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. 2024 Jun 6;22(6):e8814. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2024.8814

Reference

Study name

Country

Study design

Follow‐up

Funding

Original cohort (N total)

Exclusion criteria

Study population

Ascertainment of outcome

Exposure groups

n/person‐years

Exposure assessment method

Incident cases Model covariates

Results

Melhus et al. (1998)

Swedish Mammography Cohort

Sweden

NCC

2–64 months

Funding: Public

N = 1247

Population sampled: Females, 40–76 years old living in two counties in Sweden from 1987 to 1990

Exclusion criteria: Incorrect diagnosis of hip fractures, fractures due to cancer or high‐energy trauma

n = 1120

Sex: Females

Age:

Cases: 67.6 ± 7.3 years

Controls: 67.7 ± 7.3 years

Other characteristics

BMI (kg/m2):

Cases: 24.4 ± 3.9

Controls: 25.9 ± 4.3

Current smokers: n = 137

Alcohol consumption: NR

Vitamin D intake (μg/day): NR

Calcium intake (mg/day): NR

β‐carotene intake (mg/day):

Cases: 800 ± 700

Controls: 750 ± 600

Current HRT users: 56

Previous osteoporotic fracture=

Cases: 82/247

Controls: 165/874

Hip fractures (cervical, trochanteric or subtrochanteric femoral fracture): from hospital records

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet only), μg RE/day:

Mean ± SD

Cases: 960 ± 480

Controls: 880 ± 430

Categories

1: ≤ 500 (ref.)

2: 510–1000

3: 1010‐1500

4: > 1500

No participant had intake less than 270 μg RE/day

n/person‐years per category: NR

Total person‐years: NR

Exposure assessment:

A 60‐item FFQ at baseline (validation not published)

Hip fractures:

Cases = 247

Controls = 873

Matching criteria = age, county of residence

Model 1:

Univariate

Model 2:

Adjusted for BMI, energy intake, age at menopause, lifetime physical activity during leisure time, cigarette smoking, hormone replacement therapy, diabetes mellitus, use of oral contraceptives or cortisone, previous osteoporotic fracture of the distal forearm or proximal humerus, menopause at time of the 2. questionnaire, former athletic activity

OR (95% CI)

Per 1000 μg RE preformed vitamin A:

Univariate model:

1.56 (1.15–2.11)

Adjusted model:

1.68 (1.18–2.40)

Per category:

Univariate model:

C1. 1.0 (ref)

C2. 0.93 (0.61–1.41)

C3. 1.27 (0.80–2.02)

C4. 1.95 (1.11–3.43)

Adjusted model:

C1. 1.0 (ref)

C2. 0.92 (0.57–1.46)

C3. 1.34 (0.77–2.31)

C4. 2.05 (1.05–3.98)

Additionally adjusted for iron, magnesium, vitamin C, and calcium intake:

OR high vs. low: 1.54 (1.06–2.24), p = 0.02

Feskanich et al. (2002)

Nurses' health study

USA

PC

Up to 18 years

Funding: Mixed

N = 121,700

Population sampled: Postmenopausal registered female nurses

Exclusion criteria: Premenopausal, previous hip fracture, diagnosis of cancer, heart disease, stroke or osteoporosis

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 72,377

Sex: Females

Age (mean, no SD given) per quintile of total vitamin A intake

Q1: 58.3

Q2: 59.3

Q3: 59.7

Q4: 60.0

Q5: 60.5

Other characteristics (mean, no SD given)

BMI, kg/m2

Q1: 26.0

Q2: 26.0

Q3: 25.9

Q4: 25.8

Q5: 25.7

Physical activity, h/wk

Q1: 2.4

Q2: 2.7

Q3: 2.9

Q4: 3.0

Q5: 3.2

Hip fractures: Self‐reported (questionnaire).

Only fractures due to low or moderate trauma were considered cases

Cumulative average intake across quintiles (μg RE/day):

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet and supplements):

Q1 (ref) (< 500): 487

Q2 (500–849): 763

Q3 (850–1299): 1085

Q4 (1300‐1999): 1607

Q5 (≥ 2000): 3206

n/Person‐years:

72,377/313,308

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet only):

Q1 (ref) (< 400): 425

Q2 (400–549): 553

Q3 (550–699): 666

Q4 (700–999): 802

Q5 (≥ 1000):1014

n/Person‐years:

34,386/313,138

Total vitamin A intake (diet and supplements)

Q1 (ref) (< 1250): 965

Q2 (1250‐1699): 1442

Q3 (1700‐2249): 1890

Q4 (2250‐2999): 2491

Q5 (≥ 3000): 4274

n/Person‐years:

72,377/313,308

Total vitamin A intake (diet only):

Q1 (ref) (< 1000): 811

Q2 (1000‐1299): 1146

Hip fracture cases

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet and supplements)

Q1 (ref): 102

Q2: 122

Q3: 111

Q4: 122

Q5: 146

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet only)

Q1 (ref): 31

Q2: 36

Q3: 29

Q4: 42

Q5: 52

Total vitamin A intake (diet and supplements)

Q1 (ref): 118

Q2: 123

Q3: 121

Q4: 124

Q5: 137

Total vitamin A intake (diet only)

Q1 (ref): 22

Q2: 30

Q3: 25

Q4: 32

Q5: 30

Model 1: Adjusted for age

Model 2: Adjusted for age, follow‐up cycle, body mass index, use of postmenopausal hormones, smoking, hours of leisure‐time activity per week, use of thiazide diuretics, and intakes of calcium, protein, vitamin D, vitamin K, alcohol, and caffeine + total energy

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet and supplements)

Model 1

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 1.12 (0.86–1.46)

Q3: 0.99 (0.76–1.30)

Q4: 1.08 (0.83–1.40)

Q5: 1.25 (0.97–1.60)

p for trend = 0.03

Model 2

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 1.25 (0.95–1.65)

Q3: 1.18 (0.88–1.59)

Q4: 1.43 (1.04–1.96)

Q5: 1.89 (1.33–2.68)

p for trend <0.001

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet only)

Model 1

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 1.20 (0.74–1.94)

Q3: 0.92 (0.55–1.53)

Q4: 1.34 (0.84–2.15)

Q5: 1.67 (1.07–2.61)

p for trend = 0.05

Model 2

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 1.27 (0.77–2.07)

Q3: 0.96 (0.57–1.63)

Q4: 1.41 (0.86–2.32)

Q5: 1.69 (1.05–2.74)

p for trend = 0.05t

Total vitamin A intake (diet and supplements)

HR (95% CI)

Total calcium intake, mg/day

Q1: 719

Q2: 827

Q3: 887

Q4: 947

Q5: 1058

Total vitamin D intake, μg/day

Q1: 4.2

Q2: 5.6

Q3: 7.1

Q4: 9.5

Q5: 13.8

Current use of postmenopausal hormones, %

Q1: 29

Q2: 30

Q3: 33

Q4: 34

Q5: 34

Q3 (1300‐1599): 1427

Q4 (1600‐1999): 1763

Q5 (≥ 2000): 2507

n/Person‐years:

28,676/217,635

Exposure assessment

Up to 5 times repeated (61 to > 130‐items, depending on the iteration) semi‐quantitative validated FFQs

Conversion factor for pro‐vitamin A carotenoids: NR

Model 1

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 0.79 (0.60–1.02)

Q3: 0.89 (0.69–1.14)

Q4: 0.88 (0.69–1.14)

Q5: 0.94 (0.74–1.21)

p for trend = 0.55

Model 2

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 0.92 (0.70–1.22)

Q3: 1.13 (0.85–1.49)

Q4: 1.24 (0.92–1.68)

Q5: 1.48 (1.05–2.07)

p for trend = 0.003

Total vitamin A intake (diet only)

Model 1

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 1.33 (0.77–2.31)

Q3: 1.16 (0.66–2.05)

Q4: 1.34 (0.77–2.34)

Q5: 1.40 (0.81–2.42)

p for trend = 0.53

Model 2

Q1 (ref): 1.00

Q2: 1.51 (0.86–2.66)

Q3: 1.37 (0.74–2.51)

Q4: 1.74 (0.96–3.14)

Q5: 1.82 (0.97–3.40)

p for trend = 0.24

Michaëlsson et al. (2003)

Uppsala Longitudinal Study of Adult Men

Sweden

PC

up to 11 years

Funding: Mixed

N = 2322

Population sampled: General population born between 1920 and 1924, living in Uppsala

Exclusion criteria: Missing serum retinol samples

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 2032/1221 a

Sex: Males

Baseline variables reported according to quintiles of serum retinol

Age, years

Q1: 49.7 ± 0.6

Q2: 49.6 ± 0.6

Q3: 49.7 ± 0.6

Q4: 49.7 ± 0.6

Q5: 49.7 ± 0.6

Other characteristics

BMI, kg/m2

Q1: 24.1 ± 3.0

Q2: 25.1 ± 3.3

Q3: 24.9 ± 3.2

Q4: 25.5 ± 3.4

Q5: 25.6 ± 3.1

Leisure physical activity ≥3 h per week, %

Q1: 42

Q2: 48

Q3: 49

Q4: 47

Q5: 41

Vitamin D intake: NR

Calcium intake: NR

Any fracture site

Ascertained through medical records and linkage to the Hospital Discharge

Register. Cases of fracture caused by cancer were excluded

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet and supplements), RE μg/day

Mean ± SD (Range)

Q1 (ref): 410 ± 90 (< 530)

Q2: 640 ± 60 (540–740)

Q3: 880 ± 80 (750–1040)

Q4: 1290 ± 150 (1050–1560)

Q5: 2370 ± 770 (> 1560)

Preformed vitamin A intake (diet only)

Q1 (ref): 410 ± 90 (< 530)

Q2: 640 ± 60 (530–730)

Q3: 860 ± 70 (730–990)

Q4: 1230 ± 150 (1000‐1500)

Q5: 2250 ± 720 (> 1500)

n/Person‐years: NR

Exposure assessment method:

7‐day dietary records in subsample.

