Table 1.
Cumulative numbers of observed (2020) and predicted incident cases of various health conditions.
| Condition | Year of diagnosis |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Observed* |
Predicted |
||
| 2020 | 2027 | 2032 | |
| Diabetes | 31,000 | 54,000 | 70,000 |
| Myocardial infarction | 15,000 | 30,000 | 46,000 |
| Stroke | 12,000 | 25,000 | 37,000 |
| COPD | 25,000 | 47,000 | 65,000 |
| Depression | 25,000 | 39,000 | 47,000 |
| Breast cancer | 9,000 | 14,000 | 18,000 |
| Colorectal cancer | 5,000 | 8,000 | 11,000 |
| Lung cancer | 4,000 | 6,000 | 8,000 |
| Prostate cancer | 10,000 | 16,000 | 20,000 |
| Hip fracture | 5,000 | 13,000 | 22,000 |
| Rheumatoid arthritis | 4,000 | 6,000 | 8,000 |
| Alzheimer’s disease | 5,000 | 17,000 | 37,000 |
| Parkinson’s disease | 4,000 | 10,000 | 14,000 |
*
Observed values are based on incident events identified from linkage to records of deaths, hospitalizations, cancers, and primary care in the cohort to the end of 2020.