%)
 November 2475 (7.5%)
 December 2668 (8.0%)
Birth Location Cluster
 1 2658 (8.0%)
 2 12037 (36.2%)
 3 6175 (18.6%)
 4 12342 (37.2%)
Scanner Site
 Cheadle 20377 (61.4%)
 Reading 4042 (12.2%)
 Newcastle 8793 (26.5%)

SD = Standard deviation. Birth location was obtained using k-means clustering (see Statistical models section for full details).

Brain morphology measures

Brain morphology measures were obtained by the UK Biobank with FreeSurfer 6.0 toolkit [4042] and included volumes of seven subcortical structures (SV) for each hemisphere, as well as cortical volume (CV), mean cortical thickness (CT) and cortical surface area (CSA) measures of 31 cortical regions for each hemisphere, based on the Desikan-Killiany-Tourville atlas [43] (n = 33,212, see S1.1 Methods in S1 File for full pre-analysis QC). Similar measures were analysed in Harris et al. [39] (UKB category 192) and Shen et al. [29]. Global and lobar CT, CSA and CV measures were derived manually for each hemisphere (n = 33,212). Lobar measures were obtained for the frontal, parietal, temporal, occipital and cingulate lobes (see S2.2.2A Methods in S1 File for group composition). All brain morphometric measures were normalised.

White matter microstructure measures

White matter (WM) microstructure measures consisted of FA and MD values for 12 bilateral tracts and 3 unilateral tracts derived by the UK Biobank with the FSL probabilistic tractography toolkit (See S1.1 Methods in S1 File) [38,44]. Additional fiber-related FA and MD measures were derived as the scores on the first unrotated principal components from PCA, which combined bi-hemispheric (left and right) and unilateral measures from all relevant individual fiber tracts. The three whole-brain fiber bundles derived were the association fibers (gAF), projection fibers (gPF) and thalamic radiations (gTR) (see Methods S2.2.2A in S1 File for fiber definitions). Global FA (gFA) and MD (gMD) measures were derived as the scores on the first unrotated principal components from PCA analyses which combined all bi-hemispheric and unilateral tract measures. Proportions of variance explained by the first principal components are provided in Methods S2.2.2B in S1 File. Thirty-eight WM integrity measures were analysed in total (19 FA and 19 MD) (n = 33,212) and all WM microstructure measures were normalised.

Statistical models

Mental health traits

To investigate associations between the four mental health phenotypes and seasonality, logistic binomial regression analyses were performed, covarying for sex, age, age2, Townsend Deprivation Index (TDI), assessment centre attended and place of birth location. Place of birth locations were derived with k-means clustering of participant birth north / east co-ordinates from the Ordnance Survey data (UKB variables 129 and 130), performed using “kclust” function in the R “stats” package. Twenty clustering iterations were run to identify four birth location clusters (see S2.1.1 Methods and S1-S3 Fig in S1 File), and each participant was assigned to a cluster to define place of birth. TDI was included as a covariate to capture sociodemographic factors known to be associated with psychiatric disorders in UK Biobank [45,46]. The inclusion of place of birth as a covariate was based on previous associations between birth location and genetic variants in UK Biobank [47], as well as findings of associations between higher latitude births and lifetime risk for depression [48]. Age2 was included to account for the non-linear relationship between age and mental health symptoms, namely for depressive symptoms [49], especially when modelling early-life events [50]. Sex, assessment centre and place of birth were coded as categorical variables. A Bonferroni multiple analysis correction was applied over the four phenotypes examined (P < 0.0125 (α = 0.05 / 4)). Effect sizes were standardised throughout. No other statistical models were tested in this study. Post-hoc analysis was conducted to test the robustness of this model by reducing the number of covariates to sex, age and assessment centre attended and sequentially adding birth location, TDI and age2 as covariates to further binomial logistic regressions per mental health trait (n = 16) (i.e., covariates = age, sex, assessment centre; age, sex, assessment centre, birth location; age, sex, assessment centre, birth location, TDI; age, sex, assessment centre, birth location, TDI, age2). A Bonferroni multiple analysis correction was applied consistent with that applied in the main study.

Brain imaging measures

Linear regression models were applied to assess associations between seasonality and all unilateral, fiber-related or global brain measures. Mixed-effects models were applied to assess associations between seasonality and all bilateral brain measures (“nlme” package in R version 3.2.3). Sex, age, age2, Townsend Deprivation Index, assessment centre, four UKB head position covariates (X, Y, Z and table position) and place of birth cluster index (see S4-S6 Fig in S1 File) were included as covariates in all analyses. The rationale for these covariates is similar to that of the mental health traits models with TDI included due to previous associations with brain structure in this cohort [51], age2 to account for non-linearity in the relationship between age and brain imaging measures [29], and birth place given its associations with genetic variants also within this cohort [47]. Sex, assessment centre and place of birth were coded as categorical variables. Hemisphere was controlled for as a random effect in the mixed-effect models for all bi-hemispheric measures (see S2.1.2 Methods in S1 File). Standardised intra-cranial volume was also covaried for in all analyses of brain morphometric measures.

