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. 2024 Jun 4;7(6):e2414709. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.14709

Table 4. Risk of Autism Spectrum Disorders Among Children Born of Fathers Who Used Valproate During Spermatogenesis.

Comparison Valproate-exposed childrena Reference childrena Autism spectrum disorder Follow-up time, median (IQR), y HR (95% CI)
Valproate-exposed children Reference children Valproate-exposed children Reference children Unadjusted Adjustedb
Main analysisc 1336 1 234 017 34 24 479 10.5 (5.5-15.2) 10.5 (5.3-15.7) 1.31 (0.93-1.83) 0.92 (0.65-1.30)
Valproate dose responsed
High dose of valproate 715 1 234 017 13 24 479 10.6 (5.9-15.6) 10.5 (5.3-15.7) 0.90 (0.52-1.55) 0.66 (0.38-1.15)
Low dose of valproate 621 21 10.1 (4.9-14.6) 1.81 (1.18-2.77) 1.20 (0.78-1.86)
Sibling analysese 303 381 7 17 10.5 (5.1-14.5) 10.4 (6.5-15.4) 0.39 (0.10-1.47) 0.54 (0.14-2.12)
Restriction analysis 1f 1052 11 308 27 298 10.7 (6.0-15.1) 8.5 (4.1-13.5) 0.80 (0.54-1.19) 0.85 (0.57-1.26)
Restriction analysis 2g 828 7860 27h 219 11.4 (6.9-15.6) 9.3 (4.5-14.2) 0.83 (0.54-1.28) 0.87 (0.56-1.33)
Active comparator analysis 1i,j 1336 1663 34 43 10.5 (5.5-15.2) 6.1 (2.9-10.1) 0.56 (0.36-0.89) 0.68 (0.41-1.13)
Active comparator analysis 2k 1043 1043 21 31 8.4 (4.3-12.4) 8.5 (4.2-12.4) 0.68 (0.39-1.18) 0.76 (0.42-1.38)
Analysis with negative exposure controll 1336 690 34 21 10.5 (5.5-15.2) 9.1 (4.4-14.8) 0.77 (0.45-1.33) 0.83 (0.45-1.54)

Abbreviation: HR, hazard ratio.

a

Shows the number for the whole cohort; 6 exposed and 8291 unexposed died, emigrated, got the outcome, or reached the end of follow-up before age 1 year (start of follow-up) and are not included in these analyses.

b

Adjusted for sex of the child, year of birth, paternal and maternal age at the time of the child’s birth, and paternal and maternal psychiatric diagnosis, psychotropic medication use, epilepsy diagnosis, and highest completed educational level at the time of the child’s birth (sibling analysis is adjusted for sex of the child, year of birth, and paternal and maternal age at the time of the child’s birth).

c

Valproate-exposed children compared with unexposed children.

d

Children exposed to a high dose and low dose of valproate during spermatogenesis compared with unexposed children.

e

Valproate-exposed children compared with unexposed paternal siblings (264 exposure-discordant sibling sets).

f

Valproate-exposed children of fathers with epilepsy compared with unexposed children of fathers with epilepsy.

g

Valproate-exposed children of fathers with epilepsy of unknown cause compared with unexposed children of fathers with epilepsy of unknown cause.

h

This number is valproate-exposed children of fathers with epilepsy, as the difference to valproate-exposed children of fathers with epilepsy of unknown cause is small (<5) and therefore cannot be shown.

i

Valproate-exposed children compared with lamotrigine-exposed children.

j

There were 160 children whose fathers had filled prescriptions for both valproate and lamotrigine during spermatogenesis. In the analyses, these children were included in the group of children whose fathers had filled prescriptions for valproate during spermatogenesis.

k

Valproate-exposed children compared with lamotrigine-exposed children, equal number of exposed and unexposed per birth year.

l

Valproate-exposed children compared with children of fathers who filled prescriptions for valproate 2 years prior to the exposure period, but not during the exposure period.