111, among those with dietary information (n = 1138)

Cases per quintile of intake NR

Model 1: Adjusted for total energy intake. No other model covariates reported for models with dietary vitamin A.

RR (95% CI) of any fracture for

Preformed vitamin A (diet + supplements)

Q1 (ref): 1

Q5: 1.99 (0.98, 4.01)

p for trend: NR

Preformed vitamin A (diet only)

Q1 (ref): 1

Q5: 2.00 (1.00, 3.99)

p for trend: NR

Intermediate quartile RRs not reported

Lim et al. (2004)

Iowa Women's Health Study

USA

PC

9.5 years (mean)

Funding: Public

N = 41,836

Population sampled: Females, aged 55–69 from the general population

Exclusion criteria: Premenopausal at baseline, implausible energy intakes, incomplete FFQ, history of cancer (except skin cancer)

% lost to follow up: 21

n = 34,703

Sex: Females

Median age 61 years

Age‐adjusted characteristics stratified by vitamin A supplementation and total vitamin A intake (measure of central tendency or dispersion not given for all variables):

Supplement users:

BMI, kg/m2: 26.6

Physically active (%): 56.4

Prior fracture (%): 14.1

Mean calcium intake, mg/day: 1295

Mean vitamin D intake, IU/day: 671

Non‐supplement users:

BMI, kg/m2: 27.2

Physically active (%): 49.2

Prior fracture (%): 13.4

Mean calcium intake, mg/day: 984

Mean vitamin D intake, IU/day: 269

Hip and total fractures: Self‐reported (via questionnaire)

Quintiles of Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements), mean (range), μg RE/day

Q1 (ref): 274 (8–422)

Q2: 609 (422–886)

Q3: 1157 (886–1397)

Q4: 1730 (1397‐2100)

Q5: 3783 (2101‐63,315)

n/Person‐years hip fractures:

Q1: 6940/65,807

Q2: 6941/67,194

Q3: 6941/65,468

Q4: 6941/66,052

Q5: 6940/65,290

n/Person‐years all fractures:

Q1: 6940/58,648

Q2: 6941/60,455

Q3: 6941/58,304

Q4: 6941/59,129

Q5: 6940/58,527

Quintiles of total vitamin A (food and supplements) (Mean (range), IU/day [μg RE/day])

Q1 (ref): 1534 (66.3–2117)

Q2: 2631 (2117–3145)

Q3: 3679 (3146–4263)

Q4: 5029 (4263–5968)

Q5: 8771 (5968–71,097)

n/Person‐years hip fractures:

Q1: 6940/64,989

Q2: 6941/65,688

Q3: 6941/58672

Q4: 6942/66,724

Q5: 6940/66,068

Hip fractures

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements)

Q1: 109

Q2: 84

Q3: 116

Q4: 101

Q5: 125

Total vitamin A (food and supplements)

Q1: 93

Q2: 122

Q3: 102

Q4: 99

Q5: 119

All fractures

Total Vitamin A (food and supplement)

Q1: 1298

Q2: 1319

Q3: 1256

Q4: 1311

Q5: 1319

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplement)

Q1: 1324

Q2: 1238

Q3: 1346

Q4: 1270

Q5: 1324

Hip fractures

Total and preformed retinol dietary intake

Model 1: Age

Model 2: Age, BMI, waist‐to‐hip‐ratio, diabetes mellitus, past irregular menstrual duration, physical activity, steroid medication, oestrogen replacement and energy intake

Total and preformed vitamin A supplements

Model 1: Age

Model 2: Age, BMI, waist‐to‐hip ratio, diabetes mellitus, physical activity, steroid medication and oestrogen replacement therapy

All fractures

Total and preformed vitamin A dietary intake

Model 1: Age

Model 2: Age, BMI, diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, past irregular menstrual duration, thyrotropic medication, sedative medication, steroid medication, antiepileptic medication, diuretic medication, education, alcohol use, energy intake

Total and preformed vitamin A supplements

Model 1: Age

Model 2: Age, BMI, diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, thyrotropic medication, antiepileptic medication, sedative medication, steroid medication, education

Hip fractures

RR (95% CI)

Preformed vitamin A intake quintiles (food and supplements)

Model 1

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 0.72 (0.54–0.96)

Q3: 1.03 (0.79–1.33)

Q4: 0.88 (0.67–1.15)

Q5: 1.10 (0.85–1.42)

p for trend = 0.21

Model 2

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 0.69 (0.52–0.93)

Q3: 1.03 (0.79–1.34)

Q4: 0.86 (0.65–1.14)

Q5: 1.10 (0.84–1.43)

p for trend = 0.19

Total vitamin A intake quintiles (food and supplements)

Model 1

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 1.26 (0.96–1.65)

Q3: 1.03 (0.78–1.37)

Q4: 0.97 (0.73–1.29)

Q5: 1.17 (0.89–1.54)

p for trend = 0.85

Model 2

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 1.27 (0.97–1.67)

Q3: 1.08 (0.81–1.44)

Q4: 1.02 (0.76–1.37)

Q5: 1.25 (0.94–1.68)

p for trend = 0.49

All fractures

Preformed vitamin A intake quintiles (food and supplements)

1st and 5th quintile of vitamin A intake

BMI, kg/m2:

Q1: 27.1

Q5: 26.9

Physically active, %:

Q1: 40.0

Q5: 62.0

Prior fracture, %

Q1: 13.4

Q5: 14.0

Mean calcium intake, mg/day: Q1: 874

Q5: 1318

Mean vitamin D intake, IU/day:

Q1: 219

Q5: 632

n/Person‐years all fractures:

Q1: 6940/58,073

Q2: 6940/66,434

Q3: 6940/59,622

Q4: 6942/59,717

Q5: 6940/58,979

Exposure assessment

127‐item validated semi‐quantitative FFQ

Conversion factors for carotenoids not reported.

Non‐users only

Preformed vitamin A intake

Model 1: Age

Model 2: Age, body mass index, diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, past irregular menstrual duration, thyrotropic medication, sedative medication, steroid medication, antiepileptic medication, diuretic medication, education, alcohol use, and energy intake

Total vitamin A intake

Model 1: Age

Model 2: Age, body mass index, waist‐to‐hip ratio, diabetes mellitus, past irregular menstrual duration, physical activity, steroid medication, oestrogen replacement, and energy intake

Model 1

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 0.90 (0.83–0.97)

Q3: 1.01 (0.94–1.09)

Q4: 0.94 (0.87–1.01)

Q5: 0.99 (0.91–1.06)

p for trend = 0.86

Model 2

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 0.89 (0.82–0.96)

Q3: 1.00 (0.93–1.08)

Q4: 0.92 (0.85–1.00)

Q5: 0.96 (0.89–1.04)

p for trend = 0.61

Total Vitamin A intake quintiles (food and supplements)

Model 1

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 1.00 (0.92–1.06)

Q3: 0.93 (0.86–1.01)

Q4: 0.97 (0.89–1.04)

Q5: 0.98 (0.91–1.06)

p for trend = 0.43

Model 2

Q1: 1.00 (ref)

Q2: 0.98 (0.91–1.06)

Q3: 0.92 (0.85–0.99)

Q4: 0.94 (0.87–1.02)

Q5: 0.95 (0.87–1.03)

p for trend = 0.098

White et al. (2006)

Leisure World Cohort Study

USA

PC

Median follow‐up times for males:

Hip fractures: 9.8 years

Wrist fractures:

4.7 years

Spine fractures:

5.3 years

Median follow‐up times for females:

Hip fractures:

11.8 years

Wrist fractures:

7.4 years

Spine fractures:

9.1 years

Funding: Mixed

N = 13,978

Population sampled: Residents of a retirement community, mostly white, upper‐middle socioeconomic class

Exclusion criteria: NR

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 13,978

Sex: 63.5% females

Age, years:

Males: 74.9 ± 7.2

Females: 73.7 ± 7.4

Other characteristics

Males :

BMI 24.1 ± 2.9 kg/m2

Smoking pack‐years 25.9 ± 29.7

Alcohol consumption drinks/day: 1.64 ± 1.6

Active activities, h/day: 1.1 ± 1.3

Previous fracture after age 40, but before study entry: 14%

Females:

BMI: 23.1 ± 3.5 kg/m2

Smoking pack‐years: 12.7 ± 22.2

Alcohol consumption drinks/day: 1.17 ± 1.22

Postmenopausal oestrogen: 54%

Active activities

h/day: 0.9 ± 1.1

Previous fracture after age 40, but before study entry: 30%

Vitamin D intake: NR

Calcium intake: NR

Hip, wrist and spine fractures:

Self‐reported (follow‐up surveys), hospital discharge records and death certificates

Preformed vitamin A supplement, b μg RE/day

Mean ± SD

Males

14,610 ± 26,010

Females

15,930 ± 24,120

N/person‐years

Males

Hip fractures: 4769/49,586

Wrist fractures: 4177/31,654

Spine fractures: 3890/32,570

Females

Hip fractures: 6850/98,290

Wrist fractures: 6393/62,734

Spine fractures: 7153/67,239

Exposure assessment method: Non‐validated survey/questionnaire.

Males

Hip: 278

Wrist: 56

Spine: 167

Females

Hip: 949

Wrist: 389

Spine: 562

Model 1, all fracture sites (hip, wrist, spine): Age

Model 2 (females only)

Hip: age, previous fracture, BMI, current smoker, pack‐years of smoking, diabetes, glaucoma, attitude, ever pregnant

Wrist: age, previous fracture, BMI, hysterectomy, heart attack, alcohol,, cola consumption

HR (95% CI) of fracture per 3000 μg RE/day increase in supplemental preformed vitamin A:

Males

Model 1

Hip: 1.00 (1.00–1.00)

Wrist: 1.00 (0.99–1.00)

Spine: 1.00 (1.00–1.00)

Model 2

NR for any fracture site

Females

Model 1

Hip: 1.00 (1.00–1.00)

Wrist: 1.00 (1.00–1.00)

Spine: 1.00 (1.00–1.00)

Model 2

Hip: 1.07 (1.00–1.15)

Wrist: 1.15 (1.07–1.23)

Spine: NR

Note: The multiple regression models used a backwards elimination procedure and retained variables significant at 0.05 in the models. Vitamin A supplement use was not a significant variable in model 2 for males (any fracture site) or females (spine fractures)

Hayhoe et al. (2017)

EPIC‐Norfolk

UK

PC

12.5 years (mean)

Funding: Public

N = 25,639

Population sampled: Aged 39–79, between 1993 and 1997

Exclusion criteria: NR

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 25,439

Sex: 54.8% females

Age, years:

Females: 58.9 ± 9.3

Males: 59.7 ± 9.3

BMI, kg/m2

Females: 26.2 ± 4.3

Males: 26.5 ± 3.3

Dietary calcium intake (mg/day):

Females: 766 ± 249

Males: 919 ± 298

Current smoker (%)

Females: 12.1

Males: 12.8

Physically active (%)

Females: 15.3

Males: 21.5

Corticosteroid use, > 3 months (%)

Females: 3.4

Males: 3.0

Osteoporotic hip, spine or wrist fractures: Self‐reported, corroborated via linkage to hospital attendance database

Quintiles of preformed vitamin A (diet and supplements), μg RE/day

Mean ± SD, Range

Females:

Q1: 146 ± 49 (0–216)

Q2: 271 ± 33 (217–331)

Q3: 431 ± 71 (331–593)

Q4: 889 ± 140 (594–1109)

Q5: 2505 ± 2179 (1109–43,483)

Males:

Q1: 184 ± 59 (0–265)

Q2: 330 ± 38 (265–398)

Q3: 493 ± 60 (398–617)

Q4: 880 ± 157 (617–1158)

Q5: 2911 ± 2832 (1158–57,714)

N per quintile:

Females:

Q1: 2786

Q2: 2786

Q3: 2786

Q4: 2786

Q5: 2785

Males:

Q1: 2302

Q2: 2302

Q3: 2302

Q4: 2302

Q5: 2302

Exposure assessment method: 7‐day food diaries

Diet + supplements analyses

Hip Fractures

Females:

Q1: 132

Q2: 128

Q3: 114

Q4: 136

Q5: 155

Males:

Q1: 41

Q2: 45

Q3: 46

Q4: 55

Q5: 44

Total fractures (hip, wrist and spine)

Females:

Q1: 238

Q2: 224

Q3: 211

Q4: 242

Q5: 250

Males:

Q1: 113

Q2: 79

Q3: 88

Q4: 92

Q5: 95

Wrist Fractures

Females:

Q1: 91

Q2: 75

Q3: 73

Q4: 83

Q5: 76

Males:

Q1: 31

Q2: 27

Q3: 17

Q4: 24

Q5: 16

Age, BMI, family history of osteoporosis, menopausal and hormone replacement therapy status in women, corticosteroid use, smoking status, physical activity, calcium intake, total energy intake, calcium and vitamin D‐containing

supplement use, days of food diary completed and the ratio of energy intake: estimated energy requirement

Preformed vitamin A (diet + supplements)

HR (95% CI)

Hip Fractures

Females:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.89 (0.69, 1.14)

Q3: 0.78 (0.60, 1.02)

Q4: 0.98 (0.72, 1.33)

Q5: 0.97 (0.72, 1.30)

Males:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.16 (0.75, 1.79)

Q3: 1.20 (0.77, 1.88)

Q4: 1.17 (0.71, 1.92)

Q5: 1.32 (0.81, 2.16)

Total Fractures

Females:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.88 (0.73, 1.06)

Q3: 0.83 (0.68, 1.01)

Q4: 0.93 (0.74, 1.18)

Q5: 0.87 (0.70, 1.10)

Males:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.67 (0.50, 0.90)

Q3: 0.72 (0.53, 0.96)

Q4: 0.77 (0.55, 1.07)

Q5: 0.75 (0.54, 1.05)

Wrist Fractures

Females:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.80 (0.58, 1.09)

Q3: 0.78 (0.56, 1.10)

Q4: 0.73 (0.49, 1.10)

Q5: 0.64 (0.43, 0.96)

Males:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.72 (0.42, 1.21)

Q3: 0.37 (0.20, 0.69)

Q4: 0.52 (0.27, 0.99)

Q5: 0.35 (0.17, 0.75)

Spine Fractures

Females:

Q1: 57

Q2: 48

Q3: 41

Q4: 56

Q5: 47

Males:

Q1: 46

Q2: 15

Q3: 30

Q4: 28

Q5: 30

Spine Fractures

Females:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.82 (0.55, 1.23)

Q3: 0.72 (0.47, 1.12)

Q4: 1.07 (0.65, 1.75)

Q5: 0.82 (0.50, 1.34)

Males:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.31 (0.17, 0.56)

Q3: 0.59 (0.36, 0.96)

Q4: 0.54 (0.31, 0.97)

Q5: 0.54 (0.30, 0.97)

Key et al. (2007)

EPIC‐Oxford

UK

PC

5.2 years (mean)

Funding: Public

N: 57,450

Population sampled:

General population and vegetarians living in the UK, aged 20 and above between 1993 and 2000

Exclusion criteria: did not answer follow‐up question about fractures; reported fractures of the digits or ribs, had any type of fracture before recruitment; unreliable nutrient intake (≥ 20% FFQ missing, or daily energy intakes <500 kcal or > 3500 kcal for females or < 800 kcal or > 4000 kcal for males)

All fractures: Self‐reported fractures in bones other than the digits or ribs, accruing after study recruitment

Categories of preformed vitamin A (food only) (μg RE/day)

C1: < 200

C2: 200–299

C3: 300–449

C4: 450–999

C5: ≥ 1000

Mean (SD) intakes per category of preformed vitamin A (food only) (μg RE/day)*

Females:

C1: 127 (52)

C2: 251 (29)

C3: 369 (43)

C4: 627 (160)

C5: 1463 (879)

Incident fractures: Female: n = 1555

Male: n = 343

Females:

C1: 289

C2: 299

C3: 398

C4: 367

C5: 202

Males:

C1: 75

C2: 58

C3: 81

C4: 85

C5: 44

Age at recruitment, smoking, intakes of energy and calcium, protein, vitamins D and C, carotene, potassium and magnesium, alcohol consumption, BMI, walking, cycling, vigorous exercise, other exercise, physical activity at work, marital status and, for females, parity and use of hormone replacement therapy

Incidence rate ratio (95% CI)

Females:

C1: (ref) 1.00

C2: 0.96 (0.80–1.14)

C3: 0.99 (0.82–1.19)

C4: 1.03 (0.84–1.27)

C5: 0.93 (0.73–1.18)

p for trend = 0.97

Males:

C1: (ref) 1.00

C2: 0.92 (0.62–1.36)

C3: 0.97 (0.65–1.45)

C4: 0.91 (0.58–1.42)

C5: 0.80 (0.47–1.34)

p for trend = 0.54

Lost to follow up: NR

n = 34,696

Sex: 77% female

Age:

Female: 45.8 ± 13.1

Male: 49.5 ± 13.5

Other characteristics

BMI (kg/m2):

Female: 23.6 ± 3.9

Male: 24.2 ± 3.3% Current smokers:

Female: 8.9

Male: 11.5

Alcohol consumption (g/day):

Female: 7.7 ± 9.6

Male: 15.1 ± 17.8

Vitamin D intake (μg/day):

Female: 2.7 ± 1.9

Male: 2.73 ± 1.99

Calcium intake (mg/day):

Female: 996 ± 329

Male. 1046 ± 363% current HRT users: 13.5% ≥ 3h vigorous exercise/week:

Female: 27.6

Male: 34.3

Males

C1: 111 (58)

C2: 251 (28)

C3: 370 (43)

C4: 636 (153)

C5: 1531 (1189)

N/person‐years per category*:

Females:

C1: 5139

C2: 5564

C3: 7149

C4: 6330

C5: 3403

Males:

C1: 1449

C2: 1299

C3: 1913

C4: 2157

C5: 1299

*Data received from study authors for total N of 35,702, which is ~ 1000 more participants than what is reported in the publication

Exposure assessment:

130‐item, validated FFQ, covering the previous 12 months, at baseline

Caire‐Juvera et al. (2009)

Women's' Health Initiative Observational Study

USA

PC

6.6 years (mean)

Funding: Public

N: 93,676

Population sampled:

Postmenopausal females aged 50–79 years, unlikely to move or die ≤ 3, not participating in other clinical trials

Exclusion criteria:

Missing FFQ data; previous fractures or diagnosis of osteoporosis

Lost to follow up: 1,9%

n = 75,747

Sex: female

Age (years) per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 63.7 ± 7.3

Q2: 63.8 ± 7.3

Q3: 63.7 ± 7.3

Q4: 63.6 ± 7.2

Q5: 63.1 ± 7.2

Other characteristics

BMI (kg/m2) per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 27.1 ± 5.8

Q2: 26.8 ± 5.5

Q3: 26.7 ± 5.5

Q4: 27.0 ± 5.6

Q5: 27.6 ± 6.1

Vitamin D intake (ug/day) per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 5.6 ± 3.3

Q2: 8.9 ± 4.2

Q3: 11.5 ± 4.7

Q4: 13.4 ± 4.6

Q5: 15.4 ± 5.6

Hip fractures: self‐reported (by participants or proxy) and adjudicated by central review of radiology and other medical reports

Other fractures: self‐report (by participants or proxy

Quintiles of preformed vitamin A (food and supplements), μg RE/day:

Q1 (ref): < 474

Q2: 474–764

Q3: 765–1092

Q4: 1093–1425

Q5: ≥ 1426 μg

N

Q1 (ref): 15,149

Q2: 15,149

Q3: 15,150

Q4: 15,149

Q5: 15,150

Quintiles of total vitamin A (food and supplements) (μg RE/day):

Q1 (ref): < 5055

Q2: 5055–5824

Q3: 5825–6550

Q4: 6551–7507

Q5: ≥ 7508

N

Q1 (ref): 15,149

Q2: 15,149

Q3: 15,150

Q4: 15,149

Q5: 15,150

Nutrient intakes were calculated as the mean of the intakes at baseline and year 3 of follow‐up

Total fractures: 10,405

Hip fractures: 588

Per quintile:

Hip fractures

Preformed vitamin A

Q1: 112

Q2: 129

Q3: 94

Q4: 124

Q5: 129

Total vitamin A

Q1: 122

Q2: 121

Q3: 113

Q4: 113

Q5: 119

Total fractures

Preformed vitamin A

Q1: 1977

Q2: 2044

Q3: 2110

Q4: 2152

Q5: 2122

Total vitamin A

Q1: 1993

Q2: 2054

Q3: 2102

Q4: 2137

Q5: 2119

Incidence of total fractures: 221/10,000 person‐years

Model 1:

Adjusted for age

Model 2:

Adjusted for age, energy, vitamin K, protein, alcohol, and caffeine intake; smoking; BMI; hormone therapy use; total METs per week; ethnic group; region

Model 3: Model 2 plus vitamin D and calcium

HR (95% CI)

Hip fractures:

Preformed vitamin A

Model 1:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.22 (0.95, 1.57)

Q3: 0.87 (0.66, 1.15)

Q4: 1.13 (0.87, 1.46)

Q5: 1.21 (0.94, 1.55)

p for trend: 0.373

Model 2:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.23 (0.94, 1.60)

Q3: 0.89 (0.67, 1.19)

Q4: 1.10 (0.84, 1.45)

Q5: 1.25 (0.95, 1.64)

p for trend: 0.415

Model 3:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.19 (0.91, 1.57)

Q3: 0.84 (0.61, 1.14)

Q4: 1.00 (0.73, 1.39)

Q5: 1.13 (0.81, 1.59)

p for trend: 0.925

Total vitamin A

Model 1:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.99 (0.77, 1.27)

Q3: 0.94 (0.73, 1.22)

Q4: 0.96 (0.74, 1.23)

Q5: 1.06 (0.83, 1.37)

p for trend: 0.612

Model 2:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.01 (0.78, 1.32)

Q3: 0.99 (0.75, 1.31)

Q4: 1.03 (0.76, 1.38)

Q5: 1.24 (0.88, 1.73)

p for trend: 0.2

Calcium intake (mg/day) per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 847 ± 429

Q2: 1081 ± 607

Q3: 1240 ± 498

Q4: 1390 ± 462

Q5: 1622 ± 547

Alcohol intake (g/day) per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 4.1 ± 7.9

Q2: 5.2 ± 9.2

Q3: 5.9 ± 10.2

Q4: 6.4 ± 10.9

Q5: 6.8 ± 12.5% current smokers per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 6.8

Q2: 6.1

Q3: 5.0

Q4: 4.8

Q5: 4.9

Physical activity (METs/week) per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 12.9 ± 4.1

Q2: 13.8 ± 14.3

Q3: 14.5 ± 14.3

Q4: 14.7 ± 14.4

Q5: 14.8 ± 14.8% current HRT users, per quintile of vitamin A intake:

Q1: 41

Q2: 45

Q3: 47

Q4: 49

Q5: 48

Exposure assessment:

122‐item FFQ at baseline and year 3. Intakes were averaged across the two FFQs. Supplement intake was assessed by a computerised inventory and by participants bringing supplements to the clinic for an in‐person interview.

Conversion factors for carotenoids not reported

Model 3:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.99 (0.75, 1.30)

Q3: 0.94 (0.69, 1.28)

Q4: 0.96 (0.68, 1.35)

Q5: 1.14 (0.76, 1.71)

p for trend: 0.445

Total fractures:

Preformed vitamin A

Model 1:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.05 (0.99, 1.12)

Q3: 1.09 (1.03, 1.16)

Q4: 1.13 (1.06, 1.20)

Q5: 1.10 (1.03, 1.17)

p for trend: < 0.001

Model 2:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.03 (0.96, 1.11)

Q3: 1.08 (1.00, 1.15)

Q4: 1.11 (1.04, 1.18)

Q5: 1.08 (1.01, 1.16)

p for trend: 0.002

Model 3:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.01 (0.94, 1.08)

Q3: 1.03 (0.96, 1.11)

Q4: 1.04 (0.96, 1.13)

Q5: 1.00 (0.92, 1.10)

p for trend: 0.8

Total vitamin A

Model 1:

Q1: 1 (ref)

Q2: 1.03 (0.97, 1.10)

Q3: 1.07 (1.00, 1.14)

Q4: 1.09 (1.02, 1.16)

Q5: 1.09 (1.02, 1.16)

p for trend: < 0.001

Model 2:

Q1: 1

Q2: 1.02 (0.96, 1.09)

Q3: 1.06 (0.99, 1.13)

Q4: 1.08 (1.01, 1.16)

Q5: 1.09 (1.01, 1.19)

p for trend: < 0.001

Model 3:

Q1: 1

Q2: 0.99 (0.92, 1.05)

Q3: 1.00 (0.93, 1.07)

Q4: 1.00 (0.92, 1.08)

Q5: 0.98 (0.89, 1.08)

p for trend: 0.330

‘Among the females in the lower vitamin D strata, there was a modest risk of fractures in the highest quintile of both total vitamin A (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.37; P for trend <0.05) and retinol (HR: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.29; P for trend: 0.056), compared with the lowest quintile. There were no significant risks in the groups with higher vitamin D intakes or lower and higher calcium intakes. The combination of lower vitamin D and calcium intakes resulted in an HR of 1.17 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.36; P for trend <0.05) for total fractures among females in the highest compared with the lowest quintile of retinol.’