False Discovery Rate (FDR) correction was applied separately across individual and regional brain morphology and white matter microstructure measures per modality (Methods S2.4.1 in S1 File) [29,39]. Global measures were not corrected. A P-value threshold for significance was set to 0.05 and effect sizes were standardised throughout. All statistical analyses were performed using R (version 3.2.3). A sensitivity analysis was conducted to reassess the brain imaging measures for an association with seasonality after fitting birth weight as an additional fixed effect covariate.

Further analyses were conducted to explore associations between brain imaging measures and additional mental health phenotypes. First, models to examine associations between brain imaging measures and probable Major Depressive Disorder cases (P-MDD) were constructed. P-MDD included all participants who had been previously classified as P-RMDD or P-SEMDD cases, with P-MDD controls defined as those participants who were controls for both P-RMDD or P-SEMDD (See S2.5.1 in S1 File for demographic table). Secondly, models were constructed to explore associations between brain imaging measures and winter birth P-MDD cases compared to summer birth P-MDD cases. Seasonality was split into winter births (December, January, February) and summer births (June, July, August) and coded as a categorical variable (See S2.5.2 in S1 File for demographic table). Thirdly, additional models were constructed to investigate associations between brain imaging measures and P-RMDD cases compared to P-SEMDD cases (See S2.5.3 in S1 File for demographic table). All covariates were kept consistent with the main analysis. Lastly, models were constructed to investigate associations between mental health traits and neuroimaging measures in the context of seasonality. For each neuroimaging measure a linear/fixed effect model was applied, retaining the same covariates as in the main analysis plus one mental health trait (n = 4: P-RMDD, P-SEMDD, P-BD and P-UM) and an interaction term between the mental health trait and seasonality. As in the main analysis, mixed-effects models were used for bi-hemispheric measures. The same multiple correction strategy was applied as in the main analysis. No other statistical models were tested in this study.

Results

Seasonality associations with mental health traits

P-RMDD was associated with seasonality, with a higher prevalence observed in summer births (β = 0.026, pcorr = 0.028). No other mental health traits were associated with seasonality (Table 3). Effect sizes are reported as log-transformed odd ratios.

Table 3. Mental health traits associated with seasonality.

Mental Health Trait Effect Size(β) / Log(OR) S.E. p-uncorr p-corr
Probable recurrent Major Depressive Disorder 0.026 0.010 0.007 0.028
Probable single Episode Major Depressive Disorder 0.017 0.013 0.212 0.847
Probable Unipolar Mania 0.066 0.041 0.108 0.432
Probable Bipolar Depression 0.009 0.020 0.665 1.000

p-uncorr = p-uncorrected value; p-corr = Bonferroni p-corrected value; S.E = standard error.

Post-hoc robustness analysis for mental health trait associations with seasonality revealed a consistent pattern of associations across all models tested. P-RMDD was significantly associated with summer births across all models tested (n = 4; β range: 0.024–0.026, pcorr <0.05), with the largest effect size observed within the model utilised in the main analysis (β = 0.026) (see S3.3 Results in S1 File).

Seasonality associations with brain imaging measures

Greater temporal lobe CT (β = 0.014, pcorr = 0.037) and greater occipital lobe CT (β = 0.013, pcorr = 0.037) were associated with summer births (Fig 1).

Fig 1.

Fig 1

Standardised effect sizes of brain morphology measures associated with seasonality mapped onto the Desikan-Killiany-Tourville atlas for (A) mean cortical thickness of the temporal and occipital lobes in the main analyses and (B) mean cortical thickness of the temporal, occipital and cingulate lobes in the sensitivity analyses. Darker colour designates greater effect size for associations with summer births.

Winter births were associated with higher gFA (β = -0.017, p = 0.001), higher gAF and gTR (respectively β = -0.022, pcorr = 9.855−05 and β = -0.014, pcorr = 0.01), and higher FA in six of 15 individual WM tracts (effect sizes ranging from β = -0.013 to β = -0.021) (Fig 2 and S3.1 Results in S1 File). No MD measures were associated with seasonality.

Fig 2. Standardised effect sizes for white matter microstructure neuroimaging measures significantly associated with seasonality (pcorr<0.05 for regional/individual measures, p<0.05 for global measures) in the main analysis and sensitivity analysis.

Fig 2

A negative effect size for seasonality in the main and sensitivity analyses represents an increase in FA for winter births compared to summer births.

