Table 5.
Mann–Kendall and Sen’s Slope values for trend evaluation under three different future scenarios at each time scale.
| Scenarios | Time Scales | z-value | Slope | p-value | Significance | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSP1-2.6 | 1 | 0.109 | 0.000 | 0.913 | p > 0.10 | Increasing |
| 3 | − 0.105 | 0.000 | 0.917 | p > 0.10 | Decreasing | |
| 6 | − 1.392 | − 0.001 | 0.164 | p > 0.10 | Decreasing | |
| 9 | − 2.332 | − 0.003 | 0.020 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 12 | − 2.304 | − 0.003 | 0.021 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 24 | − 2.827 | − 0.004 | 0.005 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 48 | − 6.008 | − 0.009 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| SSP2-4.5 | 1 | 0.169 | 0.000 | 0.866 | p > 0.10 | Increasing |
| 3 | 0.550 | 0.000 | 0.583 | p > 0.10 | Increasing | |
| 6 | 0.137 | 0.000 | 0.891 | p > 0.10 | Increasing | |
| 9 | − 0.404 | 0.000 | 0.686 | p > 0.10 | Decreasing | |
| 12 | − 1.033 | − 0.001 | 0.302 | p > 0.10 | Decreasing | |
| 24 | − 2.511 | − 0.003 | 0.012 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 48 | − 6.144 | − 0.009 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| SSP5-8.5 | 1 | − 1.582 | − 0.002 | 0.114 | p > 0.10 | Decreasing |
| 3 | − 3.247 | − 0.003 | 0.001 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 6 | − 5.366 | − 0.005 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 9 | − 7.410 | − 0.008 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 12 | − 8.496 | − 0.012 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 24 | − 11.537 | − 0.016 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing | |
| 48 | − 14.593 | − 0.020 | 0.000 | p < 0.05 | Decreasing |