Table 2.

Summary of studies of the macroeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS in Africa

Study	Countries (period of economic data)	Period of most recently used HIV/AIDS data	Results (comparison with non-HIV/AIDS scenario)
Dixon et al (2001)5	41 countries (1960-98)	Late '90s	Growth rates reduced by 2-4%; large variation across countries, in line with prevalence of HIV
World Bank (2001)10	Swaziland	Early '90s	Average rate of growth of GDP in 1991-2015 will be 1.5% lower a year
World Bank (2001)11	Namibia	Early '90s	Average rate of growth of GDP in 1991-2015 will be 1.1% lower a year
World Bank (2000)12	Lesotho	Late '80s	Average rate of growth of GDP in 1986-2015 will be 0.8% lower a year
Bonnel (2000)13	About 50 countries (1990-7)	Mid-'90s	Rate of growth of GDP per capita reduced by 0.7% a year in the 1990s
Quattek et al (2000)14	South Africa	Mid-'90s	Average rate of GDP growth over next 15 years will be 0.3-0.4% lower a year
BIDPA (2000)15	Botswana	Late '90s	Average rate of growth of GDP in 2000-2010 reduced by 1.5% a year
Bloom et al (1995)16	51 countries (1980-92)	Early '90s	Insignificant effect on income growth
Cuddington et al (1994)17	Malawi	Early '90s	Average rate of growth of GDP in 1985-2010 reduced by up to 0.3%
Cuddington (1993)18 19	Tanzania	Early '90s	Per capita GDP in 1985-2010 up to 10% smaller
Over (1992)20	30 sub-Saharan countries	Early '90s	Rate of growth of GDP per capita in 1990-2025 reduced by 0.15% (0.6% in 10 worst affected countries)