When birth weight was additionally covaried for in the sensitivity analyses, one additional cortical morphometric measure was identified as associated with seasonality: cingulate CT (β = 0.015, pcorr = 0.037) (Fig 1). With regard to WM measures, an additional association of FA in the forceps minor with winter births was identified when correcting for birth weight (β = -0.015, pcorr = 0.044), while all previous associations remained significant with larger effect sizes (see Fig 2, S3.2.5-S3.2.7 Results in S1 File for further details). Additionally, volume of the amygdala was associated with summer births (β = 0.021, pcorr = 0.042) (See S3.2.4 Results in S1 File).

Mental health trait associations with brain imaging measures

There were no observed differences between summer P-MDD and winter P-MDD births across all brain imaging measures (See S3.5 Results in S1 File). Furthermore, there were no significant interactions between any of the mental health traits and seasonality (See S3.6.5 Results in S1 File). Individually, both P-RMDD and P-SEMDD were associated with increases in gMD (β = 0.059 and 0.045, p = <0.05) and decreases in gFA (β = -0.058 and -0.049, p = <0.001) with the effect being more marked for P-RMDD (Fig 3). (See S3.4.5 Results in S1 File).

Fig 3. Associations between mental health traits and global white matter microstructure and brain morphology measures.

Fig 3

P-RMDD = Probable Recurrent Major Depressive Disorder; P-SEMDD = Probable Single episode Major Depressive Disorder; P-BD = Probable Bipolar Disorder; P-UM = Probable Unipolar Mania; CSA = cortical surface area; CV = cortical volume; FA = fractional anisotropy; MD = mean diffusivity. Each bar represents β coefficients for associations with global measures. Striped bars signify significant associations (p<0.05). Error bars represent the 95% confidence interval of the estimated coefficient.

Regional WM microstructure associations with P-RMDD were observed for lower FA in gTR (β = -0.090, pcorr = <0.0001) and gAF (β = -0.058, pcorr = <0.05) and higher MD in gTR (β = 0.072, pcorr = <0.0001), gAF (β = 0.039, pcorr = <0.05) and gPF (β = 0.068, pcorr = <0.001) (Fig 4 and S3.4.6 Results in S1 File). P-BD was also associated with lower FA in gTR (β = -0.053, pcorr = <0.047) (Fig 4). Decreased frontal lobe CV was associated with P-SEMDD (β = -0.104, pcorr = <0.016) (Fig 4 and S3.4.2 Results in S1 File).

Fig 4. Significant associations (pcorr<0.05) between mental health traits and seasonality for regional white matter microstructure and brain morphology measures.

Fig 4

Effect sizes for seasonality associations are from the sensitivity analysis. P-RMDD = Probable Recurrent Major Depressive Disorder; P-SEMDD = Probable Single episode Major Depressive Disorder; P-BD = Probable Bipolar Disorder. Each bar represents β coefficients for associations with regional measures. Error bars represent the 95% confidence interval of the estimated coefficient.

There were no associations between seasonality and brain imaging measures when adjusted for mental health traits (See S3.7 Results in S1 File). The direction of effect for associations across all analyses is available in Supplementary Information (S4 Results in S1 File). Extended results are available in S5 Results, S7 and S8 Figs in S1 File.

Discussion

This study investigated associations between seasonality, mental health traits and neuroimaging measures in a large-scale cross-sectional dataset. Seasonality was associated with P-RMDD, as well as with a range of brain morphology and white matter microstructure brain imaging measures. Summer births were associated with a higher prevalence of P-RMDD, as well as greater CT in the temporal, occipital and cingulate lobes and greater SV of the amygdala. Winter births were associated with more constrained water molecule diffusion and thus higher white matter integrity globally, in two white matter fiber tract bundles and in seven individual white matter tracts. P-RMDD was associated with decreased global, regional and individual WM integrity and decreased thalamic SV. P-SEMDD was associated with decreased global and regional WM integrity to a lesser degree as well as decreased brain morphology across all global measures and decreased CSA in the frontal lobe. P-BD was associated with reduced FA in the gTR and posterior thalamic radiations. A single significant seasonality interaction was observed with P-BD for reduced amygdala volume.

These results cautiously lend additional support to existing evidence [6,52,53] of season of birth effects in adult health in the context of a modest sized cross-sectional sample of a healthy UK-based population. They also support previous evidence of globally [39,54]and regionally [29] reduced WM integrity across a range of depression phenotypes, tract-specific reductions in recurrent MDD [55] and BD [56,57], as well as brain morphology changes in MDD [5860]. They do not, however, fully characterise the relationship between lifetime mental health traits, brain imaging measures and seasonality of birth.

