Skip to main content
. 2023 Nov 1;165(5):1139–1148. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2023.10.036

Table 2.

Validation Studies Model Performance Characteristics

Characteristic UMass Cohort 1 UMass Cohort 2 WakeMed Cohort COVID-19 Cohort Telemedicine System Alerts
UMass Cohort 1 UMass Cohort 2
CLEW hemodynamic instability model
 Patientsa 6,098 6,116 3,191 513 6,098 6,616
 F scoreb 0.20 0.21 0.33 0.36 0.032 0.032
 TPR (sensitivity) 0.72 0.72 0.61 0.79 0.67 0.69
 TNR (specificity) 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.88 0.53 0.53
 PPV (precision) 0.12 0.12 0.22 0.23 0.016 0.016
 NPV 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99
 Accuracy 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.87 0.53 0.53
 Misclassification rate 0.065 0.062 0.068 0.13 0.47 0.47
 TP 478 462 492 426 443 441
 FP 3,538 3,337 1,714 1,421 26,770 26,776
 TN 53,206 53,082 27,545 10,005 29,974 29,643
 FN 186 180 320 111 221 201
 No. of events 664 642 812 537 664 642
 No. of alert windows 4,016 3,799 2,206 1,847 27,213 27,212
 Mean total alerts per patient per dayc 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.46 12 11
Median lead time (IQR), min 240 (170-342) 220 (160-340) 180 (72-290) 180 (72-290) 200 (78-340) 180 (72-330)
CLEW respiratory failure model
 Patientsa 6,098 6,116 3,191 513 6,098 6,116
 F scoreb 0.143 0.132 0.111 0.213 0.020 0.019
 TPR (sensitivity) 0.75 0.70 0.58 0.59 0.49 0.47
 TNR (specificity) 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.90 0.70 0.69
 PPV (precision) 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.13 0.01 0.01
 NPV 0.99 0.99 0.92 0.81 0.99 0.99
 Accuracyd 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.89 0.70 0.69
 Misclassification rate 0.057 0.061 0.088 0.11 0.30 0.31
 TP 199 200 124 83 130 132
 FP 2,325 2,535 1,900 558 12,401 13,132
 TN 39,172 40,011 20,485 4,786 29,069 29,414
 FN 65 84 90 57 134 152
 No. of events 264 284 214 140 264 284
 No. of alert windows 2,524 2,735 2,024 641 12,531 13,264
 Mean total alerts per patient per dayc 0.18 0.19 0.27 0.35 11 11
 Median lead time (IQR), h 240 (160-350) 210 (150-320) 260 (180-370) 250 (170-360) 170 (54-340) 190 (78-350)

FN = false negative; FP = false positive; IQR = interquartile range; NPV = negative predictive value; PPV = positive predictive value; TN = true negative; TNR = true negative rate; TP = true positive; TPR = true positive rate.

a

Number of ICU visits that contributed data to one or both models.

b

Harmonic mean of precision and recall with a range of 0 to 1. TPR can also be termed model recall, and PPV (true positives/[true positives + false negatives]) can also be termed model precision.

c

Each 8-h alert window has one or more alerts.

d

Accuracy is defined as (true positives + true negatives)/(all positives + all negatives).