Table 2.
location | 1990 | 2019 | 2030 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | No.(95%UI) | |
Age-standardized DALY rate (per 100000) | ASDR | ASIR | Age-standardized DALY rate (per 100000) | ASDR | ASIR | Age-standardized DALY rate (per 100000) | ASDR | ASIR | |
Global | 524.87 (501.78, 551.15) | 17.76 (16.93, 18.51) | 40.12 (38.78, 41.33) | 473.83 (437.30, 510.51) | 15.88 (14.66, 17.07) | 45.86 (41.91, 49.76) | 474.28 (405.49, 545.70) | 15.62 (13.63, 17.89) | 48.09 (38.55, 57.89) |
Sociodemographic index | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
High SDI | 703.06 (680.17, 726.62) | 23.87 (22.83, 24.39) | 79.30 (77.00, 80.87) | 487.45 (459.76, 518.84) | 16.71 (15.56, 17.45) | 79.22 (70.83, 87.70) | 459.04 (420.84, 507.02) | 15.64 (14.32, 16.73) | 75.48 (49.86, 104.53) |
High-middle SDI | 534.27 (513.62, 557.28) | 17.66 (16.98, 18.33) | 38.52 (37.22, 39.86) | 434.96 (400.69, 473.31) | 14.93 (13.75, 16.19) | 48.93 (43.84, 54.49) | 410.57 (340.24, 493.65) | 13.87 (11.92, 16.61) | 51.87 (38.72, 65.71) |
Low SDI | 437.94 (363.58, 513.68) | 14.42 (11.76, 17.37) | 17.43 (14.22, 20.52) | 544.03 (475.61, 621.56) | 18.34 (15.98, 20.84) | 25.67 (22.54, 29.10) | 601.03 (511.11, 714.33) | 20.50 (17.19, 24.11) | 30.70 (26.38, 35.69) |
Low-middle SDI | 436.47 (381.96, 493.02) | 13.97 (11.93, 15.79) | 18.80 (16.33, 21.13) | 523.52 (452.09, 597.21) | 16.86 (14.59, 19.24) | 29.47 (25.91, 33.20) | 551.28 (443.94, 667.19) | 17.88 (14.28, 21.88) | 35.14 (29.57, 41.00) |
Middle SDI | 399.52 (372.02, 433.14) | 12.67 (11.79, 13.68) | 20.81 (19.25, 22.45) | 422.91 (378.62, 468.87) | 13.66 (12.30, 15.18) | 35.52 (31.47, 39.81) | 430.58 (333.72, 524.17) | 13.85 (11.28, 17.08) | 43.43 (34.03, 53.08) |
Regions | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Andean Latin America | 385.28 (345.28, 431.27) | 12.73 (11.44, 14.21) | 19.22 (17.23, 21.54) | 370.35 (300.19, 459.51) | 12.67 (10.44, 15.51) | 29.63 (24.05, 36.45) | 380.78 (257.43, 572.58) | 12.89 (8.96, 18.61) | 34.74 (24.12, 49.26) |
Australasia | 794.40 (763.72, 825.24) | 26.46 (25.26, 27.30) | 85.02 (81.28, 88.27) | 509.03 (471.05, 552.78) | 17.47 (16.11, 18.69) | 84.69 (68.25, 104.99) | 483.85 (426.36, 555.92) | 16.96 (15.43, 19.04) | 80.80 (29.87, 148.11) |
Caribbean | 596.80 (559.99, 637.90) | 20.02 (18.88, 21.15) | 43.15 (41.14, 45.36) | 623.62 (515.19, 740.86) | 20.84 (17.62, 24.40) | 55.37 (46.63, 65.11) | 582.17 (376.55, 783.35) | 19.54 (12.94, 26.57) | 55.18 (33.13, 80.27) |
Central Asia | 612.61 (589.89, 635.80) | 18.88 (18.18, 19.56) | 35.40 (34.09, 36.86) | 523.88 (464.12, 588.67) | 17.29 (15.53, 19.16) | 38.36 (34.23, 42.80) | 463.23 (282.63, 664.27) | 14.84 (9.88, 20.28) | 38.77 (26.40, 52.28) |
Central Europe | 646.94 (628.68, 664.47) | 21.78 (21.10, 22.35) | 46.42 (45.08, 47.66) | 552.66 (476.95, 638.66) | 19.87 (17.25, 22.71) | 60.22 (52.04, 69.57) | 487.22 (231.01, 792.66) | 17.44 (9.69, 27.33) | 57.56 (29.65, 90.60) |