In this study P-RMDD was associated with summer births, aligning with northern hemisphere spring associations with MDD risk in English outpatients (n = 16,726) [6], severity in a small MDD case-control study (45 cases and 90 controls) [52] and earlier disease onset in 855 Korean MDD patients [53]. However, there exist idiosyncrasies in the seasonality phenotypes derived in these studies, which range from monthly, to two- and four-season seasonality categories per participant, making for an inexact comparison. A hemispheric six-month shift has also been observed between seasonality and depression symptoms, with higher scores associating with spring births (March-May) in the Northern hemisphere and autumn births (September-November) in the Southern hemisphere, in a small young adult and adolescent cohort [61]. Although an excess of August births in MDD patients has also been observed in the Southern hemisphere within a Brazilian retrospective study of MDD cases and controls (n = 98,457) [62]. However, no associations between month of birth and depression symptoms were found in a similarly aged cohort in a recent Europe wide study (n = 72,370) [63]. For P-RMDD, therefore, our findings provide a seasonality association within a UK population sample adding another datapoint to the ambiguous literature.

Unlike P-RMDD, single episode MDD was not associated with seasonality in this study. The more than two-fold reduction in sample size for P-SEMDD (n = 13,721) may have limited statistical power to detect associations. However, an unshared aetiology may also be a factor, with more severe neurophysiological observations made in clinically comparable recurrent MDD cases versus single episode MDD cases [64], and an earlier age of onset and familial risk for recurrent MDD [65,66]. Gene ✕ environment effects [67] and genetic variants [68,69] associated with recurrent MDD support this distinction. Therefore, seasonality effects may vary within depressive subtypes, with a more marked effect on persistent cases in response to seasonal perinatal and natal environments. Ultimately, the discrepancy in findings for seasonality associations with recurrent and single episode MDD could be better addressed within a clinical sample, given factors such as the recall bias involved in enumerating lifetime depressive episode measures within UK Biobank [34], and the overall reliance on self-reported measures to distinguish these diagnoses.

Bipolar affective disorder has been associated with January births [6] (OR = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.03–1.15, p = 0.002), and for DSM-III bipolar disorder cases a seasonal pattern has been observed with significant excess births in December and a total of 5.8% seasonal excess births to expected births [70]. However, the current study did not find a seasonal association, possibly due to the inclusion of both P-RMDD and P-SEMDD within P-BD since only the former associated with seasonality. It is also possible that the self-reported phenotype used may not fully capture cases with sufficient fidelity to yield associations. UM, a relatively unexplored BD-subtype [71], had the largest effect size of the mental health traits but was not associated with seasonality potentially due to the small number of cases available. Re-examination of this phenotype in a larger UM sample is therefore warranted.

In line with previous studies, we find seasonality to be associated with a cluster of white matter microstructure measures, with novel findings for brain morphology regional measures. Overall, three regional measures were associated with seasonality, all of which were in the mean thickness category, despite the lack of associations for volumetric measures and seasonality expressed as daylength in similarly powered UKB studies [16]. Thickness of the temporal lobe has been shown to be significantly reduced in schizophrenic patients [72], and the disorder’s own association with winter births [73], may offer an opportunity for further study.

The observation of multiple negative associations for FA measures in association with summer births, corroborates previous findings in which sections of the corpus callosum, the internal capsule, the corona radiata, the posterior thalamic radiation and the sagittal striatum were found to have decreased FA values in summer compared to winter births [74]. For summer births, lower FA measures, or less restricted and more isotropic diffusivity, may point to greater tissue disorganisation, itself generally accompanied by reduced axonal myelination, axonal loss, or a higher proportion of crossing fibers. Since global and regional measures yielded the strongest associations, alongside seven individual measures, seasonality may exert a non-localised effect on white matter integrity and thus warrant further analysis to specify possible mechanisms. The overall association of the thalamic radiations bundle and the association fibers bundle, composed of two and three individual tracts with individual associations respectively, provides novel evidence for lower values in summer births.

Lastly, although amygdala volume has not previously been associated with summer births as it was in his study, seasonal fluctuations in amygdala volume measures, with increases in the summertime and during longer photoperiods, have been found in UKB [75]. The biological underpinnings for these shifts are unknown but hormonal mediation, specifically via melatonin, is one proposed mechanism due to its role in photoperiod-induced adaptations, alongside the presence of melatonin receptors in the amygdala. It is, however, unclear at this stage whether perinatal photoperiodicity differentially affects grey matter development and if these effects are stable through development and into adulthood.

Birth seasonality effects, therefore, may independently induce penetrable changes in white matter integrity in a subset of tract bundles, an effect discernible through DTI-ascertained measures. Brain structure and connectivity measures are a promising endophenotype for mental, neurological, and physiological illness. The range of neuroimaging associations with seasonality found here offers a starting point for further probing into the mechanistic relationship between them. These findings, however, do not hold when adjusted for mental health traits. However, a notably reduced sample size (~71% less participants) for models examining both mental health traits and brain imaging measures could have incurred a loss of power to detect associations. Given the adverse effects of mental health disorders on the brain, the presence of a probable mental health trait is also likely to be a stronger predictor of brain imaging measures than seasonality.

