Table 3.
Multilevel Logistic Regression Models Predicting College Enrollment Within Three Years of High School Graduation
| Any College | 4-Year College | 2-Year College | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 1 | Model 2 | |
| Student Background | ||||||
| Ever-EL Status | 0.914*** | 1.119*** | 0.622*** | 0.832*** | 1.284*** | 1.215*** |
| (0.009) | (0.013) | (0.007) | (0.012) | (0.012) | (0.013) | |
| Female | 1.326*** | 1.156*** | 1.161*** | |||
| (0.010) | (0.011) | (0.008) | ||||
| Hispanic | 1.135*** | 0.853*** | 1.194*** | |||
| (0.014) | (0.013) | (0.013) | ||||
| Black | 1.540*** | 2.065*** | 0.933*** | |||
| (0.022) | (0.036) | (0.013) | ||||
| Asian | 1.791*** | 1.650*** | 0.856*** | |||
| (0.056) | (0.045) | (0.021) | ||||
| Other Race | 0.746** | 0.684** | 0.963 | |||
| (0.052) | (0.063) | (0.064) | ||||
| Ever Eligible for Free Lunch | 0.635*** | 0.703*** | 0.882*** | |||
| (0.006) | (0.008) | (0.008) | ||||
| Academic Experiences | ||||||
| Ever in Special Education | 0.736*** | 0.695*** | 0.821*** | |||
| (0.007) | (0.010) | (0.008) | ||||
| Ever Repeated a Grade | 0.591*** | 0.433*** | 0.743*** | |||
| (0.006) | (0.008) | (0.008) | ||||
| % Days Absent in 9th Grade | 0.153*** | 0.012*** | 0.441*** | |||
| (0.015) | (0.002) | (0.039) | ||||
| # of High Schools Attended | 0.846*** | 0.806*** | 0.937*** | |||
| (0.007) | (0.011) | (0.008) | ||||
| # of Courses Failed | 0.856*** | 0.722*** | 0.929*** | |||
| (0.003) | (0.005) | (0.003) | ||||
| # of Courses Higher than Algebra II | 1.535*** | 1.991*** | 0.812*** | |||
| (0.011) | (0.015) | (0.005) | ||||
| # of Dual Enrollment Courses | 1.214*** | 1.116*** | 1.009*** | |||
| (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.002) | ||||
| 9th Grade TAKS Test Scores | ||||||
| Math Z-score | 1.040*** | 1.468*** | 0.805*** | |||
| (0.006) | (0.010) | (0.004) | ||||
| Reading Z-score | 1.087*** | 1.188*** | 0.975*** | |||
| (0.005) | (0.007) | (0.004) | ||||
| School Context | ||||||
| % of EL Students | 0.386** | 0.302* | 1.059 | |||
| (0.085) | (0.108) | (0.185) | ||||
| % of White Students | 1.403*** | 1.366 | 1.400*** | |||
| (0.096) | (0.144) | (0.071) | ||||
| % of Students in Special Education | 0.075*** | 0.035*** | 0.405** | |||
| (0.019) | (0.016) | (0.085) | ||||
| % of Students in Advanced Courses | 6.806*** | 9.472*** | 1.512*** | |||
| (0.605) | (1.165) | (0.103) | ||||
| Charter Status | 0.567*** | 0.305*** | 0.757*** | |||
| (0.036) | (0.031) | (0.037) | ||||
| Distance to 4-Year College | 1.016 | 1.016 | 1.022 | |||
| (0.016) | (0.024) | (0.011) | ||||
| % of Teachers with 5 or Fewer Years Experience | 0.827 | 1.440 | 0.894 | |||
| (0.074) | (0.186) | (0.066) | ||||
| Model Statistics | ||||||
| Constant | 1.568*** | 2.935*** | 1.240*** | |||
| Log Likelihood | −213136.56 | −163144.85 | −244451.86 | |||
| Intraclass Correlation | 0.144 | 0.229 | 0.063 | |||
N = 377,733
Note. Student background and academic characteristics group-mean centered.
Table presents odds ratios (exponentiated coefficients) with standard errors in parentheses.
*
p<0.01
**
p<0.001
***
p<0.0001