Table 5. Calculation results across all distributions, 90% confidence intervals with median present values in brackets, in millions ($2019, CAD).
Distributions | Pessimistic | Conservative | Positively Biased | Optimistic | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-year Cost Component Sum | Without WildFireSat | $52,775–$63,747 ($57,220) | |||
With WildFireSat | $52,704–$63,622 ($57,122) | $52,656–$63,627 ($57,085) | $51,660–$62,105 ($55,908) | $51,300–$62,009 ($55,721) | |
WildFireSat Benefits | $-126.9–$317.4 ($92.4) | $-295.3–$554.1 ($126.1) | $692.4–$2,208 ($1,275) | $-25.71–$3,111 ($1,534) | |
Satellite Mission Costs | $110.0–$182.8 ($146.4) | ||||
Benefit—Cost Estimate (NPV) | $-276.3–$174.2 ($-54.2) | $-441.9–$408.3 ($-19.85) | $545.3–$2,062 ($1,128) | $-172.1–$2,965 ($1,388) |