Table 3. Baseline obesity in Brazil and expected obesity reduction after the implementation of a tax on SSBs, considering caloric changes from sugar-sweetened beverages and from all beverages.

			Obesity changes from SSB						Obesity changes from all beverages
	Baseline obesity		20% tax			30% tax			20% tax			30% tax
			Absolute change		Relative change	Absolute change		Relative change	Absolute change		Relative change	Absolute change		Relative change
	%	95% CI*	pp	95% CI*	(%)	pp	95% CI*	(%)	pp	95% CI*	(%)	pp	95% CI*	(%)
Total	25.2	24.4, 26.0	−1.6	−1.9, −1.4	−6.3%	−2.2	−2.5, −2.0	−8.7%	−1.7	−1.9, −1.4	−6.7%	−2.3	−2.5, 2.0	−9.1%
Sex
Female	28.8	27.8, 29.8	−1.4	−1.8, −1.2	−4.9%	−2.1	−2.5, −1.7	−7.3%	−1.5	−1.8, −1.2	−5.2%	−2.1	−2.5, 1.8	−7.3%
Male	21.2	20.2, 22.2	−1.9	−2.3, −1.5	−9.0%	−2.4	−2.8, −2.0	−11.3%	−1.9	−2.3, −1.6	−9.0%	−2.4	−2.9, −2.1	−11.3%
Age groups
20–39	21.8	20.7, 23.0	−1.8	−2.2, −1.5	−8.3%	−2.4	−2.9, 2.0	−11.0%	−1.8	−2.3, −1.5	−8.3%	−2.5	−3.0, −2.1	−11.5%
40–59	29.3	28.1, 30.5	−1.9	−2.4, −1.5	−6.5%	−2.4	−2.9, −2.0	−8.2%	−2.0	−2.5, −1.6	−6.8%	−2.4	−2.9, −2.0	−8.2%
60+	24.8	23.4, 26.4	−0.9	−1.4, −0.5	−3.6%	−1.5	−2.2, −1.0	−6.0%	−0.9	−1.4, −0.6	−3.6%	−1.5	−2.2, −1.0	−6.0%
Income status
Low	22.3	21.1, 23.4	−1.2	-1.6, −0.9	−5.4%	−1.7	−2.2, -1.3	−7.6%	−1.2	−1.7, −0.9	−5.4%	−1.7	−2.2, −1.3	−7.6%
Middle	26.2	25.0, 27.4	−1.6	−2.0, −1.3	−6.1%	−2.2	−2.7, −1.9	−8.4%	−1.7	−2.1, −1.3	−6.5%	−2.3	−2.8, −1.9	−8.8%
High	27.0	25.5, 28.5	−2.1	−2.7, −1.6	−7.8%	−2.7	−3.3, −2.2	−10.0%	−2.1	−2.7, −1.6	−7.8%	−2.7	−3.3, −2.2	−10.0%

* Confidence intervals were generated based on the uncertainty of POF 2017–2018.