Global reductions in FA alongside increases in MD have been associated with self-reported, probable, and recurrent depression in UKB [39] with reductions in global FA also observed within a small ENIGMA sample of MDD patients (ncases = 921, ncontrols = 1265) [54]. There is also compelling evidence that regional FA and MD measures associate with overall depression, with previous studies reporting lower FA in the association fibers and thalamic radiations for self-reported, probable, recurrent, and clinical depression [39], and for both principal MDD and recurrent MDD [29]. Likewise, increased MD in the thalamic radiations and projection fibers have been associated across the same range of depression phenotypes [39], with higher MD in the association fibers also associated with self-reported depression. MDD associations with reduced FA in a number of individual tracts have also been reported in UKB, notably in the left superior longitudinal fasciculus, and bi-hemispheric superior thalamic radiation [29], posterior thalamic radiations and forceps minor [39], akin to the findings in this study, with 16 out of 25 individual WM tracts examined also found to associate with MDD patients in a large ENIGMA sample [55]. The lack of observed differences in WM microstructural measures between P-RMDD and P-SEMDD cases, was also reported in an ENIGMA study, as well as similar lack of findings for associations between MDD and brain morphometry measures [54].

Regardless of seasonal MDD trends, this study supports previous evidence of a general association between depression and reduced WM integrity. For BD, although both increased and decreased FA measures have been reported, a review of WM microstructural changes in the disorder also point to mostly FA decreases in the thalamic radiations [56], with a region of interest study reporting reduced FA in the posterior thalamic radiation for both BD patients and unaffected siblings [57]. Morphologically, we find a reduction in thalamic volume for P-RMDD cases, a finding previously reported in the largest study to date [58] examining subcortical volumes (ncases = 142) for current MDD patients compared to healthy controls, in a meta-analysis of 143 studies [59] and in a study of ~600 community-dwelling lifetime MDD participants [76], whilst left hemispheric reductions in thalamic volume was also associated with MDD in a smaller study (ncases = 30) [60]. Given the role of the thalamus in sensory information relay as well as various modes of higher order executive and cognition functioning [77], volumetric reductions here could be relevant to the pathology of MDD, with functional imaging abnormalities for MDD patients in this structure also having been reported [78].

Limitations

This study was limited in geographical scope with the aim of keeping latitudinal and longitudinal variation minimal between subjects. Since season of birth effects have been shown to be greater at higher latitudes [73], possibly mediated by larger annual photoperiod shifts, studies in these regions, or meta-studies encompassing them might provide further insight.

Although our mental health trait phenotypes align well with DSM-5 diagnostic criteria [34], they do not reflect formal diagnoses and therefore may under- or over-extend seasonality associations present under stricter definitions. A symptom-by-symptom study could also elucidate individual patterns in associations, such as MDD sleep aberrances and evidenced seasonality mediated sleep differences [16]. The natural patterns of distribution in birth seasonality [79] with April and May annual birth-rate peaks in UKB [16] should also be accounted for, as should the seasonal pattern in procreation habits observed in psychiatric disorders such as schizophrenia, which may be tied to heritable components [80] of mental health disorders independently. Here, birth seasonality variation was assessed comparing winter births with summer births. However, this provides those born in spring and autumn with similar phenotypic scores and therefore will not model differences between those born in those periods. Future studies could co-model a range of seasonality phenotypes to contextualise the extent of these potential differences.

Since historically, seasonality effects on psychiatric conditions have been more pronounced in public versus private hospitals [81] and affected by urbanicity and education level, studies that account for these variables could provide a better picture of seasonality associations, although TDI may be a sufficient proxy for these measures. Generally, the lag between the time of birth and seasonality-related outcomes in later life makes their association prone to confounders which must be further considered. Overall, the small effect sizes found in this study suggest a limited role for seasonality in adult health, although usage of larger sample sizes and inclusion of more covariates could modify this.

Lastly, although our study supports an association between seasonality and adult health, identification of the mechanisms by which these effects are actualised is beyond the scope of the current study. Longitudinal studies tracking changes in mental health and neuroimaging measures would more precisely quantify within-individual shifts over the lifetime and ease the identification of key developmental periods in which these take place. Since circadian patterns of gene expression have been demonstrated to be weaker in post-mortem human subjects with MDD [82], further studies examining deficiencies in circadian rhythmicity at the transcriptomic level and their associations with mental health traits in the context of month of birth could also be beneficial. A combinatorial approach including genetic and gene expression data would give insight into differential seasonality programming and begin to specify possible biological pathways.

