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. 2024 Jun 5;36:100804. doi: 10.1016/j.lana.2024.100804

Table 5.

Trend analysis of TB and DR-TB cases and diagnostic methods over time.

Subgroup Mann–Kendall test for trend tau value Sen's slope estimates p-value
Total TB cases
 Historical 0.515 965 [167–1929] 0.024
 Historical + Forecasted 0.608 807 [535–1061] 0.0004
DR-TB cases
 Historical 0.758 147 [48–227] 0.0007
 Historical + Forecasted 0.830 103 [55–125] <0.0001
DS-TB cases
 Historical 0.909 3598 [2703–4376] <0.0001
 Historical + Forecasted 0.922 2697 [2139–3126] <0.0001
Phenotypic DS testing
 Historical 0.848 1236 [715–1753] 0.0001
 Historical + Forecasted 0.935 1127 [873–1155] <0.0001
MTB culture testing
 Historical 0.758 1126 [577–1517] 0.0008
 Historical + Forecasted 0.765 759 [584–918] <0.0001
Smear microscopy testing
 Historical −0.515 −771 [(−1520) to (−142)] 0.024
 Historical + Forecasted −0.621 −537 [(−654) to (−308)] 0.0003

This table presents the results of the Mann–Kendall test for trend analysis across different categories of Tuberculosis (TB) cases and associated diagnostic methods. Sen's Slope Estimates provide the estimated yearly change, with the range in square brackets indicating the 95% confidence interval. Statistical significance was indicated by a p-value lower than 0.05 and depicted in bold. Abbreviations: TB, Tuberculosis; DR-TB, Drug-resistant TB; DS-TB, Drug-susceptible; DS, Drug-sensitivity; MTB, Mycobacterium tuberculosis.