Rejnmark et al. (2004)

Danish Osteoporosis Prevention Study

Denmark

PC/NCC

5 years

Funding: Mixed

N = 2016

Population sampled: Perimenopausal females, participating in an open‐label trial, aged 45–58 years, Caucasian, 3–24 months after the last menstrual bleeding or having experienced perimenopausal symptoms and having elevated serum FSH

Exclusion criteria: Known metabolic bone disease, osteoporosis (defined as nontraumatic vertebral fractures), current oestrogen use, ever treatment with glucocorticoids for ≥ 6 months, current or past malignancy, newly diagnosed or uncontrolled chronic disease, hospitalisation due to alcohol or drug addiction

NCC

Fractures: Self‐reported validated against hospital discharge records Some cases were added upon spinal x‐ray review

A fracture was defined as more than 20% reduction in the height of a vertebra compared with the highest vertical distance of that vertebrae

PC

Femoral neck and lumbar spine BMD measurements were performed by using DXA

NCC – Fractures analyses

Preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements)

Median (IQR), μg RE/day

For cases (n = 163)

1190 (700–1420)

For controls (n = 978)

1210 (740–1430)

Categories of Preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements), μg RE/day

C1: < 500 (ref)

C2: 500–1500

C3: > 1500

n per category

C1: 175

C2: 707

C3: 219

Quintile of preformed vitamin A intakes or n per quintile = NR

PC – BMD analyses

Median (IQR), μg RE/day

Total vitamin A intake (food and supplements): 1740 (1290‐2360)

163 fractures

Cases per category of intake:

C1 (ref): 24

C2: 107

C3: 28

Cases per quintile of intake: NR

NCC – Fractures

Model 1: Crude

Model 2: Adjusted for age, years postmenopausal, previous fracture, body weight, physical activity, total energy intake, dietary calcium intake, dietary vitamin D intake, use of vitamin D supplements, alcohol intake, smoking, thiazide diuretics, loop diruetics, thyroid hormones, antipsychotic/anxiolytic/antidepressant therapy, diagnosis of thyretoxicosis, chronic obstructive lung disease, lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD

PC ‐ BMD

Adjusted for age, years postmenopausal, hormone replacement therapy status, previous fracture, body weight, baseline lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD, physical activity, total energy intake, dietary calcium intake, dietary vitamin D intake, use of vitamin D supplements, alcohol intake, smoking, use of thiazide diuretics, loop diruetics, thyroid hormones or antipsychotic/anxiolytic/antidepressant therapy, diagnosis of thyretoxicosis, non‐insulin dependent diabetes mellitus, insulin‐dependent diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive lung disease, the other dietary vitamin A intake variables

NCC – Fractures

Logistic regression for preformed vitamin A and fractures, OR (95% CI)

Categories of preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements)

Model 1

C1: 1 (ref)

C2: 1.12 (0.70, 1.81)

C3: 0.96 (0.71, 1.28)

Model 2

C1: 1 (ref)

C2: 1.27 (0.65, 2.51)

C3: 1.03 (0.56, 1.89)

Quintiles of preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements)

Model 1

Q1: 1 (ref)

Q2: 1.37 (0.81, 2.32)

Q3: 1.04 (0.79, 1.36)

Q4: 1.05 (0.88, 1.25)

Q5: 0.99 (0.86, 1.14)

Model 2

Q1: 1 (ref)

Q2: 1.79 (0.86, 3.75)

Q3: 1.05 (0.78, 1.42)

Q4: 0.94 (0.43, 2.07)

Q5: 1.00 (0.75, 1.35)

PC ‐ BMD

Regression models for total and preformed vitamin A intake with lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD, (β (95% CI))

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 1690 (longitudinal analysis on lumbar spine BMD)

n = 1694 (longitudinal analyses on femoral neck BMD).

n = 1141 NCC

Sex: Females

Age, years (median (IQR))

PC:

50 (48–52)

NCC:

Cases

50 (48–52)

Controls

50 (48–52)

Other characteristics at baseline, Median (IQR)

PC:

Years postmenopausal: 0.5 (0.2–1.5)

Body weight, kg: 65.7 (59.8–74)

Physical activity, h/week: 19 (9–30)

Dietary calcium intake, mg/day: 807 (626–1040)

Dietary vitamin D intake, μg/day: 2.2 (1.6–3.2)

Dietary β‐carotene intake, mg/day: 2.94 (1.44–5.50)

Preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements): 1210 (680–1450)

n/Person‐years: NR

Exposure assessment:

4‐ or 7‐day food records. A dietician used food models and photographs during a 15‐min validation interview to evaluate serving

sizes and cooking habits.

Conversion factor for β‐carotene: 6:1

Change in BMD at the lumbar spine (g/cm 2 ) per total vitamin A intake (food and supplements) (mg RE/day) increase:

0.043 (−0.193, 0.284)

Change in BMD at the lumbar spine (g/cm 2 ) per total preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements), (mg RE/day) increase:

0.101 (−0.180, 0.390)

Change in BMD at the femoral neck (g/cm 2 ) per total vitamin A intake (food and supplements) (mg RE/day) increase:

−0.122 (−0.349, 0.105)

Change in BMD at the femoral neck (g/cm 2 ) per total preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements) (mg RE/day) increase:

−0.065 (−0.340, 0.209), p = NR

Barker et al. (2005)

UK

NCC

3.7 years (mean)

Funding: Public

N = 2602

Population sampled: Cases and controls sampled from the placebo arm of a study, general population of females > 75 years

Exclusion criteria: bilateral hip arthroplasty, hypocalcaemia, leucopoenia, impaired hepatic function, known malignancy, inflammatory bowel disease, impaired renal function, and use of bisphosphonate or calcium supplement of > 500 mg/day

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 1611

Any osteoporotic fracture

Cases: 312 Controls: 934

Hip fracture Cases: 92, Controls: 273

Sex: Females

Age, years, mean (95% CI)

Any osteoporotic fracture

Cases:

80.1 (79.6–80.6)

Controls

79.3 (79.1–79.5)

Hip fracture Cases:

80.8 (80.0–81.7)

Controls

79.2 (78.7–80.0)

Hip and any fractures: self‐reports (house visits), medical records with radiology or surgical report confirmation.

Verification in a subsample by comparing ICD codes

Serum retinyl palmitate (upper quartile vs. rest of population). Concentrations not reported. Measured by HPLC‐MS/MS

Retinol supplement use. Concentrations or contrast in analysis not reported. Intake estimated from multivitamin/cod liver oil use

Exposure assessment method: Serum retinyl palmitate and surveys for multivitamin/cod liver oil use which was in turn used to estimate retinol supplement use

Any osteoporotic fracture: 312

Hip fracture: 92

Models were unadjusted

Retinyl palmitate and retinol supplementation was only evaluated in univariate Cox PH models with fracture as outcome. Because they did not satisfy the authors' criterion of p < 0.1 on fracture risk they were not included in multivariable models. The final model only included age, total hip BMD and weight and no dietary variables

Serum retinyl palmitate

HR (95% CI)

Any fracture:

Q1‐3: ref.

Q4: 0.97 (0.74–1.26)

p = 0.800

Hip fracture:

Q1‐3: ref.

Q4: 0.91 (0.56–1.46)

p = 0.687

Preformed vitamin A supplement use

HR (95% CI)

Any fracture:

Non‐users: ref.

Users: 0.76 (0.60–0.95)

p = 0.021

Hip fracture:

Non‐users: ref.