Central Latin America | 372.32 (362.37, 382.23) | 12.38 (11.91, 12.71) | 24.06 (23.29, 24.71) | 390.08 (330.64, 460.41) | 12.87 (11.05, 15.09) | 38.45 (32.30, 45.64) | 364.46 (174.58, 603.59) | 12.07 (6.78, 19.65) | 40.57 (20.50, 65.47) |
East Asia | 295.76 (247.21, 349.22) | 9.20 (7.68, 10.78) | 17.23 (14.27, 20.37) | 282.15 (230.81, 341.19) | 9.12 (7.36, 11.13) | 35.69 (28.32, 44.54) | 316.48 (215.54, 439.36) | 10.10 (6.57, 14.39) | 48.17 (32.03, 68.66) |
Eastern Europe | 580.67 (563.76, 603.07) | 17.93 (17.43, 18.54) | 39.69 (38.55, 41.28) | 529.13 (456.07, 618.57) | 17.47 (15.05, 20.36) | 51.89 (44.14, 61.31) | 472.30 (203.32, 803.53) | 15.73 (6.91, 26.81) | 49.90 (20.02, 87.18) |
Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa | 447.71 (369.21, 527.69) | 15.18 (12.37, 17.91) | 17.94 (14.68, 21.14) | 501.54 (427.72, 580.64) | 18.15 (15.65, 20.60) | 24.04 (20.78, 27.49) | 561.24 (465.82, 668.23) | 20.66 (17.22, 23.79) | 29.61 (25.46, 34.84) |
High-income Asia Pacific | 295.10 (284.83, 306.71) | 8.71 (8.34, 8.92) | 32.74 (30.94, 34.62) | 321.94 (300.10, 349.17) | 9.78 (8.91, 10.41) | 56.30 (47.14, 67.18) | 276.04 (251.16, 323.32) | 8.25 (7.33, 9.34) | 49.23 (21.40, 86.21) |
High-income North America | 838.52 (809.43, 872.63) | 27.54 (26.42, 28.19) | 114.22 (110.57, 116.81) | 533.82 (502.49, 569.80) | 18.36 (17.28, 19.19) | 93.75 (78.03, 112.64) | 519.72 (472.47, 579.28) | 18.12 (16.85, 19.52) | 91.56 (32.89, 166.96) |
North Africa and Middle East | 395.45 (357.63, 458.53) | 12.28 (11.03, 14.23) | 19.64 (17.76, 22.61) | 472.73 (409.00, 544.75) | 15.22 (13.31, 17.35) | 37.48 (32.68, 42.94) | 473.38 (379.73, 600.10) | 15.28 (12.41, 18.99) | 45.05 (36.12, 55.97) |
Oceania | 1086.68 (862.15, 1349.77) | 32.82 (26.12, 40.10) | 45.27 (36.44, 55.41) | 1416.87 (1084.79, 1808.02) | 42.80 (33.19, 54.23) | 65.58 (50.44, 83.58) | 1677.81 (1260.74, 2157.31) | 50.27 (37.55, 63.91) | 81.78 (60.56, 107.00) |
South Asia | 406.15 (333.57, 466.21) | 13.41 (10.60, 15.75) | 17.05 (13.65, 19.79) | 520.59 (426.84, 620.44) | 16.83 (13.91, 20.00) | 27.72 (22.91, 33.00) | 545.98 (373.33, 747.51) | 17.95 (12.63, 24.42) | 33.01 (23.62, 44.17) |
Southeast Asia | 623.50 (559.91, 714.09) | 18.83 (17.11, 21.29) | 27.34 (24.58, 30.96) | 621.22 (534.07, 719.10) | 19.23 (16.62, 22.01) | 38.52 (33.11, 44.64) | 587.98 (447.36, 736.30) | 18.66 (14.16, 22.99) | 43.10 (32.64, 55.07) |
Southern Latin America | 794.89 (769.75, 820.70) | 28.63 (27.55, 29.61) | 47.99 (46.09, 50.01) | 643.67 (602.30, 691.61) | 24.04 (22.41, 25.61) | 56.51 (43.78, 71.94) | 625.30 (542.90, 739.69) | 22.97 (20.87, 25.96) | 60.46 (15.89, 116.74) |
Tropical Latin America | 521.91 (503.70, 540.25) | 17.74 (16.93, 18.39) | 31.73 (30.41, 32.83) | 451.18 (424.36, 479.09) | 15.19 (14.15, 16.11) | 39.75 (37.24, 42.24) | 356.58 (298.57, 425.38) | 12.18 (10.52, 14.29) | 36.18 (30.71, 42.29) |
Western Europe | 827.52 (801.86, 852.63) | 28.37 (27.19, 28.98) | 81.08 (78.79, 82.91) | 552.56 (519.78, 591.68) | 19.79 (18.32, 20.77) | 85.85 (74.12, 98.85) | 523.18 (480.48, 591.35) | 18.67 (17.16, 20.05) | 82.49 (45.62, 126.93) |