Table 3.

Parameter recovery study: Evaluation criteria (Correlations, Coverage, mMCSE), for parameters estimated from 100, and 500 simulated trials, respectively

Par.	r	$50{\%}^{\text{a}}$	$95{\%}^{\text{a}}$	mMCSEb
— 100 Trials —
a	.96	51	95	0.00486
$v_1$	.91	48	95	0.01796
$v_2$	.91	50	95	0.01821
$t_0$	.98	49	94	0.00063
w	.87	50	95	0.00120
$s_v$	.68	48	94	0.01964
$s_w$	.40	51	95	0.00564
$s_{t_0}$	.83	47	96	0.00133
— 500 Trials —
a	.99	49	94	0.00280
$v_1$	.97	49	95	0.01170
$v_2$	.97	49	94	0.01170
$t_0$	.99	49	94	0.00037
w	.97	50	94	0.00063
$s_v$	.84	50	94	0.01486
$s_w$	.62	50	95	0.00543
$s_{t_0}$	.95	49	95	0.00071

Note. Par.=Parameters; r=Correlations (between true parameter values and posterior medians)

^a Percent of simulated datasets with true value in the HDI of this percentage

^b Mean of Monte Carlo standard error (mMCSE) across simulated datasets