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. 2024 Feb 28;116(6):795–799. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djae050

Table 1.

Sample size and positive predictive value lower bound based on ovarian cancer as the rarest cancer considered in a validation-only prediagnostic performance study with 1-year follow-up

Standard sample size trade-off targets
Targeted quantity Scenario 0 Scenario 1 Scenario 2
TPRTAR 0.80 0.50 0.80
TPRLOW 0.70 0.20 0.50
FPRTAR 0.01 0.0000 0.0000
FPRUPP 0.03 0.0005 0.0005
PPVLOW(j) for ovarian cancer 0.003 0.05 0.11
No. of cases 70 12 12
No. of test-positive cases 59 7 10
No. of controls 300 7500 7500
No. of test-positive controls 3 0 0
Sample size 720 000 163 000 163 000

FPR = false-positive rate; PPV = positive predictive value; TPR = true-positive rate.