In summary, we demonstrated both seasonality of birth associations with adult health as measured by mental health traits and neuroimaging measures, as well as associations between mental health traits and neuroimaging measures. Although the reported association between seasonality and P-RMDD could be specific to the parametrizations of this study and those of UK Biobank cohort, we are hopeful that they may spur further research. A continuation of the examination of seasonality associations with a wide range of mental health traits is encouraged within higher powered studies or those utilising clinical cases, especially given the limited number of interactions between mental health traits and seasonality found here. Overall, the small effect sizes of all our associations with global, regional, and individual brain imaging measures, as well as probable recurrent Major Depressive Disorder warrant replication in larger and more diverse datasets as well as those offering wider latitudinal ranges.

Supporting information

S1 File

(DOCX)

pone.0300449.s001.docx (2.2MB, docx)

Acknowledgments

This research was conducted using the UK Biobank resource, application number 4844. The UK Biobank study was conducted under generic approval from the NHS National Research Ethics Service (approval letter dated June 17, 2011, Ref 11/NW/0382). All participants gave full informed written consent. We would also like to thank the UK Biobank team and all the participants for their collaboration and C.A Wyse for her valuable input.

Data Availability

The data in this study is owned by the UK Biobank (https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/) and cannot be publicly shared. All data used in this study, however, can be accessed upon application through the UK Biobank Access Management System (https://ams.ukbiobank.ac.uk/ams/). All permissibly shared data for this study can be found in the Supplementary Information file.

Funding Statement

M.V.R. is supported under a 2018 NARSAD Young Investigator Grant from the Brain & Behavior Research Foundation (Ref: 27404). D.M.H. is supported by a Sir Henry Wellcome Postdoctoral Fellowship (Reference 213674/Z/18/Z) and a 2018 NARSAD Young Investigator Grant from the Brain & Behavior Research Foundation (Ref: 27404). STRADL UKB Application (#4844) was funded by the Wellcome Trust (Ref: 104036/Z/14/Z). This research was funded in whole, or in part, by the Wellcome Trust [Reference 213674/Z/18/Z]. For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Kenji Tanigaki

11 Oct 2023

PONE-D-23-25155An epidemiological study of season of birth, mental health, and neuroimaging in the UK BiobankPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Howard,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Nov 25 2023 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

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If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

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We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Kenji Tanigaki, Ph.D., M.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Partly

Reviewer #2: Partly

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: I Don't Know

Reviewer #2: No

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: I have read with interest the manuscript by Viejo-Romero et al. on the effect of season of birth on mental health in adults. It is especially relevant the fact that they use a large and high-quality database as the UK Biobank to study this effect, which has received moderate attention in recent years. Authors find small effects relating probable recurrent Major Depressive Disorder with the summer. However they do not find a similar effect with probable hypomania, mania or, importantly, single episode Major Depressive Disorder. Additionally, they find a high number of neuroimaging correlations.

Overall, reporting is of high quality and follows current standards. However, I have some issues with the article as it stands that question the robustness of its results and if solved would probably improve the paper and its addition to the field.

I have to say that I am slightly biased against the hypothesis that authors propose, as I do not think that there is a strong biological basis for any long-last consequences of date of birth. The article does not help against my skepticism of the field. All in all, the authors are not able to convincingly proof whether there is something to be learnt from the current study or it is simply an statistical fluke.

Regarding the neuroimaging data, the relevance of its results is hard to assess. As it is frequent in the neuroimaging literature, some correlations are found without any possibility to judge whether they are relevant or not… I cannot judge this section as one is easily lost in the jungle of measures and RoIs… I would however recommend the authors to include a paragraph on how the FDR correction holds when it is applied to many different comparisons independently.

The models directly linking date of birth and risk of mental health issues are slightly more interpretable. However, they are far from being straightforward. Indeed the phenotypic score for season (“The birth month of each participant was transformed via a cos function, with the lowest phenotypic score (-1) corresponding to those born in December and the highest phenotypic score corresponding to those born in June (+1)”) is only one of multiple parametrizations, which is selected without justification. Even more importantly, associations between the four mental health phenotypes and seasonality were tested using a complex logistic binomial regression analysis in which sex, age, age2, Townsend Deprivation Index, assessment centre attended and place of birth location were included as covariates. There is no description on how authors arrived at the selection of these factors. My suspicion is that the result found may not be robust to changes in the proposed model and may be the result of the “garden of forking paths” and the researcher’s degrees of freedom in their design. The following actions could provide additional confidence in the results:

1-Proof indicating that these choices were carried out a-priori (eg: a public protocol or previous references by the authors or other researchers using the exact same parametrizations and models). If not possible, at least some information on how and why they were selected.

2-A declaration by the authors indicating that this was the only model tested.

3-Some sort of multiverse testing or robustness checks showing how different changes in the analytical decisions affect the results. An easy one would be to show the results of the logistic model with different combinations of the covariates.

In addition to the above, the article as written gives too little weight to the uncertainty present in the results. Some things that could be improved:

1-include in abstract the negative results with the other disorders. If authors need to cut some parts, the imaging info in the abstract could be mostly dropped.

2-Uncertainty of the results should be included, for example in P13-L246, but also other parts of the discussion.