Users: 0.86 (0.56–1.33)

p = 0.507

In the multivariate step‐wise analysis, serum retinyl palmitate, and retinol supplement use, was not associated with fracture risk

Other characteristics, mean (95% CI)

Any osteoporotic fracture cases

Height, cm: 156 (155–157)

Weight, kg: 61.7 (60.6–62.9)

Total hip BMD, g/cm2: 0.68 (0.66–0.69)

Serum 25(OH)D, nM [geometric mean (95% CI)]: 40.1 (38.3–42)

Any osteoporotic fracture controls

Height, cm: 156 (156–157)

Weight, kg: 65.4 (64.6–66.1)

Total hip BMD, g/cm2: 0.76 (0.76–0.77)

Serum 25(OH)D, nM [geometric mean (95% CI)]: 41.9 (40.8–43.0)

Hip fracture cases

Height, cm: 155 (154–156)

Weight, kg: 58.8 (56.8–60.7)

Total hip BMD, g/cm2: 0.65 (0.62–0.68)

Serum 25(OH)D, nM [geometric mean (95% CI)]: 37.5 (34.5–40.7)

Controls

Height, cm: 157 (156–157)

Weight, kg: 65.7 (64.1–67.1)

Total hip BMD, g/cm2: 0.76 (0.74–0.78)

Serum 25(OH)D, nM [geometric mean (95% CI)]: 39.6 (37.7–41.7)

de Jonge et al. (2015)

The Rotterdam study

The Netherlands

PC

13.9 years (mean)

Funding: Mixed

N: 7983

Population sampled:

Aged 55 years and older from the general population

Exclusion criteria: No dietary intake data/unreliable data, missing BMD data

Lost to follow up: NR

n = 5288

Sex: 59% female

Age: ≥ 55 years

Other characteristics (median (IQR) per quintile of vitamin A intake)

Vitamin D intake, μg/day:

Q1: 3.62 (2.68–4.61)

Q2: 3.29 (2.36–4.45)

Q3: 3.01 (2.18–4.12)

Q4: 3.02 (2.20–4.15)

Q5: 3.16 (2.25–4.32)

Calcium intake, mg/day:

Q1: 1009 (804–1279)

Q2: 1046 (857–1282)

Q3: 1097 (878–1341)

Q4: 1097 (894–1340)

Q5: 1130 (872–1374)

Height, cm:

Q1: 168 (161–174)

Q2: 167 (161–175)

Q3: 167 (161–174)

Q4: 166 (161–173)

Q5: 166 (160–174)

Radius/ulna, tibia/fibula, hand/foot, femur and other fractures:

Reported by general practitioners; verified by two research physicians

Femoral neck BMD:

By DXA, assessed at four visits

Quintiles of energy‐adjusted total vitamin A intake (food only), μg RE/day

Median

Q1: 709

Q2: 939

Q3: 1124

Q4: 1384

Q5: 2012

Energy‐adjusted preformed vitamin A intake, median μg RE/day:

Q1: 186

Q2: 200

Q3: 294

Q4: 518

Q5: 1099

N/person‐years: NR (author requested)

Exposure assessment: 170‐item, validated, semi‐quantitative FFQ through interviews at baseline

‘Energy‐adjusted’ nutrient intakes = unstandardised residuals from linear regression

Conversion factor for β‐carotene 6:1

Fractures: 1301

Cases per quintile:

Total vitamin A, energy‐adjusted:

Q1: 258

Q2: 234

Q3: 291

Q4: 279

Q5: 239

Retinol, energy‐adjusted

Q1: 228

Q2: 263

Q3: 307

Q4: 269

Q5: 234

Model 1:

Age, sex

Model 2: Model 1 + smoking, dietary calcium, alcohol intake, education, net income, disability index, physical activity

Model 3:

Model 2 + BMI

Model 4:

Model 3 + Baseline BMD

Total fractures:

HR (95% CI)

Total vitamin A:

Model 3: Q5 vs. Q3: 0.82 (0.69, 0.97)

p for trend: NR

Retinol:

Model 3: Q5 vs. Q3: 0.81 (0.68, 0.96)

p for trend: NR

Model 4: Not significant (data not shown)

Significant lower fracture risk in subjects in the highest quintile of retinol intake only in those with a BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 (HR (95% CI) = 0.78 (0.68–0.89) versus 1.04 (0.87–1.24) with BMI ⩽25 kg/m2)

No significant interaction between total vitamin A, retinol or β‐carotene and vitamin D intake (p for all interactions > 0.45) on fracture risk. No significant interactions between dietary intake of vitamin A and vitamin D plasma concentrations

BMD (g/cm 2 )

Baseline (median (IQR)):

0.86 (0.77–0.96)

At follow‐up:

Per 100 μg/day RE total vitamin A (β (95% CI):

Model 1:

0.53 (0.06–0.99)

BMI, kg/m2:

Q1: 25.6 (23.7–27.8)

Q2: 25.9 (23.8–28.1)

Q3: 25.9 (23.8–28.4)

Q4: 26.0 (24.2–28.5)

Q5: 26.4 (24.2–29.1)

Current smokers, %:

Q1: 25

Q2: 23

Q3: 22

Q4: 20

Q5: 25

Alcohol intake, g/day:

Q1: 3.5 (0.1–16.9)

Q2: 3.2 (0.2–14.4)

Q3: 3.1 (0.2–14.4)

Q4: 3.5 (0.2–14.8)

Q5: 3.9 (0.2–15.0)

Physical activity, h/day:

Q1: 5.8 (4.2–7.5)

Q2: 5.8 (4.1–7.8)

Q3: 5.9 (4.2–7.8)

Q4: 5.8 (4.3–7.9)

Q5: 5.9 (4.2–7.9)

Prevalent osteoporosis, %

Q1: 11

Q2: 10

Q3: 10

Q4: 10

Q5: 11

Current or past HRT use, %:

Q1: 13

Q2: 13

Q3: 13

Q4: 17

Q5: 12

Model 2:

0.46 (0.00–0.91)

Model 3:

0.14 (−0.28–0.56)

(model 3 n.s.)

Per 100 μg/day retinol:

Model 1:

0.31 (−0.23, 0.87)

Model 2:

0.45 (−0.09, 1.01)

Model 3:

0.13 (−0.40, 0.75)

(model 3 n.s.)

Significant interaction between dietary intake of vitamin D and total vitamin A (p for interaction = 0.016) in relation to BMD. However, stratified analysis for dietary vitamin D intake above or below the median did not show significant associations between total vitamin A and BMD. No significant interactions between dietary intake of vitamin A and vitamin D plasma concentrations

Toraishi et al. (2021)

Japan

PC

1 year

Funding: Public

N = 41

Population sampled: Collegiate distance runners

Exclusion criteria: NR

% lost to follow up: 0

n = 41

Sex: Males

Age, years: 19.4 ± 1.0

Other characteristics

BMI, kg/m2: 19.3 ± 1.2

Baseline vitamin D intake, μg/day: Overall: 9.6 ± 2.2

Baseline calcium intake, mg/day:

Overall: 515.1 ± 175.8

Stress‐fracture group: 684 ± 320

Non‐stress‐fracture group: 497 ± 150

Stress fractures at any site, i.e. due to repeated mechanical load:

Self‐reported

Mean intake of total vitamin A (food only), μg RAE/day

All subjects: 1441.3 ± 802.4

Stress‐fracture group: 2792 ± 1136

No stress‐fracture group: 1295 ± 619

Mean intake at follow‐up:

Stress‐fracture group: 3747 ± 309

No stress‐fracture group: 2943 ± 1204

Exposure assessment:

Semi‐quantitative FFQ

Conversion factors for carotenoids not reported

N = 4 (3 at tibia and one at metatarsus)

NR

In logistic regression: Calcium and iron intake

OR (95% CI) for stress fracture (at any site)

Per 100 μg RAE increase: 1.22 (0.99–1.50)

Threshold intake for stress fracture (from ROC): 3206 μg

Kaptoge et al. (2003)

EPIC‐Norfolk

UK

PC

3 years (mean; range 2–5 years)

Funding: Public

N = 30,411

Population sampled: Elderly males and females

Exclusion criteria: < 2 BMD scans, treatment with bone active medication, different side of the hip scanned at follow‐up, incomplete food diaries

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 944 (470 males, 474 females)

Sex: 50.2% female

Mean (5th, 95th percentile) age, years

Males: 72.0 (68.0, 77.4)

Females: 71.9 (67.9, 77.0)

Total hip BMD: DXA

Preformed vitamin A intake (food only), μg RE/day:

Mean (5th, 95th percentile)

Males: 358 (109, 3836)

Females: 289 (98, 3517)

Analyses are also reported by tertiles but intakes are not reported

T1: NR

T2: NR

T3: NR

NA

Continuous analyses

Model 1: Weight change, FEV, Stair climbing, Activities in daily living (ADL) score change, Past activity score

Categorical analyses

Estimated mean BMD loss (% per annum)

Males

Model 1: Rate of weight

change and FEV

Females

Model 1: Rate of weight

change, stair climbing, change

in ADL score and past activity

Continuous analyses on rate of total hip BMD percentage loss per annum

(β coefficient (SE))

