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. 2024 Jul 17;21(7):e1004399. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004399

Table 2. Baseline caloric intake from SSB and other beverages (alcoholic, diet/light, and unsweetened beverages).

Population (million) Baseline intake Caloric changes from SSB Caloric changes from other beverages
20% tax 30% tax 20% tax 30% tax
kcal/ day 95% CI* kcal/ day 95% CI* kcal/ day 95% CI* kcal/ day 95% CI* kcal/ day 95% CI*
Total 147.9 71.8 69.3, 74.4 −16.9 −17.5, −16.3 −25.3 −26.2, −24.4 −0.4 −0.4, −0.3 −0.6 −0.7, −0.5
Sex
Female 78.2 65.1 62.4, 67.7 −15.3 −15.9, −14.7 −22.9 −23.9, −22.0 −0.1 −0.1, −0.0 −0.1 −0.2, −0.0
Male 69.6 79.5 75.8, 83.1 −18.6 −19.5, −17.8 −27.9 −29.2, −26.7 −0.7 −0.8, −0.6 −1.0 −1.2, −0.9
Age groups
20–39 62.2 92.2 88.0, 96.5 −21.7 −22.7, −20.7 −32.6 −34.1, −31.1 −0.4 −0.5, −0.3 −0.7 −0.8, −0.5
40–59 53.9 62.9 59.4, 66.4 −14.7 −15.5, −13.9 −22.1 −23.3, −20.8 −0.5 −0.6, −0.3 −0.7 −0.8, −0.5
60+ 31.7 46.9 43.3, 50.6 −11.0 −11.9, −10.2 −16.6 −17.8, −15.3 −0.1 −0.2, −0.0 −0.2 −0.3, −0.1
Income status
Low 47.4 53.5 49.9, 57.1 −13.3 −14.2, −12.4 −19.9 −21.3, −18.6 −0.2 −0.3, −0.2 −0.4 −0.5, −0.2
Middle 49.1 74.0 70.2, 77.8 −17.5 −18.5, −16.6 −26.3 −27.7, −25.0 −0.2 −0.3, −0.2 −0.3 −0.4, −0.2
High 51.4 86.7 81.7, 91.8 −19.5 −20.7, −18.4 −29.3 −31.0, −27.6 −0.6 −0.8, −0.5 −0.9 −1.2, −0.7

* Confidence intervals were generated based on the uncertainty of POF 2017–2018.