3-Reduce Post-hoc reasoning on why negative results were found: reasons provided for example in p14 l 262 are probably less likely than the elephant in the room (that is, that the positive results found was simply an statistical fluke).

4-Include a section on limitations of the current study, which should include the fact that there is not a good explanation on why results where only found for recurrent MDD.

Reviewer #2: UK Biobank data are used to test the hypothesis that seasonality influences the incidence of affective disorders and brain structural measures derived from MRI. An excess number of diagnoses of recurrent depression is found during the summer months and seasonality is associated with some neuroimaging markers.

Whilst the motivation for the conception and design is broadly sound, the exclusion of non-white participants without any scientific justification, or indeed any justification at all, is unacceptable. Whilst I am in no doubt that the authors hold no ill intentions, funding agencies – including the Wellcome Trust – are absolutely clear that scientific studies should be for the benefit of everyone. Moreover, we are ethically compelled to undertake research for the whole community unless there are specific reasons not to do so. This is particularly relevant here given that in the UK people with Black ethnicity have almost twice the prevalence of depression compared to European (white) ethnicity [doi: 10.1017/S0033291714002967].

The article requires careful reconsideration. The exclusion of any group based on their ethnicity needs strong and credible justification.

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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PLoS One. 2024 May 22;19(5):e0300449. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0300449.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


23 Nov 2023

We have uploaded a response to reviewers document providing a point-by-point response to all comments raised.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response_To_Reviewers.docx

pone.0300449.s002.docx (52.6KB, docx)

Decision Letter 1

Kenji Tanigaki

15 Dec 2023

PONE-D-23-25155R1An epidemiological study of season of birth, mental health, and neuroimaging in the UK BiobankPLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Howard,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Jan 29 2024 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

  • A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

  • An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option for publishing peer-reviewed Lab Protocol articles, which describe protocols hosted on protocols.io. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Kenji Tanigaki, Ph.D., M.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: While I am still biased against the study results, authors have shown an extreme responsiveness to my comments and have provided as much evidence of the reliability of their results as it was feasible to ask. Hence, I believe that the article in its current form has greatly improved and is suitable for publication. I want to congratulate authors for their effort in their updated version.

Reviewer #2: UKBiobank data were used to investigate seasonality of birth with mental health traits and brain morphology and microstructure measured from MRI. Depressive traits were associated with summer births as were significant increases in cortical thickness. Changes to diffusion measures were associated with winter births.

The scientific reasoning behind this study described in the Introduction is that the season of birth affects brain structure and changes to brain structure are observed in mental health disorders.

The observed effects of seasonality of birth are weak and do not help clarify a confused literature and seasonality of birth effects include some areas that overlap with a recent meta-analysis of cortical thickness in cross-sectional primary literature of (diagnosed) MDD, although the direction is reversed, although the entire cohort is used in the linear model rather than focusing on any particular trait.

A more direct comparison of the underlying hypothesis would be that once seasonality of birth and prevalence is established for, as it would appear, MDD traits, then first undertake a case-control comparison of all participants with MDD traits, and then a MDD traits summer compared to winter births. The expectation would be a pattern of differences similar to that seen in the literature with effect sizes increased in summer compared to winter. Alternatively, apply the linear model to predict brain imaging measures with a main effect of mental health trait and a trait x month interaction, expecting effects in brain regions that match to some extent with the literature.

In short, a credible hypothesis is posited that should be directly addressed by the analysis strategy.

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2024 May 22;19(5):e0300449. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0300449.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


12 Feb 2024

Dear Editor,

We thank you once again for the opportunity provided to re-submit our manuscript entitled “An epidemiological study of season of birth, mental health, and neuroimaging in the UK Biobank” (PONE-D-23-25155) to PLOS ONE. We provide further answers to Reviewers 2’s comments below.

Reviewer #1: While I am still biased against the study results, authors have shown an extreme responsiveness to my comments and have provided as much evidence of the reliability of their results as it was feasible to ask. Hence, I believe that the article in its current form has greatly improved and is suitable for publication. I want to congratulate authors for their effort in their updated version.

Reviewer #2: UKBiobank data were used to investigate seasonality of birth with mental health traits and brain morphology and microstructure measured from MRI. Depressive traits were associated with summer births as were significant increases in cortical thickness. Changes to diffusion measures were associated with winter births. The scientific reasoning behind this study described in the Introduction is that the season of birth affects brain structure and changes to brain structure are observed in mental health disorders.

The observed effects of seasonality of birth are weak and do not help clarify a confused literature and seasonality of birth effects include some areas that overlap with a recent meta-analysis of cortical thickness in cross-sectional primary literature of (diagnosed) MDD, although the direction is reversed, although the entire cohort is used in the linear model rather than focusing on any particular trait.