Model 1

Vitamin A (/1000 μg):

Males: 0.029 (0.043) p = 0.508

Females: −0.024 (0.039) p = 0.539

Categorical analyses on total hip BMD percentage loss per annum

(mean rates)

Males

Model 1

T1: −0.11

T2: −0.14

T3: −0.21

p for trend = 0.773

Other characteristics Mean (5th, 95th percentile)

Males:

BMI, kg/m2: 27.0 (21.9, 32.3)

Past physical activity, z‐score: 0.31 (−1.18, 2.37)

Grip strength, kg: 39 (27, 52)

Weight loss, kg/year: −0.06 (−2.30, 2.10)

Ever fractured (% yes): 39

Vitamin D intake, μg/day: 3.4 (1.1,8.0)

Calcium intake, mg/day: 886 (505, 1364)

Carotene intake μg/day: 1871 (556, 4664)

Females:

BMI, kg/m2: 26.8 (21.0, 35.0)

Past physical activity, z‐score: −0.21(−1.77, 1.19)

Grip strength, kg: 24 (15, 32)

Weight loss, kg/year: −1.7 (−7.5, 3.5)

Ever fractured (% yes): 34

Vitamin D intake, μg/day: 2.5 (0.9,6.0)

Calcium intake, mg/day: 755 (399, 1188)

Carotene intake μg/day: 1658 (458, 3885)

The nutrient intakes for categorical analyses were adjusted for total energy intake by taking the residuals from regressing each nutrient on total energy

Exposure assessment

7‐day food diary with a 24‐h recall the first day. The food diary has been validated against biomarkers and 16‐day weighted food records.

Conversion factors for carotenoids not reported

Females

Model 1

T1: −0.42

T2: −0.49

T3: −0.33

p for trend = 0.517

Promislow et al. (2002)

The Rancho Bernardo Study

USA

PC

Mean ± SD follow‐up time: 4.1 (0.5) years

Funding: Public

N = 1526

Population sampled: Ambulatory community‐dwelling elderly

Exclusion criteria: NR

% lost to follow up: 37.2%

n = 958

females = 570

males = 388

Sex: 59.5% female

Age, years

Females: 71.3 ± 8.7

Males: 70 ± 8.5

Other characteristics Mean ± SD

Females

BMI, kg/m2: 24.6 ± 3.7

Total calcium intake, mg/day: 984 ± 573.8

Oestrogen users, %: 39.7

Vitamin D: NR

Males

BMI, kg/m2: 26.4 ± 3.4

Total calcium intake, mg/day: 797.2 ± 458.2

Vitamin D: NR

Total hip, femoral neck and lumbar spine BMD: DXA

Total hip

BMD was obtained by summing the bone mineral content at the femoral neck, intertrochanter, and greater trochanter and dividing by the composite area of the three sites. Spine

BMD was defined as the average BMD of lumbar vertebrae L1–L4. Instruments were calibrated daily and had measurement precisions of ≤ 1% for the spine and ≤ 1.5% for the

Hip

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements), μg RE/day

Mean (SD)

Females: 1247 (1573)

Males: 1242 (1442)

Preformed vitamin A (food only), μg RE/day

Mean (SD)

Females: 497 (460)

Males: 624 (585)

Supplement users, n

Females: 281

Males: 150

Supplement use defined as taking either a multivitamin or a retinol supplement

Exposure assessment

61‐item FFQ validated against four one‐week food records. Conversion factors for carotenoids not reported

NA

Model 1: Adjusted for age

Model 2: Adjusted for age, BMI, calcium intake (including supplements), diabetes status; years postmenopausal (females only), current exercise, and current use of cigarettes, alcohol, thiazides, thyroid hormones, steroids, supplemental retinol, and oestrogen, percent change in body weight

Change (%) in BMD per unit increase in energy‐adjusted log preformed vitamin A intake (retinol) (β (95% CI))

Total hip BMD

Females

Model 1

All: −0.05 (−0.016, 0.07), p = 0.43

Supplement users: −0.28 (−0.5, −0.06), p = 0.01

Non‐users: 0.10 (−0.12, 0.33), p = 0.36

Model 2

All: NR

Supplement users: −0.27 (−0.48, −0.04), p = 0.02

Non‐users: 0.13 (−0.09, 0.35), p = 0.25

Males

Model 1

All: −0.01 (−0.13 0.10), p = 0.84

Supplement users: −0.15 (−0.41, −0.10), p = 0.24

Non‐users: −0.06 (−0.24, 0.13), p = 0.55

Model 2

All: −0.08 (−0.23, 0.08), p = 0.32

Supplement users: −0.19 (−0.46, 0.08), p = 0.17

Non‐users: −0.04 (−0.23, 0.15), p = 0.68

Femoral neck BMD

Females

Model 1

All: −0.04 (−0.019, 0.10), p = 0.56

Supplement users: −0.21 (−0.44, −0.02), p = 0.07

Non‐users: 0.13 (−0.20, 0.46), p = 0.44

Model 2

All: NR

Supplement users: −0.23 (−0.46, 0.00), p = 0.05

Non‐users: 0.22 (−0.11, 0.56), p = 0.19

Males

Model 1

All: 0.01 (−0.13, 0.15), p = 0.87

Supplement users: −0.10 (−0.37, −0.17), p = 0.45

Non‐users: 0.01 (−0.24, 0.26), p = 0.95

Model 2

All: 0.06 (−0.14,0.25), p = 0.57

Supplement users: −0.15 (−0.42, 0.12), p = 0.28

Non‐users: 0.16 (−0.12, 0.44), p = 0.25

Total spine

Females

Model 1

All: −0.03 (−0.13, 0.07), p = 0.50

Supplement users: −0.10 (−0.29, 0.08), p = 0.27

Non‐users: 0.04 (−0.15, 0.23), p = 0.67

Model 2

All: NR

Supplement users: −0.10 (−0.28, 0.09), p = 0.30

Non‐users: 0.01 (−0.17, 0.20), p = 0.89

Males

Model 1

All: 0.00 (−0.12, 0.12), p = 0.97

Supplement users: −0.05 (−0.28, 0.17), p = 0.64

Non‐users: −0.06 (−0.27, 0.14), p = 0.95

Model 2

All: 0.01 (−0.15,0.16), p = 0.92

Supplement users: 0.00 (−0.24, 0.24), p = 0.98

Non‐users: 0.02 (−0.19, 0.23), p = 0.87

‘Regression models showed an analogous inverse U‐shaped association of retinol intake with percent bone change, suggesting that those with low or high retinol intakes suffered greater bone loss, although statistical evidence for this pattern was weak in men’

Macdonald et al. (2004)

Aberdeen Prospective Osteoporosis Screening Study

UK

Up to 7 years

PC

Funding: Public

N = 5119

Population sampled: Premenopausal women

Exclusion criteria: Chronic medication use, conditions likely to affect bone metabolism, bisphosphonate therapy, wheelchair use, outlying dietary calcium intake

% lost to follow up: 17.3

n = 891

Sex: Females

Age, years

57.5 ± 1.5

Other characteristics

BMI, kg/m2: 24.6 ± 4.0

BMD, g/cm2

Lumbar spine: 1.064 ± 0.16

Femoral neck:

0.886 ± 0.13

Total calcium intake, mg/day

1070 ± 334

Total protein intake, g/day

81.4 ± 22.5

Total vitamin D intake, μg/day

4.5 ± 3.1

Liver enzymes: NR

Femoral neck and lumbar spine BMD: DXA

Preformed vitamin A intake (food only), μg RE/day:

Mean ± SD: 820 ± 602

Median (range): 588 (39–4354)

Preformed vitamin A intake (food and supplements), μg RE/day:

Mean ± SD: 924 ± 666

Median (range): 702 (85–4354)

Total vitamin A intake NR

Exposure assessment

98‐item semi‐quantitative FFQ validated against weighted food records. Results reported using 6:1 conversion

NA

Model 1: Unadjusted

Model 2: Adjusted for age, weight, annual percentage change in weight, height, smoking status, socioeconomic status, physical activity level, baseline BMD at appropriate site, menopausal status and hormonal replacement therapy use

Multivariable regression model for dietary retinol and vitamin A and femoral neck BMD:

Baseline femoral neck BMD, age, annual percentage weight change, height, hormone replacement therapy use, menopausal status

Multivariable regression model for lumbar spine BMD:

Vitamin A was not part of this model. It included weight, age, hormone replacement therapy use, menopausal status and alcohol intake.

