Table A.1.
Odds ratios (ORs) demonstrating association between model variables and outcomes of 30-day mortality and non-home discharge
| Outcome: Mortality OR (95% CI) |
Outcome: Non-home Discharge OR (95% CI) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Model | Base Model + RAI | Base Model + mFI-5 | Base Model | Base Model + RAI | Base Model + mFI-5 | |
| Age 50–64 | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Age 65–74 | 1.39 (1.13, 1.70) | 1.43 (1.16, 1.77) | 1.38 (1.12, 1.70) | 1.79 (1.31, 2.45) | 1.79 (1.30, 2.48) | 1.76 (1.29, 2.42) |
| Age 75–84 | 1.94 (1.56, 2.42) | 2.05 (1.63, 2.58) | 1.93 (1.54, 2.41) | 2.22 (1.56, 3.15) | 2.21 (1.54, 3.18) | 2.19 (1.54, 3.12) |
| Age 85+ | 2.82 (2.13, 3.75) | 2.97 (2.21, 4.00) | 2.79 (2.11, 3.71) | 5.44 (3.29, 9.17) | 5.09 (3.02, 8.73) | 5.27 (3.18, 8.90) |
| Female | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Male | 0.90 (0.76, 1.06) | 0.93 (0.78, 1.11) | 0.90 (0.76, 1.06) | 0.66 (0.50, 0.86) | 0.62 (0.47, 0.82) | 0.66 (0.51, 0.86) |
| No sepsis/SIRS or septic shock | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Sepsis/SIRS | 1.26 (1.00, 1.59) | 1.21 (0.96, 1.54) | 1.24 (0.99, 1.57) | 2.89 (1.87, 4.52) | 2.69 (1.73, 4.23) | 2.82 (1.82, 4.42) |
| Septic Shock | 2.90 (2.01, 4.26) | 2.80 (1.93, 4.12) | 2.88 (2.00, 4.23) | 4.22 (1.74, 11.46) | 3.53 (1.44, 9.65) | 4.06 (1.66, 11.06) |
| ASA 1 or 2 | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| ASA 3 | 1.96 (1.46, 2.64) | 1.93 (1.44, 2.61) | 1.92 (1.43, 2.60) | 2.45 (1.65, 3.70) | 2.34 (1.58, 3.54) | 2.21 (1.48, 3.36) |
| ASA 4 | 3.40 (2.51, 4.65) | 3.27 (2.39, 4.48) | 3.28 (2.39, 4.53) | 3.68 (2.38, 5.77) | 3.07 (1.96, 4.89) | 3.04 (1.92, 4.87) |
| ASA 5 | 11.42 (7.26, 18.30) | 11.38 (7.23, 18.26) | 11.22 (7.12, 18.01) | 1.61 (0.65, 3.97) | 1.56 (0.63, 3.86) | 1.50 (0.61, 3.70) |
| Elective or Urgent Surgery | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref | Ref |
| Emergent Surgery | 2.28 (1.83, 2.85) | 2.36 (1.89, 2.95) | 2.32 (1.86, 2.90) | 1.85 (1.19, 2.86) | 1.96 (1.26, 3.06) | 1.91 (1.23, 2.97) |
| RAI | - | 1.04 (0.87, 1.24) | - | - | 1.45 (1.08, 1.95) | - |
| (90th percentile vs. 10th) | ||||||
| mFI-5 (90th percentile vs. 10th) | - | - | 1.09 (0.90, 1.31) | - | - | 1.55 (1.13, 2.13) |
Abbreviations: RAI = Risk Analysis Index; mFI-5 = 5-factor Modified Frailty Index; ASA = American Society of Anesthesiologists; SIRS = systemic inflammatory response syndrome.