Table 2. Assumed distribution parameters for all cost categories.
Cost Component | Distribution Details | Pessimistic | Conservative | Positively Biased | Optimistic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable Suppression Costs | Min | -10% | -15% | -50% | -50% |
Mean | 0% | 0% | -15% | -5% | |
Median | 0% | 0% | -19% | -5% | |
Max | 10% | 15% | -10% | 25% | |
Skewness | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.76 | -0.37 | |
Kurtosis | 2.33 | 2.33 | 3.11 | 2.33 | |
Fixed Suppression Costs | Min | -2% | -3% | -25% | -25% |
Mean | 0% | 0% | -5% | -5% | |
Median | 0% | 0% | -7% | -5% | |
Max | 2% | 3% | 0% | 5% | |
Skewness | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | -0.62 | |
Kurtosis | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.78 | 2.63 | |
Timber Losses | Min | -5% | -10% | -25% | -25% |
Mean | 0% | 0% | -5% | -5% | |
Median | 0% | 0% | -6% | -5% | |
Max | 5% | 10% | 5% | -8% | |
Skewness | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | -0.40 | |
Kurtosis | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.45 | 2.41 | |
Property, Asset & Infrastructure Losses | Min | -5% | -6% | -25% | -50% |
Mean | -2% | -3% | -7% | -12% | |
Median | -2% | -3% | -7% | -13% | |
Max | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Skewness | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.58 | -0.59 | |
Kurtosis | 2.38 | 2.33 | 2.78 | 2.73 | |
Evacuation Costs | Min | -1% | -2% | -10% | -15% |
Mean | 0% | 0% | -5% | -3% | |
Median | 0% | 0% | -5% | -3% | |
Max | 1% | 2% | 0% | 5% | |
Skewness | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | |
Kurtosis | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.56 | |
Health Costs | Min | -0.01% | -0.5% | -1% | -5% |
Mean | 0% | 0% | -0.2% | -1% | |
Median | 0% | 0% | -0.2% | -1% | |
Max | 0.01% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 5% | |
Skewness | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | 0.51 | |
Kurtosis | 2.33 | 2.33 | 3.26 | 2.68 |