1. A more direct comparison of the underlying hypothesis would be that once seasonality of birth and prevalence is established for, as it would appear, MDD traits, then first undertake a case-control comparison of all participants with MDD traits and then a MDD traits summer compared to winter births. The expectation would be a pattern of differences similar to that seen in the literature with effect sizes increased in summer compared to winter.

We thank the reviewer for this comment.

(a) A case-control comparison of all participants with MDD traits was conducted for all brain imaging measures and the methods for this have now been added to the manuscript (p12, lines 209-213) and below:

“First, models to examine associations between brain imaging measures and probable Major Depressive Disorder cases (P-MDD) were constructed. P-MDD included all participants who had been previously classified as P-RMDD or P-SEMDD cases, with P-MDD controls defined as those participants who were controls for both P-RMDD or P-SEMDD (See S2.5.1 for demographic table).”.

(b) This was supplemented by a case-control comparison for RMDD cases vs SEMDD cases for all brain imaging measures based on the differences we observed when they were examined separately. The methods for this analysis can also now be found in the manuscript (p12, lines 216-219) and below:

“Thirdly, additional models were constructed to investigate associations between brain imaging measures and P-RMDD cases compared to P-SEMDD cases (See S2.5.3 for demographic table). All covariates were kept consistent with the main analysis.”.

(c) Finally, the case/control comparison of summer born MDD cases compared to winter born MDD cases for all brain imaging measures was also conducted with methods reported in (p12, lines 213-216) and below:

“Secondly, models were constructed to explore associations between brain imaging measures and winter birth P-MDD cases compared to summer birth P-MDD cases. Seasonality was split into winter births (December, January, February) and summer births (June, July, August) and coded as a categorical variable (See S2.5.2 for demographic table).”.

2. Alternatively, apply the linear model to predict brain imaging measures with a main effect of mental health trait and a trait x month interaction, expecting effects in brain regions that match to some extent with the literature. In short, a credible hypothesis is posited that should be directly addressed by the analysis strategy.

We thank the reviewer for this comment. We also took on board this suggestion and have now supplemented the methods and results for this analysis in (p12-13, lines 219-225) and below. Please note, to ensure consistency with the main analysis, the “month interaction” was replaced with a “seasonality” interaction.

“Lastly, models were constructed to investigate associations between mental health traits and neuroimaging measures in the context of seasonality. For each neuroimaging measure a linear/fixed effect model was applied, retaining the same covariates as in the main analysis plus one mental health trait (n=4: P-RMDD, P-SEMDD, P-BD and P-UM) and an interaction term between the mental health trait and seasonality. As in the main analysis, mixed-effects models were used for bi-hemispheric measures. The same multiple correction strategy was applied as in the main analysis.”.

The results for the above analyses (both comments 1 and 2) can now also be found combined into pages 14-15 (lines 263-294) with multiple figures (Figures 3-4, S7.Fig and S8.Fig) also made available. Discussion of these analyses can be found on lines 302-307, 308-314, and 381-416. The abstract and conclusion section have also been lightly modified to reflect these new results. Full results for additional analyses are also available in the Supplementary materials (S2.5, S3.4-7, S4) with extended results in S5 and supplemental figures (S7 Fig and S8 Fig).

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response_To_Reviewers.docx

pone.0300449.s003.docx (26KB, docx)

Decision Letter 2

Kenji Tanigaki

28 Feb 2024

An epidemiological study of season of birth, mental health, and neuroimaging in the UK Biobank

PONE-D-23-25155R2

Dear Dr. Howard,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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Kind regards,

Kenji Tanigaki, Ph.D., M.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

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2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: (No Response)

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Reviewer #2: Yes: John Suckling

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Acceptance letter

Kenji Tanigaki

29 Apr 2024

PONE-D-23-25155R2

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Howard,

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now being handed over to our production team.

At this stage, our production department will prepare your paper for publication. This includes ensuring the following:

* All references, tables, and figures are properly cited

* All relevant supporting information is included in the manuscript submission,

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If revisions are needed, the production department will contact you directly to resolve them. If no revisions are needed, you will receive an email when the publication date has been set. At this time, we do not offer pre-publication proofs to authors during production of the accepted work. Please keep in mind that we are working through a large volume of accepted articles, so please give us a few weeks to review your paper and let you know the next and final steps.

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Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Kenji Tanigaki

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 File

    (DOCX)

    pone.0300449.s001.docx (2.2MB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response_To_Reviewers.docx

    pone.0300449.s002.docx (52.6KB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response_To_Reviewers.docx

    pone.0300449.s003.docx (26KB, docx)

    Data Availability Statement

    The data in this study is owned by the UK Biobank (https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/) and cannot be publicly shared. All data used in this study, however, can be accessed upon application through the UK Biobank Access Management System (https://ams.ukbiobank.ac.uk/ams/). All permissibly shared data for this study can be found in the Supplementary Information file.


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