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. 2024 Jun 18;15:5225. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-48966-y

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© The Author(s) 2024

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 4 — Changes in frequency (a), duration (b), and intensity (c) of extreme long-duration and low-reliability events for 42 major countries between 1980–2000 and 2001–2022. Red digits represent the proportion of countries that fall in the quadrant. Dashed red lines with shallow red shading are linear fittings between the two types of events and their 95% confidence intervals. SAU, MOZ and VEN denote Saudi Arabia, Mozambique, and Venezuela, respectively. Source data are provided as a Source Data file.