Pearson's correlation analyses

Energy‐adjusted vitamin A and change in femoral neck BMD

Model 1:

Preformed vitamin A (food only): r = −0.072, p < 0.05

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.071, p < 0.05

Total vitamin A (food only): r = −0.090, p < 0.01

Total vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.004, p = NS (value NR)

Model 2

Preformed vitamin A (food only): r = −0.067, p < 0.05

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.032, p = NS (value NR)

Total vitamin A (food only): r = −0.090, p < 0.01

Total vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.012, p = NS (value NR)

Energy‐adjusted vitamin A and change in lumbar spine BMD

Model 1:

Preformed vitamin A (food only): r = −0.021, p = NS (value NR)

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.019, p = NS (value NR)

Total vitamin A (food only): r = −0.041, p = NS (value NR)

Total vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.029, p = NS (value NR)

Model 2

Preformed vitamin A (food only): r = −0.036, p = NS (value NR)

Preformed vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.004, p = NS (value NR)

Total vitamin A (food only): r = −0.061, p < 0.08

Total vitamin A (food and supplements): r = −0.032, p = NS (value NR)

Multivariable regression model

Femoral neck BMD, β coefficient (95% CI) ‐ Standardised to 8 MJ energy intake

Preformed vitamin A (food only) (mg × 10−4): −1.73 (−3.20, −0.30), p = 0.018

Total vitamin A (food only) (mg × 10−4): −1.24 (−2.47, 0.17), p = 0.047

Including the nutrient intake from dietary supplements, the relation between retinol and vitamin A and FN BMD change was no longer significant

Lumbar spine BMD

Of dietary factors, only alcohol intake was significantly associated with lumbar spine BMD: 0.0893 (0.034, 0.145) p = 0.002

Chan et al. (2011)

China

PC

4 years

Funding: Public

N = 4000

Population sampled: Elderly (≥ 65 years) living in the community

Exclusion criteria: Detectable disease or medication known to affect bone mass; incomplete dietary data; extreme energy intake

Total hip and femoral neck BMD: measured by DEXA

Total Vitamin A intake (food only) at baseline, μg RE/day

Median (IQR)

Males: 940 (667–1315)

Females: 939 (676–1277)

NA

Nutrient intakes were adjusted for dietary energy intake by the residual method

Model 1:

Adjusted for age, baseline weight, baseline height, % change in body weight, education, current drinker, current smoker, use of calcium supplements, physical activity, total energy intake

Change (%) in BMD over the 4‐year follow‐up per IU/day vitamin A increase (β)

Males

Total Hip:

Univariate: −0.653, p = 0.116

Model 1: −0.433, p = 0.259

Model 2: 0.035, p = 0.932

Femoral neck:

Univariate: −0.316, p = 0.618

Model 1: 0.068%, p = 0.914

Lost to follow up: 25%

n = 2217

Sex: 45% female

Age, years:

Male: 71.6 ± 4.6 Female: 72.0 ± 5.1

Other characteristics

BMI, kg/m2:

Male: 23.5 ± 3.1

Female: 24.0 ± 3.5

Height, cm:

Male: 163.2 ± 5.6

Female: 151.2 ± 5.3

Physical activity score, PASE:

Male: 101.7 ± 51.3

Female: 87.6 ± 33.9

Baseline BMD, g/cm2:

Hip:

Males: 0.875 ± 0.122

Females: 0.725 ± 0.114

Femoral neck:

Males: 0.696 ± 0.106

Females: 0.594 ± 0.098

Current smoker, %

Males: 11.9

Females: 1.8

Current drinker, %

Males: 25.2

Females: 2.9

Vitamin D intake (IU/day), median (IQR):

Male: 8.2 (2.9–16.6) [0.2 (0.07–0.42 μg]

Female: 7.2 (3.1–15.0) [0.2 (0.08–0.38) μg]

Calcium intake (mg/day)

Male: 638.8 ± 294.4

Female: 571.8 ± 260.0

Exposure assessment: Semi‐quantitative FFQ including 13 food groups at baseline, validated with basal metabolic rate calculation and 24‐h sodium/creatinine and potassium/creatinine

Conversion factors for carotenoids not reported

Model 2:

As model 1 + energy‐adjusted calcium and vitamin D intake

Model 2: 0.742%, p = 0.274

Females

No associations (data not shown)

Houtkooper et al. (1995)

USA

PC

12–18 months

Funding: Mixed

N = 66

Population sampled: Pre‐menopausal women who participated in a RCT on resistance exercise training (and were taking 500 mg of calcium supplements per day). 27 participated in resistance training, rest were sedentary

Exclusion criteria: Pregnancy, lactation, < 10 normal menses in previous year, contraceptive use, medication affecting bone metabolism for two years prior to study, smoking > 10 cigarettes per day, regular exercise > 6 months during the 5 years preceding enrolment, weight fluctuations > 3 kg the previous year excluding pregnancy, had intentions of changing weight status by this magnitude within the next year, BMI < 5th or >95th percentile (NHANES 1976–80), history of anorexia, bulimia, cancer, diabetes, thyroid disease or myocardial infarction

% lost to follow up: 15.2% for 18 month visit

n = 66 at 12 months, 56 at 18 months

Total body, lumbar spine, femoral neck, trochanter and Ward's triangle BMD: DXA at four timepoints: Baseline and at 5, 12 and 18 months

Preformed vitamin A intake (food only), μg RE/day

Mean ± SD

1220 ± 472

Exposure assessment: Repeated 4‐day records before 5–12‐ and 18‐months testing periods

NA

Total body BMD:

Adjusted for exercise group in original study, baseline fat mass, fat mass annual rate of change and baseline total body BMD

Total body BMD annual rate of change (β, no CI reported)

0.007, p = 0.002

Vitamin A was only included in the model assessing total BMD.

Vitamin A was not a significant variables in regression models predicting bone mineral density slopes (rates of change) at any femur site or at the lumbar spine

Sex: Females

Age, years: 34.4 ± 2.7

Other characteristics:

Height, cm: 165.4 ± 6.4

Weight, kg: 59.9 ± 9.8

BMD, g/cm 3

Total body: 1.15 ± 0.08

Lumbar spine: 1.22 ± 0.13

Femoral neck: 0.96 ± 0.13

Trochanter: 0.76 ± 0.10

Ward's triangle: 0.89 ± 0.15

Total calcium intake (diet + supplement), mg/day: 1326 ± 232

Vitamin D: NR

Sugiura et al. (2016)

Mikkabi Cohort Study

Japan

PC

4 years

Funding: Public

N = 457

Population sampled: post‐menopausal women with T‐scores > 70% at baseline

Exclusion criteria: those with T‐scores < 70%

% lost to follow up: NR

n = 187

Sex: females

Age, years: 59–61 (mean range across tertiles)

Other characteristics:

BMD (g/cm2)

Mean (SD)

T1: 0.568 (0.068)

T2: 0.586 (0.077)

T3: 0.562 (0.075)

T‐score (%)

Mean (SD)

T1: 88.0 (10.5)

T2: 90.8 (11.9)

T3: 87.0 11.6)

Osteroporosis was defined as T‐score less than 70%.

Radial BMD at baseline and follow‐up survey using DXA

Tertiles of preformed vitamin A intake (from food only), μg RE/day

Means (Range)

T1(ref): 138 (29–199)

T2: 265 (200–349)

T3: 538 (351–2320)

n per tertile

T1: 62

T2: 62

T3: 63

Exposure assessment: Semi‐quantitative FFQ at baseline

Cases of osteoporosis

n, (%)

T1: 6 (9.7)

T2: 3 (4.8)

T3: 8 (12.7)

Model 1: Age, weight, height, years since menopause, current tobacco use, regular alcohol intake, exercise habits, supplement use, and total energy intake

Model 2: Model 1 + intakes of calcium, magnesium, potassium, and vitamin D

OR (95% CI) for osteoporosis per tertile of preformed vitamin A

Model 1:

T1(ref): 1

T2: 0.57 (0.12, 2.78)

T3: 1.49 (0.36, 6.22)

Model 2:

T1(ref): 1

T2: 0.34 (0.06, 1.84)

T3: 0.91 (0.19, 4.29)

Abbreviations: ADL, activities in daily living; BMD, bone mineral density; BMI, Body mass index; CC, case‐cohort; DXA, dual X‐ray absorptiometry; FEV, forced expiratory volume; FFQ, food frequency questionnaire; HRT, hormone replacement therapy; IU, international units; NA, not available; NR, Not reported; NCC, nested case–control; PC, prospective cohort; RAE, retinol activity equivalents; RE, retinol equivalents.

Note: Unless otherwise reported, values are mean ± SD. Preformed vitamin A refers to retinol intake, total vitamin A refers to retinol and β‐carotene intakes.

a

n = 2032 in the full cohort for which baseline covariates are presented, n = 1221 for dietary records.

b

As per study author likely to be preformed vitamin A.