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. 2024 Jul 9;14:15836. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-66804-5

Table 5.

Mann–Kendall and Sen’s Slope values for trend evaluation under three different future scenarios at each time scale.

Scenarios Time Scales z-value Slope p-value Significance Direction
SSP1-2.6 1 0.109 0.000 0.913 p > 0.10 Increasing
3 − 0.105 0.000 0.917 p > 0.10 Decreasing
6 − 1.392 − 0.001 0.164 p > 0.10 Decreasing
9 − 2.332 − 0.003 0.020 p < 0.05 Decreasing
12 − 2.304 − 0.003 0.021 p < 0.05 Decreasing
24 − 2.827 − 0.004 0.005 p < 0.05 Decreasing
48 − 6.008 − 0.009 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing
SSP2-4.5 1 0.169 0.000 0.866 p > 0.10 Increasing
3 0.550 0.000 0.583 p > 0.10 Increasing
6 0.137 0.000 0.891 p > 0.10 Increasing
9 − 0.404 0.000 0.686 p > 0.10 Decreasing
12 − 1.033 − 0.001 0.302 p > 0.10 Decreasing
24 − 2.511 − 0.003 0.012 p < 0.05 Decreasing
48 − 6.144 − 0.009 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing
SSP5-8.5 1 − 1.582 − 0.002 0.114 p > 0.10 Decreasing
3 − 3.247 − 0.003 0.001 p < 0.05 Decreasing
6 − 5.366 − 0.005 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing
9 − 7.410 − 0.008 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing
12 − 8.496 − 0.012 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing
24 − 11.537 − 0.016 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing
48 − 14.593 − 0.020 0.000 p < 0.05 Decreasing